1088.HK (1088.HK)
Neutral stance on 1088.HK driven by its deep valuation gap despite a singular floor anchor with low confidence.
- The stock trades at HK$44.90, a 135.2% premium above the engine-derived floor, indicating the market price is far above any intrinsic support level.
- Valuation relies on a single-source, low-confidence floor (only valuation floor from a fallback PE window), with a warning that the full-history PE distribution was re-rated down and no longer representative.
- No red alerts or risk signals exist, but the PE percentile is missing and the volatility rank is neutral (46.3% IV rank), offering no clear catalyst for a directional move.
BUY-ZONE DECISION rule signal
1088.HK is far above the floor (~135.2% above) — adding here means paying a premium vs. your own threshold. Wait or take partial position only with a strong directional view.
RULES & ALERTS FIRING
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VALUATION
Floor Engine
VALUATION HKD 19.09、CYCLICAL_PE HKD 25.24。引擎对每个方法的有效性做了独立检验(PE/股息分布是否结构性偏离、数据是否充分),只有通过的方法才参与最终选举。Golden HKD 35.48 = Floor × 1.08(取在 floor → floor×1.30 收敛带内的最高 primary 值;若无候选落入此带,回落到 floor × 1.08 默认溢价)。
Glossary (click to expand)
- Forward P/E
- P/E using analysts' next-12-month EPS estimates. More forward-looking than trailing P/E, but exposed to forecast error.
- Trailing P/E
- P/E using actual EPS from the last 12 months. Distorted by one-time events (asset sales, impairments) until they roll out of the window.
- P/B (Price-to-Book)
- Stock price / book value per share. Meaningful for asset-driven sectors (banks, insurers); high values are normal for asset-light sectors (tech, consumer).
- PEG
- P/E ÷ earnings growth rate — \"how much P/E you pay per 1% of growth\". <1 = cheap-ish, >2 = priced-in.
- Regime-mismatch drawdown model
- When P/E distribution undergoes a structural shift (business transformation, sector re-rating), traditional \"revert to historical P/E percentile\" misleads. This model uses historical max drawdown × current EPS instead.
- EPV (Earnings Power Value)
- Greenwald framework: assume zero growth + current earning power is sustainable. Yields a conservative lower bound (asset + franchise value).
- Heuristic Fallback
- Backup estimator used when the primary method (P/E percentile, yield reversion, etc.) is unreliable due to data issues. **Lower confidence** — reference only, not auto-execute.
- Confidence
- Primary method applicable → high; multiple methods agree → medium; single heuristic fallback → low. Low confidence means review before acting.
YOUR WATCHLIST CONTEXT
○ anonymous· Your personal floor / golden price overlay on the live price
· Per-ticker rule alerts when this stock crosses your thresholds
· Position P&L overlay — what this ticker means inside your full portfolio
IMPLIED VOLATILITY
Earnings Reactions
| Date | Time | EPS | Surprise | Gap% | Day% | Week% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-24 | BMO | 0.59 | -14.3% | -0.67% | +0.89% | +1.35% |
| 2026-03-30 | BMO | 0.65 | +4.3% | -0.96% | -0.04% | -4.77% |
| 2025-10-24 | BMO | 0.74 | +7.0% | -0.63% | +0.05% | +0.63% |
| 2025-03-21 | BMO | 0.60 | -0.2% | -0.16% | -0.95% | -0.63% |
| 2024-10-25 | BMO | 0.90 | +13.5% | +0.00% | -1.18% | +0.88% |
| 2024-08-30 | BMO | 0.85 | +7.6% | -0.29% | -1.17% | -11.73% |
Is 1088.HK (1088.HK) overvalued right now?
Whether 1088.HK (1088.HK) is overvalued depends on the lens you use: trailing P/E vs its own history, CAPE vs the broader market, earnings yield vs Treasury yields. We surface all three so you don't have to pick one in isolation.
1088.HK (1088.HK) — what's the SELL PUT risk profile?
Selling cash-secured puts on 1088.HK (1088.HK) is a common income strategy, but the right strike depends on your floor price (the level you'd happily own at) and the option chain's buffer/APY tradeoff. The full ladder view (deferred to a future release) ranks candidates by buffer percentage first, then APY — see the option ladder methodology for why buffer matters more than yield in this strategy.
1088.HK (1088.HK) — which option strategy fits your view?
If you're bullish long-term but cautious near-term on 1088.HK (1088.HK), SELL PUT into your floor zone collects premium while waiting for a better entry. If you already own it and are neutral-to-mildly-bullish, COVERED CALL caps upside but harvests time decay. The wrong strategy on the right ticker still loses money — match the trade to your view, not the other way around.
1088.HK (1088.HK) — is now a good entry?
Entry timing on 1088.HK (1088.HK) is a function of your floor price (hard buy zone) and golden price (back-the-truck-up zone). Both are personal — set them in your watchlist and we'll alert you when the market hits either level.
FAQ
Why does 1088.HK show different P/E numbers on different sites?
Different data providers use different earnings windows (TTM vs forward, GAAP vs adjusted) and update at different cadences. We surface trailing P/E with a 5-year percentile rank to give context — a P/E of 30 is hot for one stock and cold for another.
Does this page show 1088.HK's implied volatility?
Not on this v0 page — the dedicated volatility tool covers IV with multi-source voting (IBKR + Polygon + yfinance). For pure IV lookup, use /tools/volatility. This page is for decision-stage queries that pull together valuation + portfolio context.
How is this different from Yahoo Finance or 雪球's 1088.HK page?
Those sites are great for raw data discovery — last price, news, headline P/E. This page is built for the second look: you've already seen a single-dimension signal somewhere else, now you need multi-dimensional decision context (your floor, the valuation percentile, your portfolio overlay) in one view, not five tabs.