1088.HK (1088.HK)

Secondary decision view: valuation · portfolio context · the data you need before acting on a single-source signal.
Neutral

Neutral stance on 1088.HK driven by its deep valuation gap despite a singular floor anchor with low confidence.

  • The stock trades at HK$44.90, a 135.2% premium above the engine-derived floor, indicating the market price is far above any intrinsic support level.
  • Valuation relies on a single-source, low-confidence floor (only valuation floor from a fallback PE window), with a warning that the full-history PE distribution was re-rated down and no longer representative.
  • No red alerts or risk signals exist, but the PE percentile is missing and the volatility rank is neutral (46.3% IV rank), offering no clear catalyst for a directional move.
Verdict bucket from deterministic rule (validation / floor distance / risk alerts). LLM narration only — never picks the bucket.

BUY-ZONE DECISION rule signal

HKD 44.90 HKD 19.09 engine floor
far above at floor

1088.HK is far above the floor (~135.2% above) — adding here means paying a premium vs. your own threshold. Wait or take partial position only with a strong directional view.

RULES & ALERTS FIRING

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VALUATION

Trailing P/E
15.0
P/B
1.8
5-yr percentile: 74%
Sufficient earnings data; P/E historical percentile directly measures overvaluation or undervaluation

Floor Engine

AI Valuation Recommendation ✓ OK
Floor
HKD 32.85
Golden
HKD 35.48
How we derived this
Floor HKD 32.85 = 对 2 个有效估值方法的中位数选举:VALUATION HKD 19.09CYCLICAL_PE HKD 25.24。引擎对每个方法的有效性做了独立检验(PE/股息分布是否结构性偏离、数据是否充分),只有通过的方法才参与最终选举。

Golden HKD 35.48 = Floor × 1.08(取在 floor → floor×1.30 收敛带内的最高 primary 值;若无候选落入此带,回落到 floor × 1.08 默认溢价)。
External Cross-Check
Our AI Floor HKD 32.85
Analyst Low Target (10 brokers) HKD 40.47
Analyst Mean Target HKD 49.93
5-Year Low HKD 8.84
✓ 我们的 floor 比分析师低端低 19%(在合理区间内)。AI Floor 设计上就是『深度便宜』的价位,低于分析师 12 个月目标低端属于预期之内。
AI Synthesis
根据中位数选举估值模型,该股的估值底线(Floor Price)为 $32.85,而黄金买点(Golden Price)则定于 $35.48。这一结果是通过对多种有效估值方法的选举得出的,综合置信度为中等。
Updated 2026-05-11
Glossary (click to expand)
Forward P/E
P/E using analysts' next-12-month EPS estimates. More forward-looking than trailing P/E, but exposed to forecast error.
Trailing P/E
P/E using actual EPS from the last 12 months. Distorted by one-time events (asset sales, impairments) until they roll out of the window.
P/B (Price-to-Book)
Stock price / book value per share. Meaningful for asset-driven sectors (banks, insurers); high values are normal for asset-light sectors (tech, consumer).
PEG
P/E ÷ earnings growth rate — \"how much P/E you pay per 1% of growth\". <1 = cheap-ish, >2 = priced-in.
Regime-mismatch drawdown model
When P/E distribution undergoes a structural shift (business transformation, sector re-rating), traditional \"revert to historical P/E percentile\" misleads. This model uses historical max drawdown × current EPS instead.
EPV (Earnings Power Value)
Greenwald framework: assume zero growth + current earning power is sustainable. Yields a conservative lower bound (asset + franchise value).
Heuristic Fallback
Backup estimator used when the primary method (P/E percentile, yield reversion, etc.) is unreliable due to data issues. **Lower confidence** — reference only, not auto-execute.
Confidence
Primary method applicable → high; multiple methods agree → medium; single heuristic fallback → low. Low confidence means review before acting.
partial weak HKD 44.90 Confidence low
discount-to-floor: 2.35×
VALUATION low
HKD 19.09
PE reverts to historical 5th-percentile (extreme undervaluation)
CYCLICAL PE medium
HKD 25.24
PE reverts to historical 30th-percentile (cyclicals; 30th not 5th to avoid trough-bias)
Energy/materials cyclical — uses 30th-pct PE to avoid trough-bias

YOUR WATCHLIST CONTEXT

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What you'll see after sign-in
Your floor
$XXX.XX
Your golden
$XXX.XX
Market
XXX

· Your personal floor / golden price overlay on the live price

· Per-ticker rule alerts when this stock crosses your thresholds

· Position P&L overlay — what this ticker means inside your full portfolio

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IMPLIED VOLATILITY

CURRENT IV 26.0% HV (30D) 25.2% IV RANK (1Y) 46 NEUTRAL
IV vs HV · last 1 year

Earnings Reactions

1088.HK
6 earnings events · last 2 years
Avg Gap%
-0.45%
Avg Day%
-0.40%
Up Hit Rate
0%
24-08
24-10
25-03
25-10
26-03
26-04
Bar height = |Gap%| normalized to the period max. Green = up, red = down.
Date Time EPS Surprise Gap% Day% Week%
2026-04-24 BMO 0.59 -14.3% -0.67% +0.89% +1.35%
2026-03-30 BMO 0.65 +4.3% -0.96% -0.04% -4.77%
2025-10-24 BMO 0.74 +7.0% -0.63% +0.05% +0.63%
2025-03-21 BMO 0.60 -0.2% -0.16% -0.95% -0.63%
2024-10-25 BMO 0.90 +13.5% +0.00% -1.18% +0.88%
2024-08-30 BMO 0.85 +7.6% -0.29% -1.17% -11.73%

Is 1088.HK (1088.HK) overvalued right now?

Whether 1088.HK (1088.HK) is overvalued depends on the lens you use: trailing P/E vs its own history, CAPE vs the broader market, earnings yield vs Treasury yields. We surface all three so you don't have to pick one in isolation.

1088.HK (1088.HK) — what's the SELL PUT risk profile?

Selling cash-secured puts on 1088.HK (1088.HK) is a common income strategy, but the right strike depends on your floor price (the level you'd happily own at) and the option chain's buffer/APY tradeoff. The full ladder view (deferred to a future release) ranks candidates by buffer percentage first, then APY — see the option ladder methodology for why buffer matters more than yield in this strategy.

1088.HK (1088.HK) — which option strategy fits your view?

If you're bullish long-term but cautious near-term on 1088.HK (1088.HK), SELL PUT into your floor zone collects premium while waiting for a better entry. If you already own it and are neutral-to-mildly-bullish, COVERED CALL caps upside but harvests time decay. The wrong strategy on the right ticker still loses money — match the trade to your view, not the other way around.

1088.HK (1088.HK) — is now a good entry?

Entry timing on 1088.HK (1088.HK) is a function of your floor price (hard buy zone) and golden price (back-the-truck-up zone). Both are personal — set them in your watchlist and we'll alert you when the market hits either level.

FAQ

Why does 1088.HK show different P/E numbers on different sites?

Different data providers use different earnings windows (TTM vs forward, GAAP vs adjusted) and update at different cadences. We surface trailing P/E with a 5-year percentile rank to give context — a P/E of 30 is hot for one stock and cold for another.

Does this page show 1088.HK's implied volatility?

Not on this v0 page — the dedicated volatility tool covers IV with multi-source voting (IBKR + Polygon + yfinance). For pure IV lookup, use /tools/volatility. This page is for decision-stage queries that pull together valuation + portfolio context.

How is this different from Yahoo Finance or 雪球's 1088.HK page?

Those sites are great for raw data discovery — last price, news, headline P/E. This page is built for the second look: you've already seen a single-dimension signal somewhere else, now you need multi-dimensional decision context (your floor, the valuation percentile, your portfolio overlay) in one view, not five tabs.