ABBV (ABBV)
ABBV receives a NEUTRAL verdict as extreme valuation highs are offset by a medium-confidence floor and zero red alerts, suggesting a balanced risk profile.
- Current PE of $102.14 is at the 100th percentile (expensive) and the stock trades $207.86, which is 34.2% above the dividend floor—amplifying valuation caution.
- Implied volatility rank at 71.9% (high) signals elevated option pricing, adding to uncertainty and supporting a wait-and-see stance.
- No red alerts or extreme-low flags exist, and the valuation is validated as green, so no immediate distress triggers a bearish tilt.
BUY-ZONE DECISION rule signal
ABBV is far above the floor (~3319.5% above) — adding here means paying a premium vs. your own threshold. Wait or take partial position only with a strong directional view. valuation expensive (100th percentile)
Macro context
RULES & ALERTS FIRING
Sign in
VALUATION
Floor Engine
DIVIDEND USD 97.37、EPV USD 6.07）远低于当前价（< 40%），引擎判断这些方法的历史样本已被过时的定价区间主导（典型 re-rated 股票），回退到一个对 wheel/options 仓位更可执行的回撤型底价。Golden USD 149.61 ＝ ATH × (1 − 35%)（同一回撤方法，更浅档位）。
注：下方场景卡片显示的 DIVIDEND/VALUATION/EPV 数字是引擎仍计算了但未采纳的原始候选 — 保留可见以便审视引擎判断。
Glossary (click to expand)
- Forward P/E
- P/E using analysts' next-12-month EPS estimates. More forward-looking than trailing P/E, but exposed to forecast error.
- Trailing P/E
- P/E using actual EPS from the last 12 months. Distorted by one-time events (asset sales, impairments) until they roll out of the window.
- P/B (Price-to-Book)
- Stock price / book value per share. Meaningful for asset-driven sectors (banks, insurers); high values are normal for asset-light sectors (tech, consumer).
- PEG
- P/E ÷ earnings growth rate — \"how much P/E you pay per 1% of growth\". <1 = cheap-ish, >2 = priced-in.
- Regime-mismatch drawdown model
- When P/E distribution undergoes a structural shift (business transformation, sector re-rating), traditional \"revert to historical P/E percentile\" misleads. This model uses historical max drawdown × current EPS instead.
- EPV (Earnings Power Value)
- Greenwald framework: assume zero growth + current earning power is sustainable. Yields a conservative lower bound (asset + franchise value).
- Heuristic Fallback
- Backup estimator used when the primary method (P/E percentile, yield reversion, etc.) is unreliable due to data issues. **Lower confidence** — reference only, not auto-execute.
- Confidence
- Primary method applicable → high; multiple methods agree → medium; single heuristic fallback → low. Low confidence means review before acting.
method skipped: PE distribution re-rated up (early 3y median 16.3× → recent 3y median 61.0×, ratio 3.74). Historical p10 anchored to pre-pivot multiple.
YOUR WATCHLIST CONTEXT
○ anonymous· Your personal floor / golden price overlay on the live price
· Per-ticker rule alerts when this stock crosses your thresholds
· Position P&L overlay — what this ticker means inside your full portfolio
IMPLIED VOLATILITY
Earnings Reactions
| Date | Time | EPS | Surprise | Gap% | Day% | Week% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-29 | BMO | 2.65 | -0.8% | -2.88% | +3.14% | +3.71% |
| 2026-02-04 | BMO | 2.71 | +2.2% | -7.04% | -3.79% | -2.11% |
| 2025-10-31 | BMO | 1.86 | +4.2% | -2.28% | -4.45% | -3.96% |
| 2025-07-31 | BMO | 2.97 | +2.1% | +4.09% | -0.15% | +5.04% |
| 2025-04-25 | BMO | 2.46 | +2.6% | +3.74% | +3.15% | +10.03% |
| 2025-01-31 | BMO | 2.16 | +1.9% | +6.63% | +4.70% | +8.51% |
| 2024-10-30 | BMO | 3.00 | +2.8% | +1.15% | +6.36% | +6.20% |
| 2024-07-25 | BMO | 2.65 | -0.4% | +0.45% | +3.38% | +7.66% |
Is ABBV (ABBV) overvalued right now?
ABBV (ABBV) is currently trading at a trailing P/E of 102.1, sitting at the 100th percentile of its 5-year valuation history. A high percentile suggests the market is pricing the stock above its own historical norm — useful context before sizing a new position or selling premium against it.
ABBV (ABBV) — what's the SELL PUT risk profile?
Selling cash-secured puts on ABBV (ABBV) is a common income strategy, but the right strike depends on your floor price (the level you'd happily own at) and the option chain's buffer/APY tradeoff. The full ladder view (deferred to a future release) ranks candidates by buffer percentage first, then APY — see the option ladder methodology for why buffer matters more than yield in this strategy.
ABBV (ABBV) — which option strategy fits your view?
If you're bullish long-term but cautious near-term on ABBV (ABBV), SELL PUT into your floor zone collects premium while waiting for a better entry. If you already own it and are neutral-to-mildly-bullish, COVERED CALL caps upside but harvests time decay. The wrong strategy on the right ticker still loses money — match the trade to your view, not the other way around.
ABBV (ABBV) — is now a good entry?
Entry timing on ABBV (ABBV) is a function of your floor price (hard buy zone) and golden price (back-the-truck-up zone). Both are personal — set them in your watchlist and we'll alert you when the market hits either level.
FAQ
Why does ABBV show different P/E numbers on different sites?
Different data providers use different earnings windows (TTM vs forward, GAAP vs adjusted) and update at different cadences. We surface trailing P/E with a 5-year percentile rank to give context — a P/E of 30 is hot for one stock and cold for another.
Does this page show ABBV's implied volatility?
Not on this v0 page — the dedicated volatility tool covers IV with multi-source voting (IBKR + Polygon + yfinance). For pure IV lookup, use /tools/volatility. This page is for decision-stage queries that pull together valuation + portfolio context.
How is this different from Yahoo Finance or 雪球's ABBV page?
Those sites are great for raw data discovery — last price, news, headline P/E. This page is built for the second look: you've already seen a single-dimension signal somewhere else, now you need multi-dimensional decision context (your floor, the valuation percentile, your portfolio overlay) in one view, not five tabs.