ABT (ABT)

Secondary decision view: valuation · portfolio context · the data you need before acting on a single-source signal.
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ABT is in the WATCH zone because it is deeply undervalued but lacks a reliable downside floor, making it a promising yet uncertain opportunity.

  • Valuation is cheap at PE $23.59 (17.6th percentile) with a green validation flag, and the stock is 95.5% above its engine-calculated floor price of $43.16.
  • The floor has low confidence: both the dividend and valuation floors are warnings — the current yield (2.99%) already exceeds the historical 95th percentile (2.89%), and the current PE (13.9×) is below the historical 5th percentile (16.5×), so neither provides a traditional downside floor.
  • While volatility is high (IV rank 91.4%), there are no red alerts, indicating no immediate extreme risk signals.
Verdict bucket from deterministic rule (validation / floor distance / risk alerts). LLM narration only — never picks the bucket.

BUY-ZONE DECISION rule signal

$84.35 $43.16 engine floor
far above at floor

ABT is far above the floor (~95.5% above) — adding here means paying a premium vs. your own threshold. Wait or take partial position only with a strong directional view. valuation cheap (18th percentile)

Macro context

Across past macro events, ABT 5d reactions are mixed +0.0%
13 event categories · 107 samples · 45 up / 45 down · macro-beta evidence only
Per-category detail · macro beta breakdown
fed-fomc-rate-cycle → avg 5d -0.6% 12 samples · 3 up / 8 down
taiwan-strait-tension → avg 5d +0.3% 12 samples · 4 up / 5 down
oil-shock → avg 5d +0.2% 10 samples · 5 up / 4 down
us-china-tariff-escalation → avg 5d +0.4% 10 samples · 5 up / 3 down
big-ipo-event → avg 5d -0.9% 9 samples · 3 up / 5 down
bank-crisis → avg 5d +0.1% 8 samples · 4 up / 2 down
big-tech-earnings-shock → avg 5d +0.9% 7 samples · 3 up / 2 down
election-uncertainty → avg 5d +0.2% 7 samples · 2 up / 4 down
natural-disaster → avg 5d +1.9% 7 samples · 5 up / 1 down
pandemic-emergency → avg 5d -0.9% 7 samples · 4 up / 3 down
sovereign-debt-crisis → avg 5d -0.0% 7 samples · 3 up / 3 down
china-property-crisis → avg 5d +0.3% 6 samples · 3 up / 2 down
russia-ukraine-war → avg 5d -1.7% 5 samples · 1 up / 3 down
Vs sector ETF (XLV, 5d)
-0.6pp lagging sector
ABT -3.3% Sector benchmark XLV -2.7%
Macro-beta evidence: how this ticker historically reacted to broad macro shocks. Not a thesis-level call — for that, you have to read the news and decide.

RULES & ALERTS FIRING

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VALUATION

Undervalued
Trailing P/E
23.6
5-yr percentile: 18%
P/B
2.8
5-yr percentile: 29%
p10
17.2
p25
28.4
p50
34.1
p75
45.3
p90
106.3

Abbott appears cheap based on its trailing P/E at the 20th historical percentile, well below its 10-year median. The low forward P/E of 15.7x suggests the recent -20% earnings decline is already priced in. The biggest risk is the continuation of negative earnings growth despite solid revenue expansion.

Sufficient earnings data; P/E historical percentile directly measures overvaluation or undervaluation

Floor Engine

ideal USD 84.35 Confidence low
discount-to-floor: 1.95×
DIVIDEND low
method skipped: stock yield is already MORE EXTREME than its 5-year peak — current 2.99% vs historical 95th-pct 2.89%. The yield-percentile formula gives fwd_div / p95_yield = 87.11, which is ABOVE the current price 84.35, making it a mean-reversion target (price the yield would imply if normalized), not a downside floor.
Yield reverts to historical 95th-percentile (extreme yield level)
VALUATION low
method skipped: stock is already pricing CHEAPER than its 5-year extreme — current PE 13.9× vs historical 5th-pct 16.5×. The PE-percentile formula gives 16.5× × EPS = 99.85, which is ABOVE the current price 84.35, making it a mean-reversion target (where the stock could rally TO), not a downside floor (where buyers would step in).
PE reverts to historical 5th-percentile (extreme undervaluation)
EPV high
USD 43.16
Zero-growth scenario + current cash/debt (Greenwald franchise value)
Default fallback to epv method
EPV GROWTH PREMIUM low
USD 48.85
EPV × franchise-value multiplier (compounder premium when ROIC > WACC)

YOUR WATCHLIST CONTEXT

○ anonymous
What you'll see after sign-in
Your floor
$XXX.XX
Your golden
$XXX.XX
Market
XXX

· Your personal floor / golden price overlay on the live price

· Per-ticker rule alerts when this stock crosses your thresholds

· Position P&L overlay — what this ticker means inside your full portfolio

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IMPLIED VOLATILITY

CURRENT IV 34.6% HV (30D) 28.9% IV RANK (1Y) 91 HIGH
IV vs HV · last 1 year

Earnings Reactions

ABT
8 earnings events · last 2 years
Avg Gap%
-2.90%
Avg Day%
-3.34%
Up Hit Rate
25%
Next Earnings · est.
2026-07-16
in 64d
24-07
24-10
25-01
25-04
25-07
25-10
26-01
26-04
Bar height = |Gap%| normalized to the period max. Green = up, red = down.
Date Time EPS Surprise Gap% Day% Week%
2026-04-16 BMO 1.15 +0.3% -4.36% -6.00% -8.94%
2026-01-22 BMO 1.50 +0.3% -10.93% -10.04% -12.13%
2025-10-15 BMO 1.30 +0.1% -3.95% -2.87% -3.99%
2025-07-17 BMO 1.26 +0.3% -3.94% -8.52% -4.63%
2025-04-16 BMO 1.09 +1.7% +2.76% +2.76% +2.50%
2025-01-22 BMO 1.34 -0.2% -2.28% +0.85% +9.48%
2024-10-16 BMO 1.21 +0.8% +1.69% +1.53% +0.83%
2024-07-18 BMO 1.14 +3.2% -2.19% -4.40% +1.22%

Is ABT (ABT) overvalued right now?

ABT (ABT) is currently trading at a trailing P/E of 23.6, sitting at the 18th percentile of its 5-year valuation history. A high percentile suggests the market is pricing the stock above its own historical norm — useful context before sizing a new position or selling premium against it.

ABT (ABT) — what's the SELL PUT risk profile?

Selling cash-secured puts on ABT (ABT) is a common income strategy, but the right strike depends on your floor price (the level you'd happily own at) and the option chain's buffer/APY tradeoff. The full ladder view (deferred to a future release) ranks candidates by buffer percentage first, then APY — see the option ladder methodology for why buffer matters more than yield in this strategy.

ABT (ABT) — which option strategy fits your view?

If you're bullish long-term but cautious near-term on ABT (ABT), SELL PUT into your floor zone collects premium while waiting for a better entry. If you already own it and are neutral-to-mildly-bullish, COVERED CALL caps upside but harvests time decay. The wrong strategy on the right ticker still loses money — match the trade to your view, not the other way around.

ABT (ABT) — is now a good entry?

Entry timing on ABT (ABT) is a function of your floor price (hard buy zone) and golden price (back-the-truck-up zone). Both are personal — set them in your watchlist and we'll alert you when the market hits either level.

FAQ

Why does ABT show different P/E numbers on different sites?

Different data providers use different earnings windows (TTM vs forward, GAAP vs adjusted) and update at different cadences. We surface trailing P/E with a 5-year percentile rank to give context — a P/E of 30 is hot for one stock and cold for another.

Does this page show ABT's implied volatility?

Not on this v0 page — the dedicated volatility tool covers IV with multi-source voting (IBKR + Polygon + yfinance). For pure IV lookup, use /tools/volatility. This page is for decision-stage queries that pull together valuation + portfolio context.

How is this different from Yahoo Finance or 雪球's ABT page?

Those sites are great for raw data discovery — last price, news, headline P/E. This page is built for the second look: you've already seen a single-dimension signal somewhere else, now you need multi-dimensional decision context (your floor, the valuation percentile, your portfolio overlay) in one view, not five tabs.