ADBE (ADBE)

Secondary decision view: valuation · portfolio context · the data you need before acting on a single-source signal.
Avoid

ADBE’s valuation is historically cheap, but the stock is still 12.1% above its floor — so AVOID until price drops further into the buy zone.

  • The current PE of 11.8 is at the 0th percentile (5-year low), tagged as extremely cheap with a green validation flag — earnings multiple is compressed.
  • Despite the low PE, the stock trades at $202.73, which is 12.1% above the EPV floor of $180.82 — meaning price hasn’t reached the entry zone yet.
  • Implied volatility rank is 99.6% (high), and the floor confidence is low, with a warning that the valuation floor is a mean-reversion target, not a downside support.
Verdict bucket from deterministic rule (validation / floor distance / risk alerts). LLM narration only — never picks the bucket.

BUY-ZONE DECISION rule signal

$202.73 $180.82 engine floor
far above at floor

ADBE is approaching the floor (~12.1% above) — wait. Not yet in the action zone, but on the watch list. valuation cheap (0th percentile)

RULES & ALERTS FIRING

Sign in to see which rules are firing on ADBE in your portfolio.
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VALUATION

Undervalued
🔥 Extreme-low valuation flag — historical bands suggest this ticker is unusually cheap relative to its own 5-year range.
Trailing P/E
11.8
5-yr percentile: 0%
P/B
7.3
5-yr percentile: 6%
p10
23.3
p25
38.7
p50
48.8
p75
53.7
p90
58.6
Sufficient earnings data; P/E historical percentile directly measures overvaluation or undervaluation

Floor Engine

partial USD 202.73 Confidence low
discount-to-floor: 1.12×
VALUATION low
method skipped: stock is already pricing CHEAPER than its 5-year extreme — current PE 7.4× vs historical 5th-pct 19.3×. The PE-percentile formula gives 19.3× × EPS = 531.56, which is ABOVE the current price 202.73, making it a mean-reversion target (where the stock could rally TO), not a downside floor (where buyers would step in).
PE reverts to historical 5th-percentile (extreme undervaluation)
EPV medium
USD 180.82
Zero-growth scenario + current cash/debt (Greenwald franchise value)
EPV GROWTH PREMIUM low
USD 542.47
EPV × franchise-value multiplier (compounder premium when ROIC > WACC)
PSR medium
USD 423.76
PSR reverts to historical 10th-percentile (growth stocks pre-stable-earnings)
High-growth, earnings not yet stable — PSR is the next-best anchor

YOUR WATCHLIST CONTEXT

○ anonymous
What you'll see after sign-in
Your floor
$XXX.XX
Your golden
$XXX.XX
Market
XXX

· Your personal floor / golden price overlay on the live price

· Per-ticker rule alerts when this stock crosses your thresholds

· Position P&L overlay — what this ticker means inside your full portfolio

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IMPLIED VOLATILITY

CURRENT IV 53.1% HV (30D) 53.1% IV RANK (1Y) 100 HIGH
IV vs HV · last 1 year

Earnings Reactions

ADBE
8 earnings events · last 2 years
Avg Gap%
-5.74%
Avg Day%
-6.74%
Up Hit Rate
12%
Next Earnings · est.
2026-09-10
in 74d
24-09
24-12
25-03
25-06
25-09
25-12
26-03
26-06
Bar height = |Gap%| normalized to the period max. Green = up, red = down.
Date Time EPS Surprise Gap% Day% Week%
2026-06-11 AMC 5.96 +2.5% -7.50% -6.75% -10.92%
2026-03-12 AMC 6.06 +3.2% -7.70% -7.58% -8.02%
2025-12-10 AMC 5.50 +1.9% -0.43% +2.13% +3.70%
2025-09-11 AMC 5.31 +2.5% +3.01% -0.34% +4.38%
2025-06-12 AMC 5.06 +1.7% -5.12% -5.32% -8.11%
2025-03-12 AMC 5.08 +2.2% -7.60% -13.85% -11.17%
2024-12-11 AMC 4.81 +3.0% -11.35% -13.69% -20.46%
2024-09-12 AMC 4.65 +2.5% -9.20% -8.47% -10.95%

Is ADBE (ADBE) overvalued right now?

ADBE (ADBE) is currently trading at a trailing P/E of 11.8, sitting at the 0th percentile of its 5-year valuation history. A high percentile suggests the market is pricing the stock above its own historical norm — useful context before sizing a new position or selling premium against it.

ADBE (ADBE) — what's the SELL PUT risk profile?

Selling cash-secured puts on ADBE (ADBE) is a common income strategy, but the right strike depends on your floor price (the level you'd happily own at) and the option chain's buffer/APY tradeoff. The full ladder view (deferred to a future release) ranks candidates by buffer percentage first, then APY — see the option ladder methodology for why buffer matters more than yield in this strategy.

ADBE (ADBE) — which option strategy fits your view?

If you're bullish long-term but cautious near-term on ADBE (ADBE), SELL PUT into your floor zone collects premium while waiting for a better entry. If you already own it and are neutral-to-mildly-bullish, COVERED CALL caps upside but harvests time decay. The wrong strategy on the right ticker still loses money — match the trade to your view, not the other way around.

ADBE (ADBE) — is now a good entry?

Entry timing on ADBE (ADBE) is a function of your floor price (hard buy zone) and golden price (back-the-truck-up zone). Both are personal — set them in your watchlist and we'll alert you when the market hits either level.

FAQ

Why does ADBE show different P/E numbers on different sites?

Different data providers use different earnings windows (TTM vs forward, GAAP vs adjusted) and update at different cadences. We surface trailing P/E with a 5-year percentile rank to give context — a P/E of 30 is hot for one stock and cold for another.

Does this page show ADBE's implied volatility?

Not on this v0 page — the dedicated volatility tool covers IV with multi-source voting (IBKR + Polygon + yfinance). For pure IV lookup, use /tools/volatility. This page is for decision-stage queries that pull together valuation + portfolio context.

How is this different from Yahoo Finance or 雪球's ADBE page?

Those sites are great for raw data discovery — last price, news, headline P/E. This page is built for the second look: you've already seen a single-dimension signal somewhere else, now you need multi-dimensional decision context (your floor, the valuation percentile, your portfolio overlay) in one view, not five tabs.