ADBE (ADBE)

Secondary decision view: valuation · portfolio context · the data you need before acting on a single-source signal.
Neutral

ADBE is a NEUTRAL bucket because the stock trades well below its only usable floor, yet weak valuation support and high implied volatility keep it from being a clear buy or sell.

  • At $236.72, the stock trades at a 33.1% discount to its estimated floor of $177.82, but that floor is based on a single method with low confidence and comes with warnings about misapplied valuation comparisons.
  • Implied volatility is very high (IV rank 91st percentile), signaling elevated uncertainty and risk that typically argues against aggressive entry.
  • Despite the deep discount, the lack of a current PE or fundamental valuation verdict leaves a key support pillar missing, preventing a stronger bullish signal.
Verdict bucket from deterministic rule (validation / floor distance / risk alerts). LLM narration only — never picks the bucket.

BUY-ZONE DECISION rule signal

$236.72 $177.82 engine floor
far above at floor

ADBE is far above the floor (~33.1% above) — adding here means paying a premium vs. your own threshold. Wait or take partial position only with a strong directional view.

RULES & ALERTS FIRING

Sign in to see which rules are firing on ADBE in your portfolio.
Sign in

VALUATION

Valuation data not yet available for this ticker. Try again in a few minutes.

Floor Engine

partial USD 236.72 Confidence low
discount-to-floor: 1.33×
VALUATION low
method skipped: stock is already pricing CHEAPER than its 5-year extreme — current PE 9.0× vs historical 5th-pct 20.7×. The PE-percentile formula gives 20.7× × EPS = 547.38, which is ABOVE the current price 236.72, making it a mean-reversion target (where the stock could rally TO), not a downside floor (where buyers would step in).
PE reverts to historical 5th-percentile (extreme undervaluation)
EPV medium
USD 177.82
Zero-growth scenario + current cash/debt (Greenwald franchise value)
Default fallback to epv method
EPV GROWTH PREMIUM low
USD 533.47
EPV × franchise-value multiplier (compounder premium when ROIC > WACC)

YOUR WATCHLIST CONTEXT

○ anonymous
What you'll see after sign-in
Your floor
$XXX.XX
Your golden
$XXX.XX
Market
XXX

· Your personal floor / golden price overlay on the live price

· Per-ticker rule alerts when this stock crosses your thresholds

· Position P&L overlay — what this ticker means inside your full portfolio

Sign in to unlock →

IMPLIED VOLATILITY

CURRENT IV 41.4% HV (30D) 41.7% IV RANK (1Y) 91 HIGH
IV vs HV · last 1 year

Earnings Reactions

ADBE
8 earnings events · last 2 years
Avg Gap%
-2.85%
Avg Day%
-4.08%
Up Hit Rate
25%
Next Earnings · est.
2026-06-11
in 29d
24-06
24-09
24-12
25-03
25-06
25-09
25-12
26-03
Bar height = |Gap%| normalized to the period max. Green = up, red = down.
Date Time EPS Surprise Gap% Day% Week%
2026-03-12 AMC 6.06 +3.2% -7.70% -7.58% -8.02%
2025-12-10 AMC 5.50 +1.9% -0.43% +2.13% +3.70%
2025-09-11 AMC 5.31 +2.5% +3.01% -0.34% +4.38%
2025-06-12 AMC 5.06 +1.7% -5.12% -5.32% -8.11%
2025-03-12 AMC 5.08 +2.2% -7.60% -13.85% -11.17%
2024-12-11 AMC 4.81 +3.0% -11.35% -13.69% -20.46%
2024-09-12 AMC 4.65 +2.5% -9.20% -8.47% -10.95%
2024-06-13 AMC 4.48 +1.9% +15.59% +14.51% +14.26%

Is ADBE (ADBE) overvalued right now?

Whether ADBE (ADBE) is overvalued depends on the lens you use: trailing P/E vs its own history, CAPE vs the broader market, earnings yield vs Treasury yields. We surface all three so you don't have to pick one in isolation.

ADBE (ADBE) — what's the SELL PUT risk profile?

Selling cash-secured puts on ADBE (ADBE) is a common income strategy, but the right strike depends on your floor price (the level you'd happily own at) and the option chain's buffer/APY tradeoff. The full ladder view (deferred to a future release) ranks candidates by buffer percentage first, then APY — see the option ladder methodology for why buffer matters more than yield in this strategy.

ADBE (ADBE) — which option strategy fits your view?

If you're bullish long-term but cautious near-term on ADBE (ADBE), SELL PUT into your floor zone collects premium while waiting for a better entry. If you already own it and are neutral-to-mildly-bullish, COVERED CALL caps upside but harvests time decay. The wrong strategy on the right ticker still loses money — match the trade to your view, not the other way around.

ADBE (ADBE) — is now a good entry?

Entry timing on ADBE (ADBE) is a function of your floor price (hard buy zone) and golden price (back-the-truck-up zone). Both are personal — set them in your watchlist and we'll alert you when the market hits either level.

FAQ

Why does ADBE show different P/E numbers on different sites?

Different data providers use different earnings windows (TTM vs forward, GAAP vs adjusted) and update at different cadences. We surface trailing P/E with a 5-year percentile rank to give context — a P/E of 30 is hot for one stock and cold for another.

Does this page show ADBE's implied volatility?

Not on this v0 page — the dedicated volatility tool covers IV with multi-source voting (IBKR + Polygon + yfinance). For pure IV lookup, use /tools/volatility. This page is for decision-stage queries that pull together valuation + portfolio context.

How is this different from Yahoo Finance or 雪球's ADBE page?

Those sites are great for raw data discovery — last price, news, headline P/E. This page is built for the second look: you've already seen a single-dimension signal somewhere else, now you need multi-dimensional decision context (your floor, the valuation percentile, your portfolio overlay) in one view, not five tabs.