ADP (ADP)

Secondary decision view: valuation · portfolio context · the data you need before acting on a single-source signal.
Neutral rule-based

ADP has no clear signal.

  • Buy-zone state: far (+113.6% to floor)
  • Valuation label: neutral
Verdict bucket from deterministic rule (validation / floor distance / risk alerts). LLM narration only — never picks the bucket.

BUY-ZONE DECISION rule signal

$280.81 $131.44 engine floor
far above at floor

ADP is far above the floor (~113.6% above) — adding here means paying a premium vs. your own threshold. Wait or take partial position only with a strong directional view.

RULES & ALERTS FIRING

Sign in to see which rules are firing on ADP in your portfolio.
Sign in

VALUATION

Neutral
Trailing P/E
25.6
5-yr percentile: 34%
P/B
18.5
5-yr percentile: 65%
p10
21.5
p25
24.7
p50
27.1
p75
29.9
p90
31.4

ADP is fairly valued based on its trailing P/E at the 0th historical percentile, indicating it's at its cheapest relative to the past decade. The 12% earnings growth is moderately priced in, as reflected by a PEG ratio of 1.46. The biggest risk is sustained multiple compression if its growth rate fails to re-accelerate toward its historical premium.

Sufficient earnings data; P/E historical percentile directly measures overvaluation or undervaluation

Floor Engine

ideal USD 280.81 Confidence high
discount-to-floor: 2.14×
DIVIDEND high
USD 226.62
Yield reverts to historical 95th-percentile (extreme yield level)
VALUATION high
USD 274.70
PE reverts to historical 5th-percentile (extreme undervaluation)
EPV high
USD 131.44
Zero-growth scenario + current cash/debt (Greenwald franchise value)
EPV GROWTH PREMIUM low
USD 394.32
EPV × franchise-value multiplier (compounder premium when ROIC > WACC)
PSR medium
USD 189.62
PSR reverts to historical 10th-percentile (growth stocks pre-stable-earnings)
High-growth, earnings not yet stable — PSR is the next-best anchor

YOUR WATCHLIST CONTEXT

○ anonymous
What you'll see after sign-in
Your floor
$XXX.XX
Your golden
$XXX.XX
Market
XXX

· Your personal floor / golden price overlay on the live price

· Per-ticker rule alerts when this stock crosses your thresholds

· Position P&L overlay — what this ticker means inside your full portfolio

Sign in to unlock →

IMPLIED VOLATILITY

CURRENT IV 37.2% HV (30D) 32.1% IV RANK (1Y) 74 HIGH
IV vs HV · last 1 year

Earnings Reactions

ADP
8 earnings events · last 2 years
Avg Gap%
-0.47%
Avg Day%
+1.02%
Up Hit Rate
38%
Next Earnings · est.
2026-10-28
in 66d
24-10
25-01
25-04
25-07
25-10
26-01
26-04
26-07
Bar height = |Gap%| normalized to the period max. Green = up, red = down.
Date Time EPS Surprise Gap% Day% Week%
2026-07-28 AMC 2.64 +1.6% +0.27% +3.48% +2.24%
2026-04-29 BMO 3.37 +2.3% +4.32% +7.98% +4.03%
2026-01-28 BMO 2.62 +2.0% -1.91% -1.50% -7.80%
2025-10-29 BMO 2.49 +1.9% -3.03% -6.58% -7.17%
2025-07-30 BMO 2.26 +1.5% -3.02% +0.75% -2.27%
2025-04-30 BMO 3.06 +2.9% -1.70% +1.63% +3.18%
2025-01-29 BMO 2.35 +2.4% +1.95% +0.76% +3.30%
2024-10-30 BMO 2.33 +5.3% -0.61% +1.68% +5.98%

Is ADP (ADP) overvalued right now?

ADP (ADP) is currently trading at a trailing P/E of 25.6, sitting at the 34th percentile of its 5-year valuation history. A high percentile suggests the market is pricing the stock above its own historical norm — useful context before sizing a new position or selling premium against it.

ADP (ADP) — what's the SELL PUT risk profile?

Selling cash-secured puts on ADP (ADP) is a common income strategy, but the right strike depends on your floor price (the level you'd happily own at) and the option chain's buffer/APY tradeoff. The full ladder view (deferred to a future release) ranks candidates by buffer percentage first, then APY — see the option ladder methodology for why buffer matters more than yield in this strategy.

ADP (ADP) — which option strategy fits your view?

If you're bullish long-term but cautious near-term on ADP (ADP), SELL PUT into your floor zone collects premium while waiting for a better entry. If you already own it and are neutral-to-mildly-bullish, COVERED CALL caps upside but harvests time decay. The wrong strategy on the right ticker still loses money — match the trade to your view, not the other way around.

ADP (ADP) — is now a good entry?

Entry timing on ADP (ADP) is a function of your floor price (hard buy zone) and golden price (back-the-truck-up zone). Both are personal — set them in your watchlist and we'll alert you when the market hits either level.

FAQ

Why does ADP show different P/E numbers on different sites?

Different data providers use different earnings windows (TTM vs forward, GAAP vs adjusted) and update at different cadences. We surface trailing P/E with a 5-year percentile rank to give context — a P/E of 30 is hot for one stock and cold for another.

Does this page show ADP's implied volatility?

Not on this v0 page — the dedicated volatility tool covers IV with multi-source voting (IBKR + Polygon + yfinance). For pure IV lookup, use /tools/volatility. This page is for decision-stage queries that pull together valuation + portfolio context.

How is this different from Yahoo Finance or 雪球's ADP page?

Those sites are great for raw data discovery — last price, news, headline P/E. This page is built for the second look: you've already seen a single-dimension signal somewhere else, now you need multi-dimensional decision context (your floor, the valuation percentile, your portfolio overlay) in one view, not five tabs.