AMAT (AMAT)

Secondary decision view: valuation · portfolio context · the data you need before acting on a single-source signal.
Neutral

AMAT is rated NEUTRAL because its valuation is expensive and the price is far above the calculated floor, even though the implied volatility is neutral and there are no red alerts.

  • The PE percentile is at 100.0%, and the PB percentile is also 100.0%, confirming the 'expensive' valuation verdict with a current PE of $44.11.
  • The current price of $431.20 trades 332.3% above the buyzone floor, placing the stock in the 'far' buyzone bucket.
  • Despite low risk (0 red alerts) and neutral implied volatility (IV rank 67% labeled 'neutral'), the extreme premium above intrinsic floors drives the NEUTRAL stance.
Verdict bucket from deterministic rule (validation / floor distance / risk alerts). LLM narration only — never picks the bucket.

BUY-ZONE DECISION rule signal

$431.20 $99.75 engine floor
far above at floor

AMAT is far above the floor (~332.3% above) — adding here means paying a premium vs. your own threshold. Wait or take partial position only with a strong directional view. valuation expensive (100th percentile)

RULES & ALERTS FIRING

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VALUATION

Expensive
Trailing P/E
44.1
5-yr percentile: 100%
P/B
15.8
5-yr percentile: 100%
p10
11.6
p25
15.2
p50
18.5
p75
22.5
p90
27.6
Sufficient earnings data; P/E historical percentile directly measures overvaluation or undervaluation

Floor Engine

ideal USD 431.20 Confidence high
discount-to-floor: 4.32×
DIVIDEND high
USD 108.78
Yield reverts to historical 95th-percentile (extreme yield level)
22y dividend history (≥10), dividend method reliable
VALUATION high
USD 152.50
PE reverts to historical 5th-percentile (extreme undervaluation)
EPV high
USD 99.75
Zero-growth scenario + current cash/debt (Greenwald franchise value)
EPV GROWTH PREMIUM low
USD 262.67
EPV × franchise-value multiplier (compounder premium when ROIC > WACC)

YOUR WATCHLIST CONTEXT

○ anonymous
What you'll see after sign-in
Your floor
$XXX.XX
Your golden
$XXX.XX
Market
XXX

· Your personal floor / golden price overlay on the live price

· Per-ticker rule alerts when this stock crosses your thresholds

· Position P&L overlay — what this ticker means inside your full portfolio

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IMPLIED VOLATILITY

CURRENT IV 51.1% HV (30D) 50.0% IV RANK (1Y) 67 NEUTRAL
IV vs HV · last 1 year

Earnings Reactions

AMAT
8 earnings events · last 2 years
Avg Gap%
-3.94%
Avg Day%
-3.77%
Up Hit Rate
25%
Next Earnings · est.
2026-05-14
in 1d
24-05
24-08
24-11
25-02
25-05
25-08
25-11
26-02
Bar height = |Gap%| normalized to the period max. Green = up, red = down.
Date Time EPS Surprise Gap% Day% Week%
2026-02-12 AMC 2.38 +7.9% +11.13% +8.08% +13.75%
2025-11-13 AMC 2.17 +3.6% -8.73% +1.25% +0.35%
2025-08-14 AMC 2.48 +5.1% -13.57% -14.07% -13.68%
2025-05-15 AMC 2.39 +3.5% -3.62% -5.25% -9.87%
2025-02-13 AMC 2.38 +3.7% -5.12% -8.18% -8.52%
2024-11-14 AMC 2.09 -3.0% -9.49% -9.20% -5.98%
2024-08-15 AMC 2.12 +4.7% -3.25% -1.86% -4.32%
2024-05-16 AMC 2.09 +5.3% +1.11% -0.91% +3.21%

Is AMAT (AMAT) overvalued right now?

AMAT (AMAT) is currently trading at a trailing P/E of 44.1, sitting at the 100th percentile of its 5-year valuation history. A high percentile suggests the market is pricing the stock above its own historical norm — useful context before sizing a new position or selling premium against it.

AMAT (AMAT) — what's the SELL PUT risk profile?

Selling cash-secured puts on AMAT (AMAT) is a common income strategy, but the right strike depends on your floor price (the level you'd happily own at) and the option chain's buffer/APY tradeoff. The full ladder view (deferred to a future release) ranks candidates by buffer percentage first, then APY — see the option ladder methodology for why buffer matters more than yield in this strategy.

AMAT (AMAT) — which option strategy fits your view?

If you're bullish long-term but cautious near-term on AMAT (AMAT), SELL PUT into your floor zone collects premium while waiting for a better entry. If you already own it and are neutral-to-mildly-bullish, COVERED CALL caps upside but harvests time decay. The wrong strategy on the right ticker still loses money — match the trade to your view, not the other way around.

AMAT (AMAT) — is now a good entry?

Entry timing on AMAT (AMAT) is a function of your floor price (hard buy zone) and golden price (back-the-truck-up zone). Both are personal — set them in your watchlist and we'll alert you when the market hits either level.

FAQ

Why does AMAT show different P/E numbers on different sites?

Different data providers use different earnings windows (TTM vs forward, GAAP vs adjusted) and update at different cadences. We surface trailing P/E with a 5-year percentile rank to give context — a P/E of 30 is hot for one stock and cold for another.

Does this page show AMAT's implied volatility?

Not on this v0 page — the dedicated volatility tool covers IV with multi-source voting (IBKR + Polygon + yfinance). For pure IV lookup, use /tools/volatility. This page is for decision-stage queries that pull together valuation + portfolio context.

How is this different from Yahoo Finance or 雪球's AMAT page?

Those sites are great for raw data discovery — last price, news, headline P/E. This page is built for the second look: you've already seen a single-dimension signal somewhere else, now you need multi-dimensional decision context (your floor, the valuation percentile, your portfolio overlay) in one view, not five tabs.