AMAT (AMAT)

Secondary decision view: valuation · portfolio context · the data you need before acting on a single-source signal.
Neutral

AMAT carries a NEUTRAL stance as its extreme valuation premium and far-from-any-floor price are balanced by strong fundamentals and zero red alerts.

  • Current PE of $63.52 sits at the 100th percentile, and PB at $22.61 also at the 100th percentile, both flagged as expensive.
  • The current price of $626.84 trades 528.7% above the nearest valuation floor and 6.3% above the engine-derived floor, placing the stock far from any support zone.
  • Validation is green, there are no risk alerts, and implied volatility is high (IV rank 99.6%), indicating significant options market activity without fundamental distress.
Verdict bucket from deterministic rule (validation / floor distance / risk alerts). LLM narration only — never picks the bucket.

BUY-ZONE DECISION rule signal

$626.84 $99.71 engine floor
far above at floor

AMAT is far above the floor (~528.7% above) — adding here means paying a premium vs. your own threshold. Wait or take partial position only with a strong directional view. valuation expensive (100th percentile)

RULES & ALERTS FIRING

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VALUATION

Expensive
Trailing P/E
63.5
5-yr percentile: 100%
P/B
22.6
5-yr percentile: 100%
p10
11.5
p25
15.1
p50
18.5
p75
23.0
p90
28.2
Sufficient earnings data; P/E historical percentile directly measures overvaluation or undervaluation

Floor Engine

ideal USD 626.84 Confidence high
discount-to-floor: 6.29×
DIVIDEND high
USD 197.61
Yield reverts to historical 95th-percentile (extreme yield level)
VALUATION high
USD 171.67
PE reverts to historical 5th-percentile (extreme undervaluation)
EPV high
USD 99.71
Zero-growth scenario + current cash/debt (Greenwald franchise value)
EPV GROWTH PREMIUM low
USD 220.52
EPV × franchise-value multiplier (compounder premium when ROIC > WACC)
PSR medium
USD 95.84
PSR reverts to historical 10th-percentile (growth stocks pre-stable-earnings)
High-growth, earnings not yet stable — PSR is the next-best anchor

YOUR WATCHLIST CONTEXT

○ anonymous
What you'll see after sign-in
Your floor
$XXX.XX
Your golden
$XXX.XX
Market
XXX

· Your personal floor / golden price overlay on the live price

· Per-ticker rule alerts when this stock crosses your thresholds

· Position P&L overlay — what this ticker means inside your full portfolio

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IMPLIED VOLATILITY

CURRENT IV 79.9% HV (30D) 79.9% IV RANK (1Y) 100 HIGH
IV vs HV · last 1 year

Earnings Reactions

AMAT
8 earnings events · last 2 years
Avg Gap%
-4.42%
Avg Day%
-3.77%
Up Hit Rate
12%
Next Earnings · est.
2026-08-13
in 46d
24-08
24-11
25-02
25-05
25-08
25-11
26-02
26-05
Bar height = |Gap%| normalized to the period max. Green = up, red = down.
Date Time EPS Surprise Gap% Day% Week%
2026-05-14 AMC 2.86 +6.5% -2.76% -0.89% -1.91%
2026-02-12 AMC 2.38 +7.9% +11.13% +8.08% +13.75%
2025-11-13 AMC 2.17 +3.6% -8.73% +1.25% +0.35%
2025-08-14 AMC 2.48 +5.1% -13.57% -14.07% -13.68%
2025-05-15 AMC 2.39 +3.5% -3.62% -5.25% -9.87%
2025-02-13 AMC 2.38 +3.7% -5.12% -8.18% -8.52%
2024-11-14 AMC 2.32 +5.7% -9.49% -9.20% -5.98%
2024-08-15 AMC 2.12 +4.7% -3.25% -1.86% -4.32%

Is AMAT (AMAT) overvalued right now?

AMAT (AMAT) is currently trading at a trailing P/E of 63.5, sitting at the 100th percentile of its 5-year valuation history. A high percentile suggests the market is pricing the stock above its own historical norm — useful context before sizing a new position or selling premium against it.

AMAT (AMAT) — what's the SELL PUT risk profile?

Selling cash-secured puts on AMAT (AMAT) is a common income strategy, but the right strike depends on your floor price (the level you'd happily own at) and the option chain's buffer/APY tradeoff. The full ladder view (deferred to a future release) ranks candidates by buffer percentage first, then APY — see the option ladder methodology for why buffer matters more than yield in this strategy.

AMAT (AMAT) — which option strategy fits your view?

If you're bullish long-term but cautious near-term on AMAT (AMAT), SELL PUT into your floor zone collects premium while waiting for a better entry. If you already own it and are neutral-to-mildly-bullish, COVERED CALL caps upside but harvests time decay. The wrong strategy on the right ticker still loses money — match the trade to your view, not the other way around.

AMAT (AMAT) — is now a good entry?

Entry timing on AMAT (AMAT) is a function of your floor price (hard buy zone) and golden price (back-the-truck-up zone). Both are personal — set them in your watchlist and we'll alert you when the market hits either level.

FAQ

Why does AMAT show different P/E numbers on different sites?

Different data providers use different earnings windows (TTM vs forward, GAAP vs adjusted) and update at different cadences. We surface trailing P/E with a 5-year percentile rank to give context — a P/E of 30 is hot for one stock and cold for another.

Does this page show AMAT's implied volatility?

Not on this v0 page — the dedicated volatility tool covers IV with multi-source voting (IBKR + Polygon + yfinance). For pure IV lookup, use /tools/volatility. This page is for decision-stage queries that pull together valuation + portfolio context.

How is this different from Yahoo Finance or 雪球's AMAT page?

Those sites are great for raw data discovery — last price, news, headline P/E. This page is built for the second look: you've already seen a single-dimension signal somewhere else, now you need multi-dimensional decision context (your floor, the valuation percentile, your portfolio overlay) in one view, not five tabs.