AMD (AMD)

Secondary decision view: valuation · portfolio context · the data you need before acting on a single-source signal.
Neutral

AMD is rated NEUTRAL as its valuation is considered fair with no extreme signals, while the lack of a buy zone and unreliable floor data keep the outlook balanced.

  • Current PE of $147.73 sits at the 63.8th percentile, a fair valuation that is neither distressed nor deeply undervalued.
  • The stock lacks a defined buy zone, and the floor analysis is unreliable (valid_floors_count = 0, warnings about unsuitability), preventing a bullish tilt.
  • Implied volatility rank at 68.9% is neutral, and there are zero risk alerts, reinforcing a steady, non-extreme risk profile.
Verdict bucket from deterministic rule (validation / floor distance / risk alerts). LLM narration only — never picks the bucket.

BUY-ZONE DECISION rule signal

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Macro context

Across past macro events, AMD 5d reaction has been net positive +1.6%
13 event categories · 107 samples · 54 up / 50 down · macro-beta evidence only
Per-category detail · macro beta breakdown
fed-fomc-rate-cycle → avg 5d +4.5% 12 samples · 6 up / 4 down
taiwan-strait-tension → avg 5d +4.1% 12 samples · 6 up / 5 down
oil-shock → avg 5d -1.0% 10 samples · 3 up / 7 down
us-china-tariff-escalation → avg 5d -0.3% 10 samples · 6 up / 4 down
big-ipo-event → avg 5d -0.8% 9 samples · 5 up / 4 down
bank-crisis → avg 5d +3.8% 8 samples · 5 up / 3 down
big-tech-earnings-shock → avg 5d +4.4% 7 samples · 5 up / 2 down
election-uncertainty → avg 5d +2.0% 7 samples · 2 up / 5 down
natural-disaster → avg 5d -1.0% 7 samples · 3 up / 4 down
pandemic-emergency → avg 5d +7.1% 7 samples · 6 up / 1 down
sovereign-debt-crisis → avg 5d -0.8% 7 samples · 4 up / 3 down
china-property-crisis → avg 5d +2.0% 6 samples · 2 up / 4 down
russia-ukraine-war → avg 5d -6.6% 5 samples · 1 up / 4 down
Vs sector ETF (XLK, 5d)
+17.8pp leading sector
AMD +21.7% Sector benchmark XLK +3.9%
Macro-beta evidence: how this ticker historically reacted to broad macro shocks. Not a thesis-level call — for that, you have to read the news and decide.

RULES & ALERTS FIRING

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VALUATION

Neutral
Trailing P/E
⚠️ 147.7
5-yr percentile: 64%
P/B
11.3
5-yr percentile: 100%
P/S 19.5x Very Expensive
PE > 100x: current earnings are not the pricing basis; the market is pricing future growth optionality. P/S uses revenue as the basis — unaffected by losses or low earnings. Tech growth reference: <5x fair, 5-10x expensive, >10x very expensive, >20x requires extremely high growth.
p10
77.0
p25
91.2
p50
113.7
p75
306.6
p90
422.3
Sufficient earnings data; P/E historical percentile directly measures overvaluation or undervaluation

Floor Engine

Floor data pending
The next daily scan will fill in hard-logic floors for AMD. If it doesn't appear after a few days, contact the admin.

YOUR WATCHLIST CONTEXT

○ anonymous
What you'll see after sign-in
Your floor
$XXX.XX
Your golden
$XXX.XX
Market
XXX

· Your personal floor / golden price overlay on the live price

· Per-ticker rule alerts when this stock crosses your thresholds

· Position P&L overlay — what this ticker means inside your full portfolio

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IMPLIED VOLATILITY

CURRENT IV 70.8% HV (30D) 77.0% IV RANK (1Y) 69 NEUTRAL
IV vs HV · last 1 year

Earnings Reactions

AMD
8 earnings events · last 2 years
Avg Gap%
-1.36%
Avg Day%
-1.67%
Up Hit Rate
38%
Next Earnings · est.
2026-08-04
in 83d
24-07
24-10
25-02
25-05
25-08
25-11
26-02
26-05
Bar height = |Gap%| normalized to the period max. Green = up, red = down.
Date Time EPS Surprise Gap% Day% Week%
2026-05-05 AMC 1.37 +5.8% +15.26% +18.61%
2026-02-03 AMC 1.53 +16.0% -11.20% -17.31% -11.78%
2025-11-04 AMC 0.75 +10.0% -2.72% +2.51% +3.54%
2025-08-05 AMC 0.48 -0.6% -5.31% -6.42% +5.80%
2025-05-06 AMC 0.96 +2.8% +2.16% +1.76% +19.37%
2025-02-04 AMC 1.09 +0.4% -9.95% -6.27% -6.51%
2024-10-29 AMC 0.92 +0.5% -7.96% -10.62% -12.72%
2024-07-30 AMC 0.69 +1.3% +8.88% +4.36% -7.06%

Is AMD (AMD) overvalued right now?

AMD (AMD) is currently trading at a trailing P/E of 147.7, sitting at the 64th percentile of its 5-year valuation history. A high percentile suggests the market is pricing the stock above its own historical norm — useful context before sizing a new position or selling premium against it.

AMD (AMD) — what's the SELL PUT risk profile?

Selling cash-secured puts on AMD (AMD) is a common income strategy, but the right strike depends on your floor price (the level you'd happily own at) and the option chain's buffer/APY tradeoff. The full ladder view (deferred to a future release) ranks candidates by buffer percentage first, then APY — see the option ladder methodology for why buffer matters more than yield in this strategy.

AMD (AMD) — which option strategy fits your view?

If you're bullish long-term but cautious near-term on AMD (AMD), SELL PUT into your floor zone collects premium while waiting for a better entry. If you already own it and are neutral-to-mildly-bullish, COVERED CALL caps upside but harvests time decay. The wrong strategy on the right ticker still loses money — match the trade to your view, not the other way around.

AMD (AMD) — is now a good entry?

Entry timing on AMD (AMD) is a function of your floor price (hard buy zone) and golden price (back-the-truck-up zone). Both are personal — set them in your watchlist and we'll alert you when the market hits either level.

FAQ

Why does AMD show different P/E numbers on different sites?

Different data providers use different earnings windows (TTM vs forward, GAAP vs adjusted) and update at different cadences. We surface trailing P/E with a 5-year percentile rank to give context — a P/E of 30 is hot for one stock and cold for another.

Does this page show AMD's implied volatility?

Not on this v0 page — the dedicated volatility tool covers IV with multi-source voting (IBKR + Polygon + yfinance). For pure IV lookup, use /tools/volatility. This page is for decision-stage queries that pull together valuation + portfolio context.

How is this different from Yahoo Finance or 雪球's AMD page?

Those sites are great for raw data discovery — last price, news, headline P/E. This page is built for the second look: you've already seen a single-dimension signal somewhere else, now you need multi-dimensional decision context (your floor, the valuation percentile, your portfolio overlay) in one view, not five tabs.