ARM (ARM)

Secondary decision view: valuation · portfolio context · the data you need before acting on a single-source signal.
Neutral

ARM is in a NEUTRAL zone because extreme valuation and a high implied volatility are balanced by a validated floor distance and no red alerts.

  • The PE ratio of $252.40 sits at the 100th percentile, earning a "expensive" label, and the stock trades at a 1905.9% distance from the buyzone — both signs of stretched pricing.
  • Current implied volatility is 95.89%, with a 1‑year IV rank of 99.1% flagged as "high," indicating elevated uncertainty that tempers bullish conviction.
  • The stock holds a 20.06% discount to its calculated floor, the valuation flag is "green", and there are zero red alerts — providing a counterbalance that prevents a bearish verdict.
Verdict bucket from deterministic rule (validation / floor distance / risk alerts). LLM narration only — never picks the bucket.

BUY-ZONE DECISION rule signal

$213.27 $10.63 engine floor
far above at floor

ARM is far above the floor (~1905.9% above) — adding here means paying a premium vs. your own threshold. Wait or take partial position only with a strong directional view. valuation expensive (100th percentile)

RULES & ALERTS FIRING

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VALUATION

Expensive
Trailing P/E
⚠️ 252.4
5-yr percentile: 100%
P/B
29.0
5-yr percentile: 100%
P/S 48.6x Extremely Expensive
PE > 100x: current earnings are not the pricing basis; the market is pricing future growth optionality. P/S uses revenue as the basis — unaffected by losses or low earnings. Tech growth reference: <5x fair, 5-10x expensive, >10x very expensive, >20x requires extremely high growth.
p10
144.4
p25
154.0
p50
169.2
p75
187.6
p90
242.3
Sufficient earnings data; P/E historical percentile directly measures overvaluation or undervaluation

Floor Engine

partial USD 213.27 Confidence low
discount-to-floor: 20.06×
VALUATION low
method skipped: insufficient PE history (6 months, need 60)
PE reverts to historical 5th-percentile (extreme undervaluation)
EPV medium
USD 10.63
Zero-growth scenario + current cash/debt (Greenwald franchise value)
Default fallback to epv method
EPV GROWTH PREMIUM low
USD 13.02
EPV × franchise-value multiplier (compounder premium when ROIC > WACC)

YOUR WATCHLIST CONTEXT

○ anonymous
What you'll see after sign-in
Your floor
$XXX.XX
Your golden
$XXX.XX
Market
XXX

· Your personal floor / golden price overlay on the live price

· Per-ticker rule alerts when this stock crosses your thresholds

· Position P&L overlay — what this ticker means inside your full portfolio

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IMPLIED VOLATILITY

CURRENT IV 95.9% HV (30D) 95.7% IV RANK (1Y) 99 HIGH
IV vs HV · last 1 year

Earnings Reactions

ARM
8 earnings events · last 2 years
Avg Gap%
-2.34%
Avg Day%
-2.05%
Up Hit Rate
25%
Next Earnings · est.
2026-07-29
in 77d
24-07
24-11
25-02
25-05
25-07
25-11
26-02
26-05
Bar height = |Gap%| normalized to the period max. Green = up, red = down.
Date Time EPS Surprise Gap% Day% Week%
2026-05-05 AMC 0.29 -20.7% +11.09% +13.63%
2026-02-04 AMC 0.43 +5.1% -0.40% +5.70% +16.48%
2025-11-05 AMC 0.39 +17.7% +4.25% -1.21% -12.41%
2025-07-30 AMC 0.35 -0.3% -9.17% -13.44% -16.99%
2025-05-07 AMC 0.55 +5.0% -4.02% -6.18% +7.15%
2025-02-05 AMC 0.39 +14.0% -6.50% -3.34% -4.87%
2024-11-06 AMC 0.30 +17.1% -3.23% +4.13% -5.76%
2024-07-31 AMC 0.21 +23.1% -10.72% -15.72% -17.85%

Is ARM (ARM) overvalued right now?

ARM (ARM) is currently trading at a trailing P/E of 252.4, sitting at the 100th percentile of its 5-year valuation history. A high percentile suggests the market is pricing the stock above its own historical norm — useful context before sizing a new position or selling premium against it.

ARM (ARM) — what's the SELL PUT risk profile?

Selling cash-secured puts on ARM (ARM) is a common income strategy, but the right strike depends on your floor price (the level you'd happily own at) and the option chain's buffer/APY tradeoff. The full ladder view (deferred to a future release) ranks candidates by buffer percentage first, then APY — see the option ladder methodology for why buffer matters more than yield in this strategy.

ARM (ARM) — which option strategy fits your view?

If you're bullish long-term but cautious near-term on ARM (ARM), SELL PUT into your floor zone collects premium while waiting for a better entry. If you already own it and are neutral-to-mildly-bullish, COVERED CALL caps upside but harvests time decay. The wrong strategy on the right ticker still loses money — match the trade to your view, not the other way around.

ARM (ARM) — is now a good entry?

Entry timing on ARM (ARM) is a function of your floor price (hard buy zone) and golden price (back-the-truck-up zone). Both are personal — set them in your watchlist and we'll alert you when the market hits either level.

FAQ

Why does ARM show different P/E numbers on different sites?

Different data providers use different earnings windows (TTM vs forward, GAAP vs adjusted) and update at different cadences. We surface trailing P/E with a 5-year percentile rank to give context — a P/E of 30 is hot for one stock and cold for another.

Does this page show ARM's implied volatility?

Not on this v0 page — the dedicated volatility tool covers IV with multi-source voting (IBKR + Polygon + yfinance). For pure IV lookup, use /tools/volatility. This page is for decision-stage queries that pull together valuation + portfolio context.

How is this different from Yahoo Finance or 雪球's ARM page?

Those sites are great for raw data discovery — last price, news, headline P/E. This page is built for the second look: you've already seen a single-dimension signal somewhere else, now you need multi-dimensional decision context (your floor, the valuation percentile, your portfolio overlay) in one view, not five tabs.