CAT (CAT)

Secondary decision view: valuation · portfolio context · the data you need before acting on a single-source signal.
Neutral rule-based

CAT has no clear signal.

  • Buy-zone state: far (+345.9% to floor)
  • Valuation label: expensive
Verdict bucket from deterministic rule (validation / floor distance / risk alerts). LLM narration only — never picks the bucket.

BUY-ZONE DECISION rule signal

$856.57 $192.09 engine floor
far above at floor

CAT is far above the floor (~345.9% above) — adding here means paying a premium vs. your own threshold. Wait or take partial position only with a strong directional view. valuation expensive (91th percentile)

RULES & ALERTS FIRING

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VALUATION

Expensive
Trailing P/E
48.0
5-yr percentile: 91%
P/B
23.8
5-yr percentile: 100%
p10
11.1
p25
14.6
p50
16.9
p75
26.6
p90
43.3
Sufficient earnings data; P/E historical percentile directly measures overvaluation or undervaluation

Floor Engine

ideal USD 856.57 Confidence high
discount-to-floor: 4.46×
DIVIDEND high
USD 345.99
Yield reverts to historical 95th-percentile (extreme yield level)
45y dividend history (≥10), dividend method reliable
VALUATION high
USD 342.19
PE reverts to historical 5th-percentile (extreme undervaluation)
EPV high
USD 192.09
Zero-growth scenario + current cash/debt (Greenwald franchise value)
EPV GROWTH PREMIUM low
USD 292.48
EPV × franchise-value multiplier (compounder premium when ROIC > WACC)

YOUR WATCHLIST CONTEXT

○ anonymous
What you'll see after sign-in
Your floor
$XXX.XX
Your golden
$XXX.XX
Market
XXX

· Your personal floor / golden price overlay on the live price

· Per-ticker rule alerts when this stock crosses your thresholds

· Position P&L overlay — what this ticker means inside your full portfolio

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IMPLIED VOLATILITY

CURRENT IV 38.6% HV (30D) 38.6% IV RANK (1Y) 49 NEUTRAL
IV vs HV · last 1 year

Earnings Reactions

CAT
8 earnings events · last 2 years
Avg Gap%
+2.22%
Avg Day%
+3.06%
Up Hit Rate
62%
Next Earnings · est.
2026-10-29
in 73d
24-10
25-01
25-04
25-08
25-10
26-01
26-04
26-08
Bar height = |Gap%| normalized to the period max. Green = up, red = down.
Date Time EPS Surprise Gap% Day% Week%
2026-08-04 BMO 8.17 +31.8% +11.08% +5.60% +1.61%
2026-04-30 BMO 5.54 +19.3% +5.75% +9.88% +10.57%
2026-01-29 BMO 5.16 +9.5% +1.85% +3.41% +5.45%
2025-10-29 BMO 4.95 +9.4% +6.43% +11.63% +8.52%
2025-08-05 BMO 4.72 -3.7% -1.40% +0.12% -4.84%
2025-04-30 BMO 4.25 -2.2% +2.54% +0.61% +4.19%
2025-01-30 BMO 5.14 +2.2% -5.02% -4.64% -7.06%
2024-10-30 BMO 5.17 -3.4% -3.49% -2.13% +7.58%

Is CAT (CAT) overvalued right now?

CAT (CAT) is currently trading at a trailing P/E of 48.0, sitting at the 91th percentile of its 5-year valuation history. A high percentile suggests the market is pricing the stock above its own historical norm — useful context before sizing a new position or selling premium against it.

CAT (CAT) — what's the SELL PUT risk profile?

Selling cash-secured puts on CAT (CAT) is a common income strategy, but the right strike depends on your floor price (the level you'd happily own at) and the option chain's buffer/APY tradeoff. The full ladder view (deferred to a future release) ranks candidates by buffer percentage first, then APY — see the option ladder methodology for why buffer matters more than yield in this strategy.

CAT (CAT) — which option strategy fits your view?

If you're bullish long-term but cautious near-term on CAT (CAT), SELL PUT into your floor zone collects premium while waiting for a better entry. If you already own it and are neutral-to-mildly-bullish, COVERED CALL caps upside but harvests time decay. The wrong strategy on the right ticker still loses money — match the trade to your view, not the other way around.

CAT (CAT) — is now a good entry?

Entry timing on CAT (CAT) is a function of your floor price (hard buy zone) and golden price (back-the-truck-up zone). Both are personal — set them in your watchlist and we'll alert you when the market hits either level.

FAQ

Why does CAT show different P/E numbers on different sites?

Different data providers use different earnings windows (TTM vs forward, GAAP vs adjusted) and update at different cadences. We surface trailing P/E with a 5-year percentile rank to give context — a P/E of 30 is hot for one stock and cold for another.

Does this page show CAT's implied volatility?

Not on this v0 page — the dedicated volatility tool covers IV with multi-source voting (IBKR + Polygon + yfinance). For pure IV lookup, use /tools/volatility. This page is for decision-stage queries that pull together valuation + portfolio context.

How is this different from Yahoo Finance or 雪球's CAT page?

Those sites are great for raw data discovery — last price, news, headline P/E. This page is built for the second look: you've already seen a single-dimension signal somewhere else, now you need multi-dimensional decision context (your floor, the valuation percentile, your portfolio overlay) in one view, not five tabs.