CMC (CMC)

Secondary decision view: valuation · portfolio context · the data you need before acting on a single-source signal.
Neutral rule-based

CMC has no clear signal.

  • Buy-zone state: approaching (+21.8% to floor)
Verdict bucket from deterministic rule (validation / floor distance / risk alerts). LLM narration only — never picks the bucket.

BUY-ZONE DECISION rule signal

$63.58 → $52.21 engine floor
far above at floor

CMC is approaching the floor (~21.8% above) — wait. Not yet in the action zone, but on the watch list.

RULES & ALERTS FIRING

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VALUATION

Valuation data not yet available for this ticker. Try again in a few minutes.

Floor Engine

ideal USD 63.58 Confidence medium
discount-to-floor: 1.22×
DIVIDEND ★ high ⓘ
USD 52.21
Yield reverts to historical 95th-percentile (extreme yield level)
41y dividend history (≥10), dividend method reliable
VALUATION low ⓘ
—
method skipped: insufficient PE history (8 months, need 60)
PE reverts to historical 5th-percentile (extreme undervaluation)
EPV high ⓘ
USD 79.28
Zero-growth scenario + current cash/debt (Greenwald franchise value)
EPV GROWTH PREMIUM low ⓘ
USD 107.06
EPV × franchise-value multiplier (compounder premium when ROIC > WACC)

YOUR WATCHLIST CONTEXT

○ anonymous
What you'll see after sign-in
Your floor
$XXX.XX
Your golden
$XXX.XX
Market
XXX

· Your personal floor / golden price overlay on the live price

· Per-ticker rule alerts when this stock crosses your thresholds

· Position P&L overlay — what this ticker means inside your full portfolio

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IMPLIED VOLATILITY

CURRENT IV 32.3% HV (30D) 32.3% IV RANK (1Y) 22 LOW
IV vs HV · last 1 year

Earnings Reactions

CMC
8 earnings events · last 2 years
Avg Gap%
-2.24%
Avg Day%
-0.13%
Up Hit Rate
25%
Next Earnings · est.
2026-10-15
in 11d
24-10
25-01
25-03
25-06
25-10
26-01
26-03
26-06
Bar height = |Gap%| normalized to the period max. Green = up, red = down.
Date Time EPS Surprise Gap% Day% Week%
2026-06-25 BMO 1.73 +1.3% +1.67% +3.94% -13.40%
2026-03-26 BMO 1.16 -10.5% -7.10% -4.69% -0.99%
2026-01-08 BMO 1.84 +22.3% -2.29% -3.56% +3.52%
2025-10-16 BMO 1.37 +2.1% -3.03% -7.26% +1.99%
2025-06-23 BMO 0.74 -12.9% -1.75% +1.21% +0.47%
2025-03-20 BMO 0.26 -14.5% -3.69% +1.07% +3.24%
2025-01-06 BMO 0.78 -1.5% +1.37% +3.11% +0.41%
2024-10-17 BMO 0.90 +4.5% -3.11% +5.11% -3.37%

Is CMC (CMC) overvalued right now?

Whether CMC (CMC) is overvalued depends on the lens you use: trailing P/E vs its own history, CAPE vs the broader market, earnings yield vs Treasury yields. We surface all three so you don't have to pick one in isolation.

CMC (CMC) — what's the SELL PUT risk profile?

Selling cash-secured puts on CMC (CMC) is a common income strategy, but the right strike depends on your floor price (the level you'd happily own at) and the option chain's buffer/APY tradeoff. The full ladder view (deferred to a future release) ranks candidates by buffer percentage first, then APY — see the option ladder methodology for why buffer matters more than yield in this strategy.

CMC (CMC) — which option strategy fits your view?

If you're bullish long-term but cautious near-term on CMC (CMC), SELL PUT into your floor zone collects premium while waiting for a better entry. If you already own it and are neutral-to-mildly-bullish, COVERED CALL caps upside but harvests time decay. The wrong strategy on the right ticker still loses money — match the trade to your view, not the other way around.

CMC (CMC) — is now a good entry?

Entry timing on CMC (CMC) is a function of your floor price (hard buy zone) and golden price (back-the-truck-up zone). Both are personal — set them in your watchlist and we'll alert you when the market hits either level.

FAQ

Why does CMC show different P/E numbers on different sites?

Different data providers use different earnings windows (TTM vs forward, GAAP vs adjusted) and update at different cadences. We surface trailing P/E with a 5-year percentile rank to give context — a P/E of 30 is hot for one stock and cold for another.

Does this page show CMC's implied volatility?

Not on this v0 page — the dedicated volatility tool covers IV with multi-source voting (IBKR + Polygon + yfinance). For pure IV lookup, use /tools/volatility. This page is for decision-stage queries that pull together valuation + portfolio context.

How is this different from Yahoo Finance or 雪球's CMC page?

Those sites are great for raw data discovery — last price, news, headline P/E. This page is built for the second look: you've already seen a single-dimension signal somewhere else, now you need multi-dimensional decision context (your floor, the valuation percentile, your portfolio overlay) in one view, not five tabs.