CSCO (CSCO)

Secondary decision view: valuation · portfolio context · the data you need before acting on a single-source signal.
Neutral

CSCO is rated NEUTRAL as its expensive valuation and elevated volatility are balanced by a strong floor underpinning the current price.

  • The current PE of $35.46 sits at the 94.2nd percentile, making the stock expensive on a historical earnings basis.
  • Implied volatility ranks high at the 85.6th percentile, reflecting above-average uncertainty in the options market.
  • Despite the high valuation, the stock trades only 2.6% above its estimated floor of $96.66, with high floor confidence and three valid floor calculations providing downside support.
Verdict bucket from deterministic rule (validation / floor distance / risk alerts). LLM narration only — never picks the bucket.

BUY-ZONE DECISION rule signal

$99.29 $37.71 engine floor
far above at floor

CSCO is far above the floor (~163.3% above) — adding here means paying a premium vs. your own threshold. Wait or take partial position only with a strong directional view. valuation expensive (94th percentile)

RULES & ALERTS FIRING

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VALUATION

Expensive
Trailing P/E
35.5
5-yr percentile: 94%
P/B
8.2
5-yr percentile: 100%
p10
13.2
p25
14.2
p50
16.1
p75
20.9
p90
29.1

CSCO appears cheap on a forward basis with a PEG of 0.62, but its trailing P/E at the 94th percentile and P/B at the 100th percentile signal that current earnings growth is already priced in. The 31% earnings growth justifies the elevated multiples, but the market is fully discounting this expansion with no margin of safety. The biggest risk is that revenue growth decelerates from 10%, exposing the stretched trailing multiples and leading to multiple compression.

Sufficient earnings data; P/E historical percentile directly measures overvaluation or undervaluation

Floor Engine

ideal USD 99.29 Confidence high
discount-to-floor: 2.63×
DIVIDEND high
USD 38.06
Yield reverts to historical 95th-percentile (extreme yield level)
16y dividend history (≥10), dividend method reliable
VALUATION high
USD 56.80
PE reverts to historical 5th-percentile (extreme undervaluation)
EPV high
USD 37.71
Zero-growth scenario + current cash/debt (Greenwald franchise value)
EPV GROWTH PREMIUM low
USD 68.39
EPV × franchise-value multiplier (compounder premium when ROIC > WACC)
PB medium
USD 25.56
P/B reverts to historical 10th-percentile (asset-driven businesses)

YOUR WATCHLIST CONTEXT

○ anonymous
What you'll see after sign-in
Your floor
$XXX.XX
Your golden
$XXX.XX
Market
XXX

· Your personal floor / golden price overlay on the live price

· Per-ticker rule alerts when this stock crosses your thresholds

· Position P&L overlay — what this ticker means inside your full portfolio

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IMPLIED VOLATILITY

CURRENT IV 30.4% HV (30D) 25.9% IV RANK (1Y) 86 HIGH
IV vs HV · last 1 year

Earnings Reactions

CSCO
8 earnings events · last 2 years
Avg Gap%
+1.43%
Avg Day%
-0.04%
Up Hit Rate
62%
Next Earnings · est.
2026-05-13
today
24-05
24-08
24-11
25-02
25-05
25-08
25-11
26-02
Bar height = |Gap%| normalized to the period max. Green = up, red = down.
Date Time EPS Surprise Gap% Day% Week%
2026-02-11 AMC 1.04 +1.8% -6.93% -12.32% -7.41%
2025-11-12 AMC 1.00 +1.8% +5.39% +4.62% +2.00%
2025-08-13 AMC 0.99 +1.3% -3.41% -1.56% -4.80%
2025-05-14 AMC 0.96 +4.6% +2.90% +4.85% +3.38%
2025-02-12 AMC 0.94 +3.4% +5.71% +2.10% +2.32%
2024-11-13 AMC 0.68 +51.5% -0.32% -2.13% -2.74%
2024-08-14 AMC 0.87 +2.5% +7.28% +6.80% +10.52%
2024-05-15 AMC 0.88 +7.7% +0.83% -2.68% -6.18%

Is CSCO (CSCO) overvalued right now?

CSCO (CSCO) is currently trading at a trailing P/E of 35.5, sitting at the 94th percentile of its 5-year valuation history. A high percentile suggests the market is pricing the stock above its own historical norm — useful context before sizing a new position or selling premium against it.

CSCO (CSCO) — what's the SELL PUT risk profile?

Selling cash-secured puts on CSCO (CSCO) is a common income strategy, but the right strike depends on your floor price (the level you'd happily own at) and the option chain's buffer/APY tradeoff. The full ladder view (deferred to a future release) ranks candidates by buffer percentage first, then APY — see the option ladder methodology for why buffer matters more than yield in this strategy.

CSCO (CSCO) — which option strategy fits your view?

If you're bullish long-term but cautious near-term on CSCO (CSCO), SELL PUT into your floor zone collects premium while waiting for a better entry. If you already own it and are neutral-to-mildly-bullish, COVERED CALL caps upside but harvests time decay. The wrong strategy on the right ticker still loses money — match the trade to your view, not the other way around.

CSCO (CSCO) — is now a good entry?

Entry timing on CSCO (CSCO) is a function of your floor price (hard buy zone) and golden price (back-the-truck-up zone). Both are personal — set them in your watchlist and we'll alert you when the market hits either level.

FAQ

Why does CSCO show different P/E numbers on different sites?

Different data providers use different earnings windows (TTM vs forward, GAAP vs adjusted) and update at different cadences. We surface trailing P/E with a 5-year percentile rank to give context — a P/E of 30 is hot for one stock and cold for another.

Does this page show CSCO's implied volatility?

Not on this v0 page — the dedicated volatility tool covers IV with multi-source voting (IBKR + Polygon + yfinance). For pure IV lookup, use /tools/volatility. This page is for decision-stage queries that pull together valuation + portfolio context.

How is this different from Yahoo Finance or 雪球's CSCO page?

Those sites are great for raw data discovery — last price, news, headline P/E. This page is built for the second look: you've already seen a single-dimension signal somewhere else, now you need multi-dimensional decision context (your floor, the valuation percentile, your portfolio overlay) in one view, not five tabs.