CSCO (CSCO)

Secondary decision view: valuation · portfolio context · the data you need before acting on a single-source signal.
Neutral

CSCO appears to be fairly valued at its current price, with the current PE far above typical historical levels and the price trading well above its estimated floor.

  • The current PE of $40.06 sits at the 93rd percentile, indicating the stock is expensive relative to its own history.
  • The current price of $113.77 is 201% above its estimated floor, positioning the stock in the far buyzone bucket.
  • Volatility is elevated (IV rank at 99.2%), but there are no risk alerts or red alerts, suggesting no immediate distress.
Verdict bucket from deterministic rule (validation / floor distance / risk alerts). LLM narration only — never picks the bucket.

BUY-ZONE DECISION rule signal

$113.77 $37.79 engine floor
far above at floor

CSCO is far above the floor (~201.0% above) — adding here means paying a premium vs. your own threshold. Wait or take partial position only with a strong directional view. valuation expensive (93th percentile)

RULES & ALERTS FIRING

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VALUATION

Expensive
Trailing P/E
40.1
5-yr percentile: 93%
P/B
9.5
5-yr percentile: 100%
p10
13.2
p25
14.2
p50
16.2
p75
21.4
p90
29.6

CSCO appears cheap on a forward basis with a PEG of 0.62, but its trailing P/E at the 94th percentile and P/B at the 100th percentile signal that current earnings growth is already priced in. The 31% earnings growth justifies the elevated multiples, but the market is fully discounting this expansion with no margin of safety. The biggest risk is that revenue growth decelerates from 10%, exposing the stretched trailing multiples and leading to multiple compression.

Sufficient earnings data; P/E historical percentile directly measures overvaluation or undervaluation

Floor Engine

ideal USD 113.77 Confidence high
discount-to-floor: 3.01×
DIVIDEND high
USD 38.06
Yield reverts to historical 95th-percentile (extreme yield level)
VALUATION high
USD 60.15
PE reverts to historical 5th-percentile (extreme undervaluation)
EPV high
USD 37.79
Zero-growth scenario + current cash/debt (Greenwald franchise value)
EPV GROWTH PREMIUM low
USD 67.62
EPV × franchise-value multiplier (compounder premium when ROIC > WACC)
PB medium
USD 25.82
P/B reverts to historical 10th-percentile (asset-driven businesses)
PSR medium
USD 44.18
PSR reverts to historical 10th-percentile (growth stocks pre-stable-earnings)
High-growth, earnings not yet stable — PSR is the next-best anchor

YOUR WATCHLIST CONTEXT

○ anonymous
What you'll see after sign-in
Your floor
$XXX.XX
Your golden
$XXX.XX
Market
XXX

· Your personal floor / golden price overlay on the live price

· Per-ticker rule alerts when this stock crosses your thresholds

· Position P&L overlay — what this ticker means inside your full portfolio

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IMPLIED VOLATILITY

CURRENT IV 53.4% HV (30D) 53.4% IV RANK (1Y) 99 HIGH
IV vs HV · last 1 year

Earnings Reactions

CSCO
8 earnings events · last 2 years
Avg Gap%
+3.25%
Avg Day%
+1.97%
Up Hit Rate
62%
Next Earnings · est.
2026-08-12
in 45d
24-08
24-11
25-02
25-05
25-08
25-11
26-02
26-05
Bar height = |Gap%| normalized to the period max. Green = up, red = down.
Date Time EPS Surprise Gap% Day% Week%
2026-05-13 AMC 1.06 +2.3% +15.39% +13.41% +16.03%
2026-02-11 AMC 1.04 +1.8% -6.93% -12.32% -7.41%
2025-11-12 AMC 1.00 +1.8% +5.39% +4.62% +2.00%
2025-08-13 AMC 0.99 +1.3% -3.41% -1.56% -4.80%
2025-05-14 AMC 0.96 +4.6% +2.90% +4.85% +3.38%
2025-02-12 AMC 0.94 +3.4% +5.71% +2.10% +2.32%
2024-11-13 AMC 0.91 +4.5% -0.32% -2.13% -2.74%
2024-08-14 AMC 0.87 +2.5% +7.28% +6.80% +10.52%

Is CSCO (CSCO) overvalued right now?

CSCO (CSCO) is currently trading at a trailing P/E of 40.1, sitting at the 93th percentile of its 5-year valuation history. A high percentile suggests the market is pricing the stock above its own historical norm — useful context before sizing a new position or selling premium against it.

CSCO (CSCO) — what's the SELL PUT risk profile?

Selling cash-secured puts on CSCO (CSCO) is a common income strategy, but the right strike depends on your floor price (the level you'd happily own at) and the option chain's buffer/APY tradeoff. The full ladder view (deferred to a future release) ranks candidates by buffer percentage first, then APY — see the option ladder methodology for why buffer matters more than yield in this strategy.

CSCO (CSCO) — which option strategy fits your view?

If you're bullish long-term but cautious near-term on CSCO (CSCO), SELL PUT into your floor zone collects premium while waiting for a better entry. If you already own it and are neutral-to-mildly-bullish, COVERED CALL caps upside but harvests time decay. The wrong strategy on the right ticker still loses money — match the trade to your view, not the other way around.

CSCO (CSCO) — is now a good entry?

Entry timing on CSCO (CSCO) is a function of your floor price (hard buy zone) and golden price (back-the-truck-up zone). Both are personal — set them in your watchlist and we'll alert you when the market hits either level.

FAQ

Why does CSCO show different P/E numbers on different sites?

Different data providers use different earnings windows (TTM vs forward, GAAP vs adjusted) and update at different cadences. We surface trailing P/E with a 5-year percentile rank to give context — a P/E of 30 is hot for one stock and cold for another.

Does this page show CSCO's implied volatility?

Not on this v0 page — the dedicated volatility tool covers IV with multi-source voting (IBKR + Polygon + yfinance). For pure IV lookup, use /tools/volatility. This page is for decision-stage queries that pull together valuation + portfolio context.

How is this different from Yahoo Finance or 雪球's CSCO page?

Those sites are great for raw data discovery — last price, news, headline P/E. This page is built for the second look: you've already seen a single-dimension signal somewhere else, now you need multi-dimensional decision context (your floor, the valuation percentile, your portfolio overlay) in one view, not five tabs.