GIS (GIS)

Secondary decision view: valuation · portfolio context · the data you need before acting on a single-source signal.
Neutral

GIS is rated NEUTRAL as the stock is 29.2% above its valuation floor but still approaching a buy zone, with moderate implied volatility and no red alerts.

  • The stock trades at $34.51, a 29.2% premium above the valuation floor of $26.71, indicating it is not yet at a compelling discount.
  • Implied volatility is 23.76% with a neutral IV rank of 60.2%, suggesting options are fairly priced without extreme fear or complacency.
  • No risk alerts are active, and the suitability verdict is 'ideal', but the dividend yield is already more extreme than its 5-year peak, which acts as a mean-reversion reference rather than a downside floor.
Verdict bucket from deterministic rule (validation / floor distance / risk alerts). LLM narration only — never picks the bucket.

BUY-ZONE DECISION rule signal

$34.51 $26.71 engine floor
far above at floor

GIS is approaching the floor (~29.2% above) — wait. Not yet in the action zone, but on the watch list.

RULES & ALERTS FIRING

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VALUATION

Valuation data not yet available for this ticker. Try again in a few minutes.

Floor Engine

ideal USD 34.51 Confidence medium
discount-to-floor: 1.29×
DIVIDEND low
method skipped: stock yield is already MORE EXTREME than its 5-year peak — current 7.07% vs historical 95th-pct 6.11%. The yield-percentile formula gives fwd_div / p95_yield = 39.91, which is ABOVE the current price 34.51, making it a mean-reversion target (price the yield would imply if normalized), not a downside floor.
Yield reverts to historical 95th-percentile (extreme yield level)
VALUATION high
USD 26.71
PE reverts to historical 5th-percentile (extreme undervaluation)
Default fallback to valuation method
EPV high
USD 38.78
Zero-growth scenario + current cash/debt (Greenwald franchise value)
EPV GROWTH PREMIUM low
USD 48.17
EPV × franchise-value multiplier (compounder premium when ROIC > WACC)
PB medium
USD 34.51
P/B reverts to historical 10th-percentile (asset-driven businesses)

YOUR WATCHLIST CONTEXT

○ anonymous
What you'll see after sign-in
Your floor
$XXX.XX
Your golden
$XXX.XX
Market
XXX

· Your personal floor / golden price overlay on the live price

· Per-ticker rule alerts when this stock crosses your thresholds

· Position P&L overlay — what this ticker means inside your full portfolio

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IMPLIED VOLATILITY

CURRENT IV 23.8% HV (30D) 23.8% IV RANK (1Y) 60 NEUTRAL
IV vs HV · last 1 year

Earnings Reactions

GIS
8 earnings events · last 2 years
Avg Gap%
-2.34%
Avg Day%
-1.81%
Up Hit Rate
12%
Next Earnings · est.
2026-07-01
in 15d
24-06
24-09
24-12
25-03
25-06
25-09
25-12
26-03
Bar height = |Gap%| normalized to the period max. Green = up, red = down.
Date Time EPS Surprise Gap% Day% Week%
2026-03-18 BMO 0.64 -12.1% -0.23% -2.97% -6.63%
2025-12-17 BMO 0.78 -25.0% +2.08% +3.38% -0.04%
2025-09-17 BMO 2.22 +162.2% -1.72% -0.77% +3.13%
2025-06-25 BMO 0.74 +4.1% -2.55% -5.11% +0.79%
2025-03-19 BMO 1.00 +4.0% -1.79% -2.05% -2.27%
2024-12-18 BMO 1.40 +15.0% -4.29% -3.06% -3.29%
2024-09-18 BMO 1.07 +1.0% -3.02% +0.68% -0.99%
2024-06-26 BMO 1.01 +1.6% -7.21% -4.59% -6.21%

Is GIS (GIS) overvalued right now?

Whether GIS (GIS) is overvalued depends on the lens you use: trailing P/E vs its own history, CAPE vs the broader market, earnings yield vs Treasury yields. We surface all three so you don't have to pick one in isolation.

GIS (GIS) — what's the SELL PUT risk profile?

Selling cash-secured puts on GIS (GIS) is a common income strategy, but the right strike depends on your floor price (the level you'd happily own at) and the option chain's buffer/APY tradeoff. The full ladder view (deferred to a future release) ranks candidates by buffer percentage first, then APY — see the option ladder methodology for why buffer matters more than yield in this strategy.

GIS (GIS) — which option strategy fits your view?

If you're bullish long-term but cautious near-term on GIS (GIS), SELL PUT into your floor zone collects premium while waiting for a better entry. If you already own it and are neutral-to-mildly-bullish, COVERED CALL caps upside but harvests time decay. The wrong strategy on the right ticker still loses money — match the trade to your view, not the other way around.

GIS (GIS) — is now a good entry?

Entry timing on GIS (GIS) is a function of your floor price (hard buy zone) and golden price (back-the-truck-up zone). Both are personal — set them in your watchlist and we'll alert you when the market hits either level.

FAQ

Why does GIS show different P/E numbers on different sites?

Different data providers use different earnings windows (TTM vs forward, GAAP vs adjusted) and update at different cadences. We surface trailing P/E with a 5-year percentile rank to give context — a P/E of 30 is hot for one stock and cold for another.

Does this page show GIS's implied volatility?

Not on this v0 page — the dedicated volatility tool covers IV with multi-source voting (IBKR + Polygon + yfinance). For pure IV lookup, use /tools/volatility. This page is for decision-stage queries that pull together valuation + portfolio context.

How is this different from Yahoo Finance or 雪球's GIS page?

Those sites are great for raw data discovery — last price, news, headline P/E. This page is built for the second look: you've already seen a single-dimension signal somewhere else, now you need multi-dimensional decision context (your floor, the valuation percentile, your portfolio overlay) in one view, not five tabs.