Alphabet Inc. (GOOG)

Secondary decision view: valuation · portfolio context · the data you need before acting on a single-source signal.
Neutral

Alphabet Inc. (GOOG) sits in a NEUTRAL zone as premium valuation metrics and a wide gap from its buyzone are balanced by a green validation flag and no red alerts.

  • Valuation is flagged as expensive with a PE percentile of 83.5% and a PB percentile of 84.5%, but the validation flag is green and there are zero red alerts.
  • The stock trades $362.29, which is 72.8% above its buyzone and 1.73% above the valuation floor, indicating limited downside support.
  • Implied volatility is high (IV rank 96.7%) and the suitability verdict is partial, with a medium confidence floor and a warning about reliance on a recent-window PE floor method.
Verdict bucket from deterministic rule (validation / floor distance / risk alerts). LLM narration only — never picks the bucket.

BUY-ZONE DECISION rule signal

$362.29 $209.66 engine floor
far above at floor

GOOG is far above the floor (~72.8% above) — adding here means paying a premium vs. your own threshold. Wait or take partial position only with a strong directional view. valuation expensive (84th percentile)

RULES & ALERTS FIRING

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VALUATION

Expensive
Trailing P/E
27.6
5-yr percentile: 84%
P/B
9.2
5-yr percentile: 84%
p10
17.9
p25
22.0
p50
24.6
p75
26.8
p90
28.6
Sufficient earnings data; P/E historical percentile directly measures overvaluation or undervaluation

Floor Engine

partial USD 362.29 Confidence medium
discount-to-floor: 1.73×
VALUATION medium
USD 269.42
PE reverts to historical 5th-percentile (extreme undervaluation)
Default fallback to valuation method
EPV medium
USD 209.66
Zero-growth scenario + current cash/debt (Greenwald franchise value)
EPV GROWTH PREMIUM low
USD 628.99
EPV × franchise-value multiplier (compounder premium when ROIC > WACC)

YOUR WATCHLIST CONTEXT

○ anonymous
What you'll see after sign-in
Your floor
$XXX.XX
Your golden
$XXX.XX
Market
XXX

· Your personal floor / golden price overlay on the live price

· Per-ticker rule alerts when this stock crosses your thresholds

· Position P&L overlay — what this ticker means inside your full portfolio

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IMPLIED VOLATILITY

CURRENT IV 38.6% HV (30D) 39.2% IV RANK (1Y) 97 HIGH
IV vs HV · last 1 year

Earnings Reactions

GOOG
8 earnings events · last 2 years
Avg Gap%
+1.11%
Avg Day%
+0.64%
Up Hit Rate
62%
Next Earnings · est.
2026-07-23
in 43d
24-07
24-10
25-02
25-04
25-07
25-10
26-02
26-04
Bar height = |Gap%| normalized to the period max. Green = up, red = down.
Date Time EPS Surprise Gap% Day% Week%
2026-04-29 AMC 5.11 +94.3% +6.89% +9.97% +13.82%
2026-02-04 AMC 2.82 +6.8% -6.04% -0.60% -7.19%
2025-10-29 AMC 2.87 +26.9% +6.01% +2.45% +3.70%
2025-07-23 AMC 2.31 +5.1% +3.45% +0.88% +0.70%
2025-04-24 AMC 2.81 +40.1% +3.49% +1.47% +2.69%
2025-02-04 AMC 2.15 +1.2% -7.03% -6.94% -10.73%
2024-10-29 AMC 2.12 +14.8% +6.59% +2.92% +4.20%
2024-07-23 AMC 1.89 +2.5% -4.47% -5.03% -5.69%

Is Alphabet Inc. (GOOG) overvalued right now?

Alphabet Inc. (GOOG) is currently trading at a trailing P/E of 27.6, sitting at the 84th percentile of its 5-year valuation history. A high percentile suggests the market is pricing the stock above its own historical norm — useful context before sizing a new position or selling premium against it.

Alphabet Inc. (GOOG) — what's the SELL PUT risk profile?

Selling cash-secured puts on Alphabet Inc. (GOOG) is a common income strategy, but the right strike depends on your floor price (the level you'd happily own at) and the option chain's buffer/APY tradeoff. The full ladder view (deferred to a future release) ranks candidates by buffer percentage first, then APY — see the option ladder methodology for why buffer matters more than yield in this strategy.

Alphabet Inc. (GOOG) — which option strategy fits your view?

If you're bullish long-term but cautious near-term on Alphabet Inc. (GOOG), SELL PUT into your floor zone collects premium while waiting for a better entry. If you already own it and are neutral-to-mildly-bullish, COVERED CALL caps upside but harvests time decay. The wrong strategy on the right ticker still loses money — match the trade to your view, not the other way around.

Alphabet Inc. (GOOG) — is now a good entry?

Entry timing on Alphabet Inc. (GOOG) is a function of your floor price (hard buy zone) and golden price (back-the-truck-up zone). Both are personal — set them in your watchlist and we'll alert you when the market hits either level.

FAQ

Why does GOOG show different P/E numbers on different sites?

Different data providers use different earnings windows (TTM vs forward, GAAP vs adjusted) and update at different cadences. We surface trailing P/E with a 5-year percentile rank to give context — a P/E of 30 is hot for one stock and cold for another.

Does this page show GOOG's implied volatility?

Not on this v0 page — the dedicated volatility tool covers IV with multi-source voting (IBKR + Polygon + yfinance). For pure IV lookup, use /tools/volatility. This page is for decision-stage queries that pull together valuation + portfolio context.

How is this different from Yahoo Finance or 雪球's GOOG page?

Those sites are great for raw data discovery — last price, news, headline P/E. This page is built for the second look: you've already seen a single-dimension signal somewhere else, now you need multi-dimensional decision context (your floor, the valuation percentile, your portfolio overlay) in one view, not five tabs.