HON (HON)

Secondary decision view: valuation · portfolio context · the data you need before acting on a single-source signal.
Neutral

HON is rated NEUTRAL as the current price sits 210.6% above the estimated floor, placing it far in the buyzone with no valuation or risk signals to tip the scales.

  • Current price of $237.86 trades 3.11% above the dividend floor of $203.42, but the overall distance to the primary floors is extreme at 210.6% — placing the stock in the 'far' buyzone bucket.
  • Implied volatility is at a 1-year high (IV rank 100%), yet no risk alerts or extreme-low valuation flags are present, leaving no clear catalyst for a more decisive bucket.
  • No valuation data (P/E, P/B, P/S) or earnings-yield spread is available, so the neutral stance rests solely on the large price-to-floor gap and absence of red flags.
Verdict bucket from deterministic rule (validation / floor distance / risk alerts). LLM narration only — never picks the bucket.

BUY-ZONE DECISION rule signal

$237.86 $76.57 engine floor
far above at floor

HON is far above the floor (~210.6% above) — adding here means paying a premium vs. your own threshold. Wait or take partial position only with a strong directional view.

RULES & ALERTS FIRING

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VALUATION

Valuation data not yet available for this ticker. Try again in a few minutes.

Floor Engine

ideal USD 237.86 Confidence high
discount-to-floor: 3.11×
DIVIDEND high
USD 203.42
Yield reverts to historical 95th-percentile (extreme yield level)
VALUATION high
USD 159.49
PE reverts to historical 5th-percentile (extreme undervaluation)
EPV high
USD 76.57
Zero-growth scenario + current cash/debt (Greenwald franchise value)
EPV GROWTH PREMIUM low
USD 106.93
EPV × franchise-value multiplier (compounder premium when ROIC > WACC)
PB medium
USD 99.90
P/B reverts to historical 10th-percentile (asset-driven businesses)
PSR medium
USD 121.72
PSR reverts to historical 10th-percentile (growth stocks pre-stable-earnings)
High-growth, earnings not yet stable — PSR is the next-best anchor

YOUR WATCHLIST CONTEXT

○ anonymous
What you'll see after sign-in
Your floor
$XXX.XX
Your golden
$XXX.XX
Market
XXX

· Your personal floor / golden price overlay on the live price

· Per-ticker rule alerts when this stock crosses your thresholds

· Position P&L overlay — what this ticker means inside your full portfolio

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IMPLIED VOLATILITY

CURRENT IV 37.0% HV (30D) 26.9% IV RANK (1Y) 100 HIGH

Earnings Reactions

HON
8 earnings events · last 2 years
Avg Gap%
-1.57%
Avg Day%
-0.95%
Up Hit Rate
38%
24-07
24-10
25-02
25-04
25-07
25-10
26-01
26-04
Bar height = |Gap%| normalized to the period max. Green = up, red = down.
Date Time EPS Surprise Gap% Day% Week%
2026-04-23 BMO 2.45 +5.5% -5.50% -2.56% -2.56%
2026-01-29 BMO 0.46 -78.9% +2.12% +4.89% +7.94%
2025-10-23 BMO 2.86 +20.5% +4.06% +6.81% +2.76%
2025-07-24 BMO 2.75 +3.4% -5.50% -6.18% -7.07%
2025-04-29 BMO 2.51 +13.6% +3.38% +5.40% +4.62%
2025-02-06 BMO 2.47 +5.3% -3.31% -5.64% -7.68%
2024-10-24 BMO 2.58 +3.1% -2.71% -5.10% -6.65%
2024-07-25 BMO 2.49 +3.1% -5.08% -5.24% -4.25%

Is HON (HON) overvalued right now?

Whether HON (HON) is overvalued depends on the lens you use: trailing P/E vs its own history, CAPE vs the broader market, earnings yield vs Treasury yields. We surface all three so you don't have to pick one in isolation.

HON (HON) — what's the SELL PUT risk profile?

Selling cash-secured puts on HON (HON) is a common income strategy, but the right strike depends on your floor price (the level you'd happily own at) and the option chain's buffer/APY tradeoff. The full ladder view (deferred to a future release) ranks candidates by buffer percentage first, then APY — see the option ladder methodology for why buffer matters more than yield in this strategy.

HON (HON) — which option strategy fits your view?

If you're bullish long-term but cautious near-term on HON (HON), SELL PUT into your floor zone collects premium while waiting for a better entry. If you already own it and are neutral-to-mildly-bullish, COVERED CALL caps upside but harvests time decay. The wrong strategy on the right ticker still loses money — match the trade to your view, not the other way around.

HON (HON) — is now a good entry?

Entry timing on HON (HON) is a function of your floor price (hard buy zone) and golden price (back-the-truck-up zone). Both are personal — set them in your watchlist and we'll alert you when the market hits either level.

FAQ

Why does HON show different P/E numbers on different sites?

Different data providers use different earnings windows (TTM vs forward, GAAP vs adjusted) and update at different cadences. We surface trailing P/E with a 5-year percentile rank to give context — a P/E of 30 is hot for one stock and cold for another.

Does this page show HON's implied volatility?

Not on this v0 page — the dedicated volatility tool covers IV with multi-source voting (IBKR + Polygon + yfinance). For pure IV lookup, use /tools/volatility. This page is for decision-stage queries that pull together valuation + portfolio context.

How is this different from Yahoo Finance or 雪球's HON page?

Those sites are great for raw data discovery — last price, news, headline P/E. This page is built for the second look: you've already seen a single-dimension signal somewhere else, now you need multi-dimensional decision context (your floor, the valuation percentile, your portfolio overlay) in one view, not five tabs.