HPE (HPE)

Secondary decision view: valuation · portfolio context · the data you need before acting on a single-source signal.
Neutral

HPE is rated NEUTRAL because the stock trades well above its floor valuation while near-term volatility and PE percentile are both elevated.

  • PE ratio of $36.90 sits at the 93rd percentile, making it historically expensive relative to earnings.
  • The current price of $43.71 is 9.38% above the calculated floor, indicating limited downside support.
  • Implied volatility rank is 99.6% (high), suggesting options are pricing in oversized moves despite no red alerts.
Verdict bucket from deterministic rule (validation / floor distance / risk alerts). LLM narration only — never picks the bucket.

BUY-ZONE DECISION rule signal

$43.71 $4.66 engine floor
far above at floor

HPE is far above the floor (~838.2% above) — adding here means paying a premium vs. your own threshold. Wait or take partial position only with a strong directional view. valuation expensive (93th percentile)

RULES & ALERTS FIRING

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VALUATION

Expensive Minor data-source discrepancy — does not affect trend analysis
Trailing P/E
36.9
5-yr percentile: 93%
P/B
2.6
5-yr percentile: 100%
p10
4.9
p25
8.4
p50
14.0
p75
20.4
p90
25.8
Sufficient earnings data; P/E historical percentile directly measures overvaluation or undervaluation

Floor Engine

acceptable USD 43.71 Confidence high
discount-to-floor: 9.38×
DIVIDEND high
USD 16.70
Yield reverts to historical 95th-percentile (extreme yield level)
12y dividend history (≥10), dividend method reliable
VALUATION high
USD 19.99
PE reverts to historical 5th-percentile (extreme undervaluation)
EPV high
USD 4.66
Zero-growth scenario + current cash/debt (Greenwald franchise value)
EPV GROWTH PREMIUM low
method skipped: ROIC (4.3%) does not exceed WACC (8.0%); the company is not earning excess returns, so EPV without growth premium is the appropriate anchor.
EPV × franchise-value multiplier (compounder premium when ROIC > WACC)
PB medium
USD 9.88
P/B reverts to historical 10th-percentile (asset-driven businesses)

YOUR WATCHLIST CONTEXT

○ anonymous
What you'll see after sign-in
Your floor
$XXX.XX
Your golden
$XXX.XX
Market
XXX

· Your personal floor / golden price overlay on the live price

· Per-ticker rule alerts when this stock crosses your thresholds

· Position P&L overlay — what this ticker means inside your full portfolio

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IMPLIED VOLATILITY

CURRENT IV 88.8% HV (30D) 88.8% IV RANK (1Y) 100 HIGH
IV vs HV · last 1 year

Earnings Reactions

HPE
8 earnings events · last 2 years
Avg Gap%
+2.57%
Avg Day%
+1.63%
Up Hit Rate
62%
24-09
24-12
25-03
25-06
25-09
25-12
26-03
26-06
Bar height = |Gap%| normalized to the period max. Green = up, red = down.
Date Time EPS Surprise Gap% Day% Week%
2026-06-01 AMC 0.79 +48.0% +34.17% +19.47% +2.70%
2026-03-09 AMC 0.65 +10.8% +0.96% -3.26% -0.64%
2025-12-04 AMC 0.62 +6.5% -8.73% +1.88% +4.24%
2025-09-03 AMC 0.44 +5.4% +4.73% +1.49% +8.94%
2025-06-03 AMC 0.38 +16.3% +8.37% +0.85% +3.00%
2025-03-06 AMC 0.49 -1.8% -15.03% -11.97% -13.03%
2024-12-05 AMC 0.58 +3.8% +4.76% +10.62% +0.83%
2024-09-04 AMC 0.50 +6.6% -8.63% -6.02% -10.18%

Is HPE (HPE) overvalued right now?

HPE (HPE) is currently trading at a trailing P/E of 36.9, sitting at the 93th percentile of its 5-year valuation history. A high percentile suggests the market is pricing the stock above its own historical norm — useful context before sizing a new position or selling premium against it.

HPE (HPE) — what's the SELL PUT risk profile?

Selling cash-secured puts on HPE (HPE) is a common income strategy, but the right strike depends on your floor price (the level you'd happily own at) and the option chain's buffer/APY tradeoff. The full ladder view (deferred to a future release) ranks candidates by buffer percentage first, then APY — see the option ladder methodology for why buffer matters more than yield in this strategy.

HPE (HPE) — which option strategy fits your view?

If you're bullish long-term but cautious near-term on HPE (HPE), SELL PUT into your floor zone collects premium while waiting for a better entry. If you already own it and are neutral-to-mildly-bullish, COVERED CALL caps upside but harvests time decay. The wrong strategy on the right ticker still loses money — match the trade to your view, not the other way around.

HPE (HPE) — is now a good entry?

Entry timing on HPE (HPE) is a function of your floor price (hard buy zone) and golden price (back-the-truck-up zone). Both are personal — set them in your watchlist and we'll alert you when the market hits either level.

FAQ

Why does HPE show different P/E numbers on different sites?

Different data providers use different earnings windows (TTM vs forward, GAAP vs adjusted) and update at different cadences. We surface trailing P/E with a 5-year percentile rank to give context — a P/E of 30 is hot for one stock and cold for another.

Does this page show HPE's implied volatility?

Not on this v0 page — the dedicated volatility tool covers IV with multi-source voting (IBKR + Polygon + yfinance). For pure IV lookup, use /tools/volatility. This page is for decision-stage queries that pull together valuation + portfolio context.

How is this different from Yahoo Finance or 雪球's HPE page?

Those sites are great for raw data discovery — last price, news, headline P/E. This page is built for the second look: you've already seen a single-dimension signal somewhere else, now you need multi-dimensional decision context (your floor, the valuation percentile, your portfolio overlay) in one view, not five tabs.