HSY (HSY)

Secondary decision view: valuation · portfolio context · the data you need before acting on a single-source signal.
Neutral rule-based

HSY has no clear signal.

  • Buy-zone state: far (+49.5% to floor)
Verdict bucket from deterministic rule (validation / floor distance / risk alerts). LLM narration only — never picks the bucket.

BUY-ZONE DECISION rule signal

$158.99 → $106.33 engine floor
far above at floor

HSY is far above the floor (~49.5% above) — adding here means paying a premium vs. your own threshold. Wait or take partial position only with a strong directional view.

RULES & ALERTS FIRING

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VALUATION

Valuation data not yet available for this ticker. Try again in a few minutes.

Floor Engine

ideal USD 158.99 Confidence low
discount-to-floor: 1.50×
DIVIDEND low ⓘ
—
method skipped: dividend grew past historical regime (forward div 5.81 vs early 3y median implied div 2.59, ratio 2.25). Historical p95 yield was set when dividend was lower; fwd_div / p95_yield mixes regimes.
Yield reverts to historical 95th-percentile (extreme yield level)
VALUATION low ⓘ
—
method skipped: insufficient PE history (7 months, need 60)
PE reverts to historical 5th-percentile (extreme undervaluation)
EPV ★ high ⓘ
USD 106.33
Zero-growth scenario + current cash/debt (Greenwald franchise value)
Default fallback to epv method
EPV GROWTH PREMIUM low ⓘ
USD 187.16
EPV × franchise-value multiplier (compounder premium when ROIC > WACC)

YOUR WATCHLIST CONTEXT

○ anonymous
What you'll see after sign-in
Your floor
$XXX.XX
Your golden
$XXX.XX
Market
XXX

· Your personal floor / golden price overlay on the live price

· Per-ticker rule alerts when this stock crosses your thresholds

· Position P&L overlay — what this ticker means inside your full portfolio

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IMPLIED VOLATILITY

Volatility data not yet available — the daily scanner will populate it on the next run.

Earnings Reactions

HSY
8 earnings events · last 2 years
Avg Gap%
+1.45%
Avg Day%
+0.59%
Up Hit Rate
38%
Next Earnings · est.
2026-11-05
in 35d
24-11
25-02
25-05
25-07
25-10
26-02
26-04
26-07
Bar height = |Gap%| normalized to the period max. Green = up, red = down.
Date Time EPS Surprise Gap% Day% Week%
2026-07-30 BMO 1.90 +33.1% -0.90% -3.63% -0.48%
2026-04-30 BMO 2.35 +14.9% -1.03% -1.81% -1.11%
2026-02-05 BMO 1.71 +21.8% +6.35% +9.03% +9.95%
2025-10-30 BMO 1.30 +22.2% -1.80% -2.35% -4.36%
2025-07-30 BMO 1.21 +20.4% +4.17% +1.40% +1.27%
2025-05-01 BMO 2.09 +8.0% -0.53% -0.04% +1.75%
2025-02-06 BMO 2.69 +13.3% +6.39% +4.40% +10.20%
2024-11-07 BMO 2.34 -8.3% -1.03% -2.25% +1.20%

Is HSY (HSY) overvalued right now?

Whether HSY (HSY) is overvalued depends on the lens you use: trailing P/E vs its own history, CAPE vs the broader market, earnings yield vs Treasury yields. We surface all three so you don't have to pick one in isolation.

HSY (HSY) — what's the SELL PUT risk profile?

Selling cash-secured puts on HSY (HSY) is a common income strategy, but the right strike depends on your floor price (the level you'd happily own at) and the option chain's buffer/APY tradeoff. The full ladder view (deferred to a future release) ranks candidates by buffer percentage first, then APY — see the option ladder methodology for why buffer matters more than yield in this strategy.

HSY (HSY) — which option strategy fits your view?

If you're bullish long-term but cautious near-term on HSY (HSY), SELL PUT into your floor zone collects premium while waiting for a better entry. If you already own it and are neutral-to-mildly-bullish, COVERED CALL caps upside but harvests time decay. The wrong strategy on the right ticker still loses money — match the trade to your view, not the other way around.

HSY (HSY) — is now a good entry?

Entry timing on HSY (HSY) is a function of your floor price (hard buy zone) and golden price (back-the-truck-up zone). Both are personal — set them in your watchlist and we'll alert you when the market hits either level.

FAQ

Why does HSY show different P/E numbers on different sites?

Different data providers use different earnings windows (TTM vs forward, GAAP vs adjusted) and update at different cadences. We surface trailing P/E with a 5-year percentile rank to give context — a P/E of 30 is hot for one stock and cold for another.

Does this page show HSY's implied volatility?

Not on this v0 page — the dedicated volatility tool covers IV with multi-source voting (IBKR + Polygon + yfinance). For pure IV lookup, use /tools/volatility. This page is for decision-stage queries that pull together valuation + portfolio context.

How is this different from Yahoo Finance or 雪球's HSY page?

Those sites are great for raw data discovery — last price, news, headline P/E. This page is built for the second look: you've already seen a single-dimension signal somewhere else, now you need multi-dimensional decision context (your floor, the valuation percentile, your portfolio overlay) in one view, not five tabs.