ITW (ITW)

Secondary decision view: valuation · portfolio context · the data you need before acting on a single-source signal.
Neutral

ITW is rated NEUTRAL as the stock trades far above its estimated floor with a high implied volatility ranking, but no extreme valuation signals or risk alerts are present.

  • The current price of $252.09 is 125.2% above the nearest floor, placing it in the 'far' buyzone bucket with no actionable valuation verdict.
  • Implied volatility rank is at 100% (high), yet the stock carries zero red alerts and no recorded extreme-low valuation flag.
  • The floor calculation shows a 2.25% discount to floor with high confidence and an 'ideal' suitability verdict, but the stock remains distant from that floor.
Verdict bucket from deterministic rule (validation / floor distance / risk alerts). LLM narration only — never picks the bucket.

BUY-ZONE DECISION rule signal

$252.09 $111.96 engine floor
far above at floor

ITW is far above the floor (~125.2% above) — adding here means paying a premium vs. your own threshold. Wait or take partial position only with a strong directional view.

RULES & ALERTS FIRING

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VALUATION

Valuation data not yet available for this ticker. Try again in a few minutes.

Floor Engine

ideal USD 252.09 Confidence high
discount-to-floor: 2.25×
DIVIDEND high
USD 205.53
Yield reverts to historical 95th-percentile (extreme yield level)
40y dividend history (≥10), dividend method reliable
VALUATION high
USD 203.38
PE reverts to historical 5th-percentile (extreme undervaluation)
EPV high
USD 111.96
Zero-growth scenario + current cash/debt (Greenwald franchise value)
EPV GROWTH PREMIUM low
USD 249.47
EPV × franchise-value multiplier (compounder premium when ROIC > WACC)

YOUR WATCHLIST CONTEXT

○ anonymous
What you'll see after sign-in
Your floor
$XXX.XX
Your golden
$XXX.XX
Market
XXX

· Your personal floor / golden price overlay on the live price

· Per-ticker rule alerts when this stock crosses your thresholds

· Position P&L overlay — what this ticker means inside your full portfolio

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IMPLIED VOLATILITY

CURRENT IV 31.2% HV (30D) 25.5% IV RANK (1Y) 100 HIGH
IV vs HV · last 1 year

Earnings Reactions

ITW
8 earnings events · last 2 years
Avg Gap%
-0.81%
Avg Day%
-0.16%
Up Hit Rate
38%
Next Earnings · est.
2026-07-29
in 77d
24-07
24-10
25-02
25-04
25-07
25-10
26-02
26-04
Bar height = |Gap%| normalized to the period max. Green = up, red = down.
Date Time EPS Surprise Gap% Day% Week%
2026-04-30 BMO 2.66 +3.7% -5.90% -2.88% -3.82%
2026-02-03 BMO 2.72 +1.2% +1.05% +5.56% +11.37%
2025-10-24 BMO 2.81 +3.5% -3.28% -4.54% -5.25%
2025-07-30 BMO 2.58 +0.6% -0.66% -2.25% -0.77%
2025-04-30 BMO 2.38 +1.1% -0.77% -0.76% -0.60%
2025-02-05 BMO 2.54 +1.5% -2.62% -0.17% +0.54%
2024-10-30 BMO 3.91 +55.0% +2.72% +3.24% +7.59%
2024-07-30 BMO 2.54 +2.9% +2.99% +0.53% -3.89%

Is ITW (ITW) overvalued right now?

Whether ITW (ITW) is overvalued depends on the lens you use: trailing P/E vs its own history, CAPE vs the broader market, earnings yield vs Treasury yields. We surface all three so you don't have to pick one in isolation.

ITW (ITW) — what's the SELL PUT risk profile?

Selling cash-secured puts on ITW (ITW) is a common income strategy, but the right strike depends on your floor price (the level you'd happily own at) and the option chain's buffer/APY tradeoff. The full ladder view (deferred to a future release) ranks candidates by buffer percentage first, then APY — see the option ladder methodology for why buffer matters more than yield in this strategy.

ITW (ITW) — which option strategy fits your view?

If you're bullish long-term but cautious near-term on ITW (ITW), SELL PUT into your floor zone collects premium while waiting for a better entry. If you already own it and are neutral-to-mildly-bullish, COVERED CALL caps upside but harvests time decay. The wrong strategy on the right ticker still loses money — match the trade to your view, not the other way around.

ITW (ITW) — is now a good entry?

Entry timing on ITW (ITW) is a function of your floor price (hard buy zone) and golden price (back-the-truck-up zone). Both are personal — set them in your watchlist and we'll alert you when the market hits either level.

FAQ

Why does ITW show different P/E numbers on different sites?

Different data providers use different earnings windows (TTM vs forward, GAAP vs adjusted) and update at different cadences. We surface trailing P/E with a 5-year percentile rank to give context — a P/E of 30 is hot for one stock and cold for another.

Does this page show ITW's implied volatility?

Not on this v0 page — the dedicated volatility tool covers IV with multi-source voting (IBKR + Polygon + yfinance). For pure IV lookup, use /tools/volatility. This page is for decision-stage queries that pull together valuation + portfolio context.

How is this different from Yahoo Finance or 雪球's ITW page?

Those sites are great for raw data discovery — last price, news, headline P/E. This page is built for the second look: you've already seen a single-dimension signal somewhere else, now you need multi-dimensional decision context (your floor, the valuation percentile, your portfolio overlay) in one view, not five tabs.