JD (JD)

Secondary decision view: valuation · portfolio context · the data you need before acting on a single-source signal.
Avoid rule-based

JD shows risk signals — avoid for now.

  • Buy-zone state: near_floor (+0.2% to floor)
  • Valuation label: neutral
Verdict bucket from deterministic rule (validation / floor distance / risk alerts). LLM narration only — never picks the bucket.

BUY-ZONE DECISION rule signal

$26.60 → $26.54 engine floor
far above at floor

JD is near the floor (~0.2% above) — SELL PUT into the floor zone collects premium while waiting for entry. Best risk-adjusted move at this distance.

RULES & ALERTS FIRING

Sign in to see which rules are firing on JD in your portfolio.
Sign in

VALUATION

Neutral
🔥 Extreme-low valuation flag — historical bands suggest this ticker is unusually cheap relative to its own 5-year range.
Trailing P/E
18.8
5-yr percentile: 51%
P/B
1.1
5-yr percentile: 0%
p10
14.0
p25
14.5
p50
15.6
p75
22.2
p90
23.3

JD is fairly valued based on a trailing P/E of 15.8x, which is above the 10-year median of 13.9x, but the forward P/E of 7.1x suggests low growth expectations are already priced in. The 2% revenue growth and 31st percentile price-to-book offer a limited margin of safety for value investors. The biggest risk is revenue stagnation failing to justify even the discounted forward multiple.

Large PE vs PB percentile gap — possibly due to dramatic earnings shifts distorting PE. Consider Forward PE and growth expectations.

Floor Engine

ideal USD 26.60 Confidence medium
discount-to-floor: 1.00×
DIVIDEND ★ high ⓘ
USD 26.54
Yield reverts to historical 95th-percentile (extreme yield level)
Default fallback to dividend method
VALUATION low ⓘ
—
method skipped: insufficient PE history (7 months, need 60)
PE reverts to historical 5th-percentile (extreme undervaluation)
EPV high ⓘ
USD 56.74
Zero-growth scenario + current cash/debt (Greenwald franchise value)
EPV GROWTH PREMIUM low ⓘ
USD 170.23
EPV × franchise-value multiplier (compounder premium when ROIC > WACC)
PB medium ⓘ
USD 24.17
P/B reverts to historical 10th-percentile (asset-driven businesses)

YOUR WATCHLIST CONTEXT

○ anonymous
What you'll see after sign-in
Your floor
$XXX.XX
Your golden
$XXX.XX
Market
XXX

· Your personal floor / golden price overlay on the live price

· Per-ticker rule alerts when this stock crosses your thresholds

· Position P&L overlay — what this ticker means inside your full portfolio

Sign in to unlock →

IMPLIED VOLATILITY

CURRENT IV 18.2% HV (30D) 18.3% IV RANK (1Y) 4 LOW
IV vs HV · last 1 year

Earnings Reactions

JD
8 earnings events · last 2 years
Avg Gap%
-0.54%
Avg Day%
-1.42%
Up Hit Rate
50%
Next Earnings · est.
2026-11-12
in 42d
24-11
25-03
25-05
25-08
25-11
26-03
26-05
26-08
Bar height = |Gap%| normalized to the period max. Green = up, red = down.
Date Time EPS Surprise Gap% Day% Week%
2026-08-13 BMO 6.29 +12.0% -2.47% -7.31% -6.96%
2026-05-12 BMO 5.12 +40.8% +1.41% +3.14% +6.06%
2026-03-05 BMO 0.57 -14.6% -3.50% +0.28% +10.00%
2025-11-13 BMO 3.73 +29.2% +0.62% -1.73% -9.15%
2025-08-14 BMO 4.97 +39.8% -1.88% -2.86% -4.09%
2025-05-13 BMO 8.41 +18.6% +0.04% +3.33% -5.83%
2025-03-06 BMO 7.42 +22.2% +2.22% +0.37% -5.76%
2024-11-14 BMO 8.68 +15.8% -0.73% -6.56% -0.87%

Is JD (JD) overvalued right now?

JD (JD) is currently trading at a trailing P/E of 18.8, sitting at the 51th percentile of its 5-year valuation history. A high percentile suggests the market is pricing the stock above its own historical norm — useful context before sizing a new position or selling premium against it.

JD (JD) — what's the SELL PUT risk profile?

Selling cash-secured puts on JD (JD) is a common income strategy, but the right strike depends on your floor price (the level you'd happily own at) and the option chain's buffer/APY tradeoff. The full ladder view (deferred to a future release) ranks candidates by buffer percentage first, then APY — see the option ladder methodology for why buffer matters more than yield in this strategy.

JD (JD) — which option strategy fits your view?

If you're bullish long-term but cautious near-term on JD (JD), SELL PUT into your floor zone collects premium while waiting for a better entry. If you already own it and are neutral-to-mildly-bullish, COVERED CALL caps upside but harvests time decay. The wrong strategy on the right ticker still loses money — match the trade to your view, not the other way around.

JD (JD) — is now a good entry?

Entry timing on JD (JD) is a function of your floor price (hard buy zone) and golden price (back-the-truck-up zone). Both are personal — set them in your watchlist and we'll alert you when the market hits either level.

FAQ

Why does JD show different P/E numbers on different sites?

Different data providers use different earnings windows (TTM vs forward, GAAP vs adjusted) and update at different cadences. We surface trailing P/E with a 5-year percentile rank to give context — a P/E of 30 is hot for one stock and cold for another.

Does this page show JD's implied volatility?

Not on this v0 page — the dedicated volatility tool covers IV with multi-source voting (IBKR + Polygon + yfinance). For pure IV lookup, use /tools/volatility. This page is for decision-stage queries that pull together valuation + portfolio context.

How is this different from Yahoo Finance or 雪球's JD page?

Those sites are great for raw data discovery — last price, news, headline P/E. This page is built for the second look: you've already seen a single-dimension signal somewhere else, now you need multi-dimensional decision context (your floor, the valuation percentile, your portfolio overlay) in one view, not five tabs.