LRCX (LRCX)

Secondary decision view: valuation · portfolio context · the data you need before acting on a single-source signal.
Neutral

LRCX is neutral as its extreme overvaluation and far-above-floor price are balanced by strong volatility signals and no red alerts.

  • PE of $73.53 is at the 100th percentile, rated 'expensive'; PB also at 100th percentile, and the stock trades $379.09, which is 665.7% above the floor, reflecting extreme price distance.
  • No risk alerts are present (0 red alerts), and implied volatility is high (IV rank 99.6%), suggesting active options interest without immediate downside panic.
  • The floor discount is 7.66% (current price $379.09 vs. floor), meaning the stock is above intrinsic floor value with medium confidence, reinforcing the neutral stance.
Verdict bucket from deterministic rule (validation / floor distance / risk alerts). LLM narration only — never picks the bucket.

BUY-ZONE DECISION rule signal

$379.09 $49.51 engine floor
far above at floor

LRCX is far above the floor (~665.7% above) — adding here means paying a premium vs. your own threshold. Wait or take partial position only with a strong directional view. valuation expensive (100th percentile)

RULES & ALERTS FIRING

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VALUATION

Expensive
Trailing P/E
73.5
5-yr percentile: 100%
P/B
46.1
5-yr percentile: 100%
p10
7.7
p25
23.6
p50
33.9
p75
46.8
p90
53.9
Sufficient earnings data; P/E historical percentile directly measures overvaluation or undervaluation

Floor Engine

ideal USD 379.09 Confidence medium
discount-to-floor: 7.66×
DIVIDEND high
USD 83.97
Yield reverts to historical 95th-percentile (extreme yield level)
VALUATION low
method skipped: insufficient PE history (16 months, need 60)
PE reverts to historical 5th-percentile (extreme undervaluation)
EPV high
USD 49.51
Zero-growth scenario + current cash/debt (Greenwald franchise value)
EPV GROWTH PREMIUM low
USD 148.53
EPV × franchise-value multiplier (compounder premium when ROIC > WACC)
PSR medium
USD 0.05
PSR reverts to historical 10th-percentile (growth stocks pre-stable-earnings)
High-growth, earnings not yet stable — PSR is the next-best anchor

YOUR WATCHLIST CONTEXT

○ anonymous
What you'll see after sign-in
Your floor
$XXX.XX
Your golden
$XXX.XX
Market
XXX

· Your personal floor / golden price overlay on the live price

· Per-ticker rule alerts when this stock crosses your thresholds

· Position P&L overlay — what this ticker means inside your full portfolio

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IMPLIED VOLATILITY

CURRENT IV 79.4% HV (30D) 79.4% IV RANK (1Y) 100 HIGH
IV vs HV · last 1 year

Earnings Reactions

LRCX
8 earnings events · last 2 years
Avg Gap%
-0.03%
Avg Day%
+1.25%
Up Hit Rate
50%
Next Earnings · est.
2026-07-29
in 31d
24-07
24-10
25-01
25-04
25-07
25-10
26-01
26-04
Bar height = |Gap%| normalized to the period max. Green = up, red = down.
Date Time EPS Surprise Gap% Day% Week%
2026-04-22 AMC 1.47 +7.9% -0.19% -2.63% -2.90%
2026-01-28 AMC 1.27 +8.7% +2.52% +3.59% -10.96%
2025-10-22 AMC 1.26 +3.3% -2.30% +4.45% +13.99%
2025-07-30 AMC 1.33 +10.4% -8.14% -4.29% +0.06%
2025-04-23 AMC 1.04 +4.1% +4.41% +6.25% +7.49%
2025-01-29 AMC 0.91 +3.5% +6.12% +7.43% +10.22%
2024-10-23 AMC 0.86 +6.5% +4.56% +5.09% +2.04%
2024-07-31 AMC 0.81 +7.3% -7.22% -9.87% -13.26%

Is LRCX (LRCX) overvalued right now?

LRCX (LRCX) is currently trading at a trailing P/E of 73.5, sitting at the 100th percentile of its 5-year valuation history. A high percentile suggests the market is pricing the stock above its own historical norm — useful context before sizing a new position or selling premium against it.

LRCX (LRCX) — what's the SELL PUT risk profile?

Selling cash-secured puts on LRCX (LRCX) is a common income strategy, but the right strike depends on your floor price (the level you'd happily own at) and the option chain's buffer/APY tradeoff. The full ladder view (deferred to a future release) ranks candidates by buffer percentage first, then APY — see the option ladder methodology for why buffer matters more than yield in this strategy.

LRCX (LRCX) — which option strategy fits your view?

If you're bullish long-term but cautious near-term on LRCX (LRCX), SELL PUT into your floor zone collects premium while waiting for a better entry. If you already own it and are neutral-to-mildly-bullish, COVERED CALL caps upside but harvests time decay. The wrong strategy on the right ticker still loses money — match the trade to your view, not the other way around.

LRCX (LRCX) — is now a good entry?

Entry timing on LRCX (LRCX) is a function of your floor price (hard buy zone) and golden price (back-the-truck-up zone). Both are personal — set them in your watchlist and we'll alert you when the market hits either level.

FAQ

Why does LRCX show different P/E numbers on different sites?

Different data providers use different earnings windows (TTM vs forward, GAAP vs adjusted) and update at different cadences. We surface trailing P/E with a 5-year percentile rank to give context — a P/E of 30 is hot for one stock and cold for another.

Does this page show LRCX's implied volatility?

Not on this v0 page — the dedicated volatility tool covers IV with multi-source voting (IBKR + Polygon + yfinance). For pure IV lookup, use /tools/volatility. This page is for decision-stage queries that pull together valuation + portfolio context.

How is this different from Yahoo Finance or 雪球's LRCX page?

Those sites are great for raw data discovery — last price, news, headline P/E. This page is built for the second look: you've already seen a single-dimension signal somewhere else, now you need multi-dimensional decision context (your floor, the valuation percentile, your portfolio overlay) in one view, not five tabs.