LULU (LULU)

Secondary decision view: valuation · portfolio context · the data you need before acting on a single-source signal.
Avoid

LULU is flagged AVOID despite extreme cheapness because its floor is unreliable and the stock is trading far below a confidence-low valuation floor.

  • Current PE of 9.4× sits at the 0th percentile, pricing cheaper than the 5-year extreme low (12.5×) — yet this extreme discount signals mean-reversion upside, not a safe downside floor.
  • The single primary floor (EPV floor of $192.63) carries low confidence and is 65% above the current price of $125.13, meaning the stock has already blown past where buyers are expected to step in.
  • The buyzone sits 35% below that floor in the 'below_floor' bucket, a zone typically reserved for distressed or speculative scenarios where traditional valuation floors no longer hold.
Verdict bucket from deterministic rule (validation / floor distance / risk alerts). LLM narration only — never picks the bucket.

BUY-ZONE DECISION rule signal

$125.13 $192.63 engine floor
far above at floor

LULU is at or below the floor (~35.0% below) — this is the add-position window if your directional view supports it. valuation cheap (0th percentile)

RULES & ALERTS FIRING

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VALUATION

Undervalued
🔥 Extreme-low valuation flag — historical bands suggest this ticker is unusually cheap relative to its own 5-year range.
Trailing P/E
9.4
5-yr percentile: 0%
P/B
2.9
5-yr percentile: 0%
p10
17.8
p25
28.8
p50
46.0
p75
56.3
p90
72.3

LULU is deeply cheap at a trailing P/E of 10.8x (0th percentile versus a 10-year median of 46.1x), but this reflects a -18% earnings decline and only 1% revenue growth that justify no valuation premium. The market is pricing in zero growth recovery, offering a significant margin of safety if the brand stabilization succeeds. The biggest risk is that the sales deceleration continues toward negative territory, making current depressed multiples a value trap.

Sufficient earnings data; P/E historical percentile directly measures overvaluation or undervaluation

Floor Engine

partial USD 125.13 Confidence low
discount-to-floor: 0.65×
VALUATION low
method skipped: stock is already pricing CHEAPER than its 5-year extreme — current PE 9.5× vs historical 5th-pct 12.5×. The PE-percentile formula gives 12.5× × EPS = 165.70, which is ABOVE the current price 125.13, making it a mean-reversion target (where the stock could rally TO), not a downside floor (where buyers would step in).
PE reverts to historical 5th-percentile (extreme undervaluation)
EPV medium
USD 192.63
Zero-growth scenario + current cash/debt (Greenwald franchise value)
Default fallback to epv method
EPV GROWTH PREMIUM low
USD 577.88
EPV × franchise-value multiplier (compounder premium when ROIC > WACC)

YOUR WATCHLIST CONTEXT

○ anonymous
What you'll see after sign-in
Your floor
$XXX.XX
Your golden
$XXX.XX
Market
XXX

· Your personal floor / golden price overlay on the live price

· Per-ticker rule alerts when this stock crosses your thresholds

· Position P&L overlay — what this ticker means inside your full portfolio

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IMPLIED VOLATILITY

CURRENT IV 46.6% HV (30D) 56.0% IV RANK (1Y) 67 NEUTRAL
IV vs HV · last 1 year

Earnings Reactions

LULU
8 earnings events · last 2 years
Avg Gap%
-2.32%
Avg Day%
-2.28%
Up Hit Rate
50%
Next Earnings · est.
2026-06-04
in 22d
24-06
24-08
24-12
25-03
25-06
25-09
25-12
26-03
Bar height = |Gap%| normalized to the period max. Green = up, red = down.
Date Time EPS Surprise Gap% Day% Week%
2026-03-17 AMC 5.01 +4.8% -0.77% +3.84% -0.35%
2025-12-11 AMC 2.59 +16.9% +9.40% +9.60% +12.00%
2025-09-04 AMC 3.10 +8.4% -19.87% -18.58% -22.43%
2025-06-05 AMC 2.60 +0.4% -18.02% -19.80% -27.71%
2025-03-27 AMC 6.14 +4.6% -11.85% -14.19% -22.79%
2024-12-05 AMC 2.87 +5.5% +9.34% +15.89% +13.58%
2024-08-29 AMC 3.15 +7.3% +3.88% +0.18% -4.02%
2024-06-05 AMC 2.54 +5.8% +9.32% +4.79% -0.25%

Is LULU (LULU) overvalued right now?

LULU (LULU) is currently trading at a trailing P/E of 9.4, sitting at the 0th percentile of its 5-year valuation history. A high percentile suggests the market is pricing the stock above its own historical norm — useful context before sizing a new position or selling premium against it.

LULU (LULU) — what's the SELL PUT risk profile?

Selling cash-secured puts on LULU (LULU) is a common income strategy, but the right strike depends on your floor price (the level you'd happily own at) and the option chain's buffer/APY tradeoff. The full ladder view (deferred to a future release) ranks candidates by buffer percentage first, then APY — see the option ladder methodology for why buffer matters more than yield in this strategy.

LULU (LULU) — which option strategy fits your view?

If you're bullish long-term but cautious near-term on LULU (LULU), SELL PUT into your floor zone collects premium while waiting for a better entry. If you already own it and are neutral-to-mildly-bullish, COVERED CALL caps upside but harvests time decay. The wrong strategy on the right ticker still loses money — match the trade to your view, not the other way around.

LULU (LULU) — is now a good entry?

Entry timing on LULU (LULU) is a function of your floor price (hard buy zone) and golden price (back-the-truck-up zone). Both are personal — set them in your watchlist and we'll alert you when the market hits either level.

FAQ

Why does LULU show different P/E numbers on different sites?

Different data providers use different earnings windows (TTM vs forward, GAAP vs adjusted) and update at different cadences. We surface trailing P/E with a 5-year percentile rank to give context — a P/E of 30 is hot for one stock and cold for another.

Does this page show LULU's implied volatility?

Not on this v0 page — the dedicated volatility tool covers IV with multi-source voting (IBKR + Polygon + yfinance). For pure IV lookup, use /tools/volatility. This page is for decision-stage queries that pull together valuation + portfolio context.

How is this different from Yahoo Finance or 雪球's LULU page?

Those sites are great for raw data discovery — last price, news, headline P/E. This page is built for the second look: you've already seen a single-dimension signal somewhere else, now you need multi-dimensional decision context (your floor, the valuation percentile, your portfolio overlay) in one view, not five tabs.