LULU (LULU)

Secondary decision view: valuation · portfolio context · the data you need before acting on a single-source signal.
Avoid

LULU trades 40% below its intrinsic floor at a record-low P/E, but the floor itself is unreliable due to a severe structural de-rating in valuation multiples.

  • Current P/E of 9.0× is at the 0th percentile of its 5-year history, yet the median P/E has collapsed from 47.8× to 21.3× — the historical band is no longer representative.
  • The valuation floor ($118.04) is slightly above the market price ($117.57), and the floor's confidence is marked 'low' due to a re-rated distribution that undermines the floor computation.
  • With a 40.1% discount to a low-confidence floor and zero red alerts, the cheapness is extreme but driven by structural downgrades, not a temporary mispricing.
Verdict bucket from deterministic rule (validation / floor distance / risk alerts). LLM narration only — never picks the bucket.

BUY-ZONE DECISION rule signal

$117.57 $196.26 engine floor
far above at floor

LULU is at or below the floor (~40.1% below) — this is the add-position window if your directional view supports it. valuation cheap (0th percentile)

RULES & ALERTS FIRING

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VALUATION

Undervalued
🔥 Extreme-low valuation flag — historical bands suggest this ticker is unusually cheap relative to its own 5-year range.
Trailing P/E
9.0
5-yr percentile: 0%
P/B
2.7
5-yr percentile: 0%
p10
15.5
p25
28.4
p50
46.4
p75
56.4
p90
72.4

LULU is deeply cheap at a trailing P/E of 10.8x (0th percentile versus a 10-year median of 46.1x), but this reflects a -18% earnings decline and only 1% revenue growth that justify no valuation premium. The market is pricing in zero growth recovery, offering a significant margin of safety if the brand stabilization succeeds. The biggest risk is that the sales deceleration continues toward negative territory, making current depressed multiples a value trap.

Sufficient earnings data; P/E historical percentile directly measures overvaluation or undervaluation

Floor Engine

partial USD 117.57 Confidence low
discount-to-floor: 0.60×
VALUATION low
method skipped: PE distribution re-rated down (early 3y median 47.8× → recent 3y median 21.3×, ratio 0.44). Historical band no longer representative.
PE reverts to historical 5th-percentile (extreme undervaluation)
EPV medium
USD 196.26
Zero-growth scenario + current cash/debt (Greenwald franchise value)
EPV GROWTH PREMIUM low
USD 588.78
EPV × franchise-value multiplier (compounder premium when ROIC > WACC)
PSR medium
USD 12.22
PSR reverts to historical 10th-percentile (growth stocks pre-stable-earnings)
High-growth, earnings not yet stable — PSR is the next-best anchor

YOUR WATCHLIST CONTEXT

○ anonymous
What you'll see after sign-in
Your floor
$XXX.XX
Your golden
$XXX.XX
Market
XXX

· Your personal floor / golden price overlay on the live price

· Per-ticker rule alerts when this stock crosses your thresholds

· Position P&L overlay — what this ticker means inside your full portfolio

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IMPLIED VOLATILITY

CURRENT IV 48.6% HV (30D) 48.6% IV RANK (1Y) 69 NEUTRAL
IV vs HV · last 1 year

Earnings Reactions

LULU
8 earnings events · last 2 years
Avg Gap%
-4.94%
Avg Day%
-3.95%
Up Hit Rate
38%
Next Earnings · est.
2026-09-03
in 67d
24-08
24-12
25-03
25-06
25-09
25-12
26-03
26-06
Bar height = |Gap%| normalized to the period max. Green = up, red = down.
Date Time EPS Surprise Gap% Day% Week%
2026-06-04 AMC 1.69 +0.4% -11.60% -8.56% -4.92%
2026-03-17 AMC 5.01 +4.8% -0.77% +3.84% -0.35%
2025-12-11 AMC 2.59 +17.1% +9.40% +9.60% +12.00%
2025-09-04 AMC 3.10 +8.7% -19.87% -18.58% -22.43%
2025-06-05 AMC 2.60 +0.4% -18.02% -19.80% -27.71%
2025-03-27 AMC 6.14 +4.6% -11.85% -14.19% -22.79%
2024-12-05 AMC 2.87 +5.5% +9.34% +15.89% +13.58%
2024-08-29 AMC 3.15 +7.3% +3.88% +0.18% -4.02%

Is LULU (LULU) overvalued right now?

LULU (LULU) is currently trading at a trailing P/E of 9.0, sitting at the 0th percentile of its 5-year valuation history. A high percentile suggests the market is pricing the stock above its own historical norm — useful context before sizing a new position or selling premium against it.

LULU (LULU) — what's the SELL PUT risk profile?

Selling cash-secured puts on LULU (LULU) is a common income strategy, but the right strike depends on your floor price (the level you'd happily own at) and the option chain's buffer/APY tradeoff. The full ladder view (deferred to a future release) ranks candidates by buffer percentage first, then APY — see the option ladder methodology for why buffer matters more than yield in this strategy.

LULU (LULU) — which option strategy fits your view?

If you're bullish long-term but cautious near-term on LULU (LULU), SELL PUT into your floor zone collects premium while waiting for a better entry. If you already own it and are neutral-to-mildly-bullish, COVERED CALL caps upside but harvests time decay. The wrong strategy on the right ticker still loses money — match the trade to your view, not the other way around.

LULU (LULU) — is now a good entry?

Entry timing on LULU (LULU) is a function of your floor price (hard buy zone) and golden price (back-the-truck-up zone). Both are personal — set them in your watchlist and we'll alert you when the market hits either level.

FAQ

Why does LULU show different P/E numbers on different sites?

Different data providers use different earnings windows (TTM vs forward, GAAP vs adjusted) and update at different cadences. We surface trailing P/E with a 5-year percentile rank to give context — a P/E of 30 is hot for one stock and cold for another.

Does this page show LULU's implied volatility?

Not on this v0 page — the dedicated volatility tool covers IV with multi-source voting (IBKR + Polygon + yfinance). For pure IV lookup, use /tools/volatility. This page is for decision-stage queries that pull together valuation + portfolio context.

How is this different from Yahoo Finance or 雪球's LULU page?

Those sites are great for raw data discovery — last price, news, headline P/E. This page is built for the second look: you've already seen a single-dimension signal somewhere else, now you need multi-dimensional decision context (your floor, the valuation percentile, your portfolio overlay) in one view, not five tabs.