MCD (MCD)
MCD is NEUTRAL: the stock trades far above its floor with extreme option-implied volatility, yet weak floor confidence and regime-shift warnings prevent a clear directional tilt.
- Current price $269.76 sits a massive 147.7% above the primary floor of $108.89 (EPV-based), placing MCD in the 'far' buyzone bucket.
- Implied volatility rank is at 99.6% (high), reflecting unusual options-market stress, but there are zero red alerts or risk alerts to confirm a crisis.
- Floor confidence is low: dividend yields have regime-shifted (forward $7.44 vs. 3y median $3.76), and the valuation floor actually exceeds the current price, acting as a potential mean-reversion target rather than a hard support.
BUY-ZONE DECISION rule signal
MCD is far above the floor (~147.7% above) — adding here means paying a premium vs. your own threshold. Wait or take partial position only with a strong directional view.
Macro context
RULES & ALERTS FIRING
Sign in
VALUATION
Floor Engine
method skipped: dividend grew past historical regime (forward div 7.44 vs early 3y median implied div 3.76, ratio 1.98). Historical p95 yield was set when dividend was lower; fwd_div / p95_yield mixes regimes.
method skipped: stock is already pricing CHEAPER than its 5-year extreme — current PE 19.0× vs historical 5th-pct 19.6×. The PE-percentile formula gives 19.6× × EPS = 278.11, which is ABOVE the current price 269.76, making it a mean-reversion target (where the stock could rally TO), not a downside floor (where buyers would step in).
YOUR WATCHLIST CONTEXT
○ anonymous· Your personal floor / golden price overlay on the live price
· Per-ticker rule alerts when this stock crosses your thresholds
· Position P&L overlay — what this ticker means inside your full portfolio
IMPLIED VOLATILITY
Earnings Reactions
| Date | Time | EPS | Surprise | Gap% | Day% | Week% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-07 | BMO | 2.83 | +3.1% | +1.31% | -0.14% | -3.21% |
| 2026-02-11 | AMC | 3.12 | +2.2% | +2.05% | +2.74% | +1.86% |
| 2025-11-05 | BMO | 3.22 | -3.4% | +0.12% | +2.16% | +2.58% |
| 2025-08-06 | BMO | 3.19 | +1.4% | +2.75% | +2.98% | +2.11% |
| 2025-05-01 | BMO | 2.67 | -0.0% | -2.03% | -1.88% | -1.93% |
| 2025-02-10 | BMO | 2.83 | -1.0% | +2.71% | +4.80% | +3.58% |
| 2024-10-29 | BMO | 3.23 | +0.9% | +0.27% | -0.60% | +0.18% |
| 2024-07-29 | BMO | 2.97 | -3.2% | +0.62% | +3.74% | +6.53% |
Is MCD (MCD) overvalued right now?
Whether MCD (MCD) is overvalued depends on the lens you use: trailing P/E vs its own history, CAPE vs the broader market, earnings yield vs Treasury yields. We surface all three so you don't have to pick one in isolation.
MCD (MCD) — what's the SELL PUT risk profile?
Selling cash-secured puts on MCD (MCD) is a common income strategy, but the right strike depends on your floor price (the level you'd happily own at) and the option chain's buffer/APY tradeoff. The full ladder view (deferred to a future release) ranks candidates by buffer percentage first, then APY — see the option ladder methodology for why buffer matters more than yield in this strategy.
MCD (MCD) — which option strategy fits your view?
If you're bullish long-term but cautious near-term on MCD (MCD), SELL PUT into your floor zone collects premium while waiting for a better entry. If you already own it and are neutral-to-mildly-bullish, COVERED CALL caps upside but harvests time decay. The wrong strategy on the right ticker still loses money — match the trade to your view, not the other way around.
MCD (MCD) — is now a good entry?
Entry timing on MCD (MCD) is a function of your floor price (hard buy zone) and golden price (back-the-truck-up zone). Both are personal — set them in your watchlist and we'll alert you when the market hits either level.
FAQ
Why does MCD show different P/E numbers on different sites?
Different data providers use different earnings windows (TTM vs forward, GAAP vs adjusted) and update at different cadences. We surface trailing P/E with a 5-year percentile rank to give context — a P/E of 30 is hot for one stock and cold for another.
Does this page show MCD's implied volatility?
Not on this v0 page — the dedicated volatility tool covers IV with multi-source voting (IBKR + Polygon + yfinance). For pure IV lookup, use /tools/volatility. This page is for decision-stage queries that pull together valuation + portfolio context.
How is this different from Yahoo Finance or 雪球's MCD page?
Those sites are great for raw data discovery — last price, news, headline P/E. This page is built for the second look: you've already seen a single-dimension signal somewhere else, now you need multi-dimensional decision context (your floor, the valuation percentile, your portfolio overlay) in one view, not five tabs.