MO (MO)
MO carries a NEUTRAL verdict as its price sits far above a high-confidence floor, leaving limited margin of safety despite no red flags.
- At $68.12, the current price is 116.4% above the buyzone floor and trades at a 74.3rd-percentile PE (labeled 'expensive'), suggesting stretched valuation.
- The stock earns a 'fair' valuation verdict with a green validation flag and zero risk alerts, indicating no immediate danger but also no compelling discount.
- A high-confidence floor exists (discount to floor just +2.2%), but with price far above that floor and no extreme-low signal, the risk/reward is balanced.
BUY-ZONE DECISION rule signal
MO is far above the floor (~116.4% above) — adding here means paying a premium vs. your own threshold. Wait or take partial position only with a strong directional view. valuation expensive (74th percentile)
RULES & ALERTS FIRING
Sign in
VALUATION
MO is expensively valued on a trailing basis with P/E at the 74th percentile of its 10-year range, but the stock screens as fairly priced on forward P/E of 11.5x, implying the market has already priced in the severe earnings decline. Growth is not priced in—the -63% earnings drop explains the low forward multiple, offering a potential margin of safety if the decline stabilizes. The biggest risk is that earnings continue to erode, making current forward estimates too optimistic.
Floor Engine
YOUR WATCHLIST CONTEXT
○ anonymous· Your personal floor / golden price overlay on the live price
· Per-ticker rule alerts when this stock crosses your thresholds
· Position P&L overlay — what this ticker means inside your full portfolio
IMPLIED VOLATILITY
Earnings Reactions
| Date | Time | EPS | Surprise | Gap% | Day% | Week% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-30 | BMO | 1.32 | +5.9% | +8.28% | +6.52% | +1.23% |
| 2026-01-29 | BMO | 1.30 | -1.3% | -3.23% | -5.34% | +3.58% |
| 2025-10-30 | BMO | 1.41 | -1.8% | -4.52% | -7.81% | -7.58% |
| 2025-07-30 | BMO | 1.44 | +4.0% | +0.86% | +3.61% | +6.38% |
| 2025-04-29 | BMO | 1.23 | +3.5% | -2.04% | +1.00% | +3.94% |
| 2025-01-30 | BMO | 1.29 | +0.8% | -3.11% | -2.13% | -0.04% |
| 2024-10-31 | BMO | 1.38 | +2.2% | +1.74% | +7.84% | +6.02% |
| 2024-07-31 | BMO | 1.31 | -2.6% | -4.25% | -3.05% | -1.03% |
Is MO (MO) overvalued right now?
MO (MO) is currently trading at a trailing P/E of 16.2, sitting at the 74th percentile of its 5-year valuation history. A high percentile suggests the market is pricing the stock above its own historical norm — useful context before sizing a new position or selling premium against it.
MO (MO) — what's the SELL PUT risk profile?
Selling cash-secured puts on MO (MO) is a common income strategy, but the right strike depends on your floor price (the level you'd happily own at) and the option chain's buffer/APY tradeoff. The full ladder view (deferred to a future release) ranks candidates by buffer percentage first, then APY — see the option ladder methodology for why buffer matters more than yield in this strategy.
MO (MO) — which option strategy fits your view?
If you're bullish long-term but cautious near-term on MO (MO), SELL PUT into your floor zone collects premium while waiting for a better entry. If you already own it and are neutral-to-mildly-bullish, COVERED CALL caps upside but harvests time decay. The wrong strategy on the right ticker still loses money — match the trade to your view, not the other way around.
MO (MO) — is now a good entry?
Entry timing on MO (MO) is a function of your floor price (hard buy zone) and golden price (back-the-truck-up zone). Both are personal — set them in your watchlist and we'll alert you when the market hits either level.
FAQ
Why does MO show different P/E numbers on different sites?
Different data providers use different earnings windows (TTM vs forward, GAAP vs adjusted) and update at different cadences. We surface trailing P/E with a 5-year percentile rank to give context — a P/E of 30 is hot for one stock and cold for another.
Does this page show MO's implied volatility?
Not on this v0 page — the dedicated volatility tool covers IV with multi-source voting (IBKR + Polygon + yfinance). For pure IV lookup, use /tools/volatility. This page is for decision-stage queries that pull together valuation + portfolio context.
How is this different from Yahoo Finance or 雪球's MO page?
Those sites are great for raw data discovery — last price, news, headline P/E. This page is built for the second look: you've already seen a single-dimension signal somewhere else, now you need multi-dimensional decision context (your floor, the valuation percentile, your portfolio overlay) in one view, not five tabs.