NKE (NKE)

Secondary decision view: valuation · portfolio context · the data you need before acting on a single-source signal.
Neutral

NKE is neutral as its price is approaching a moderately supported floor, but valuation data is lacking and the floor's reliability is weakened by a dividend-growth regime conflict.

  • The current price is $40.75, trading 14.2% above the composite floor of $35.67 (valuation-floor), earning an 'approaching' buy-zone label.
  • No valuation method has data (no PE, PB, or PS multiples), so the assessment relies solely on the floor without a check on earnings-based attractiveness.
  • A medium-confidence floor warning flags the dividend method: the forward dividend has grown to 2.22× the early 3‑year median implied dividend, mixing historical high-yield regimes with a higher current payout.
Verdict bucket from deterministic rule (validation / floor distance / risk alerts). LLM narration only — never picks the bucket.

BUY-ZONE DECISION rule signal

$40.75 $35.67 engine floor
far above at floor

NKE is approaching the floor (~14.2% above) — wait. Not yet in the action zone, but on the watch list.

RULES & ALERTS FIRING

Sign in to see which rules are firing on NKE in your portfolio.
Sign in

VALUATION

Valuation data not yet available for this ticker. Try again in a few minutes.

Floor Engine

ideal USD 40.75 Confidence medium
discount-to-floor: 1.14×
DIVIDEND low
method skipped: dividend grew past historical regime (forward div 1.64 vs early 3y median implied div 0.74, ratio 2.22). Historical p95 yield was set when dividend was lower; fwd_div / p95_yield mixes regimes.
Yield reverts to historical 95th-percentile (extreme yield level)
VALUATION high
USD 35.67
PE reverts to historical 5th-percentile (extreme undervaluation)
EPV high
USD 53.77
Zero-growth scenario + current cash/debt (Greenwald franchise value)
EPV GROWTH PREMIUM low
USD 161.31
EPV × franchise-value multiplier (compounder premium when ROIC > WACC)
PB medium
USD 48.67
P/B reverts to historical 10th-percentile (asset-driven businesses)
PSR medium
USD 0.83
PSR reverts to historical 10th-percentile (growth stocks pre-stable-earnings)
High-growth, earnings not yet stable — PSR is the next-best anchor

YOUR WATCHLIST CONTEXT

○ anonymous
What you'll see after sign-in
Your floor
$XXX.XX
Your golden
$XXX.XX
Market
XXX

· Your personal floor / golden price overlay on the live price

· Per-ticker rule alerts when this stock crosses your thresholds

· Position P&L overlay — what this ticker means inside your full portfolio

Sign in to unlock →

IMPLIED VOLATILITY

CURRENT IV 35.6% HV (30D) 35.6% IV RANK (1Y) 63 NEUTRAL
IV vs HV · last 1 year

Earnings Reactions

NKE
7 earnings events · last 2 years
Avg Gap%
-2.75%
Avg Day%
-2.41%
Up Hit Rate
29%
Next Earnings · est.
2026-06-30
in 2d
24-10
24-12
25-03
25-06
25-09
25-12
26-03
Bar height = |Gap%| normalized to the period max. Green = up, red = down.
Date Time EPS Surprise Gap% Day% Week%
2026-03-31 AMC 0.35 +24.3% -11.85% -15.51% -16.70%
2025-12-18 AMC 0.53 +41.3% -9.80% -10.54% -6.73%
2025-09-30 AMC 0.49 +81.3% +6.63% +6.41% -0.92%
2025-06-26 AMC 0.14 +14.2% +11.59% +15.19% +22.37%
2025-03-20 AMC 0.54 +85.5% -7.33% -5.46% -11.93%
2024-12-19 AMC 0.78 +23.3% -1.48% -0.21% -3.18%
2024-10-01 AMC 0.70 +34.9% -7.00% -6.77% -7.49%

Is NKE (NKE) overvalued right now?

Whether NKE (NKE) is overvalued depends on the lens you use: trailing P/E vs its own history, CAPE vs the broader market, earnings yield vs Treasury yields. We surface all three so you don't have to pick one in isolation.

NKE (NKE) — what's the SELL PUT risk profile?

Selling cash-secured puts on NKE (NKE) is a common income strategy, but the right strike depends on your floor price (the level you'd happily own at) and the option chain's buffer/APY tradeoff. The full ladder view (deferred to a future release) ranks candidates by buffer percentage first, then APY — see the option ladder methodology for why buffer matters more than yield in this strategy.

NKE (NKE) — which option strategy fits your view?

If you're bullish long-term but cautious near-term on NKE (NKE), SELL PUT into your floor zone collects premium while waiting for a better entry. If you already own it and are neutral-to-mildly-bullish, COVERED CALL caps upside but harvests time decay. The wrong strategy on the right ticker still loses money — match the trade to your view, not the other way around.

NKE (NKE) — is now a good entry?

Entry timing on NKE (NKE) is a function of your floor price (hard buy zone) and golden price (back-the-truck-up zone). Both are personal — set them in your watchlist and we'll alert you when the market hits either level.

FAQ

Why does NKE show different P/E numbers on different sites?

Different data providers use different earnings windows (TTM vs forward, GAAP vs adjusted) and update at different cadences. We surface trailing P/E with a 5-year percentile rank to give context — a P/E of 30 is hot for one stock and cold for another.

Does this page show NKE's implied volatility?

Not on this v0 page — the dedicated volatility tool covers IV with multi-source voting (IBKR + Polygon + yfinance). For pure IV lookup, use /tools/volatility. This page is for decision-stage queries that pull together valuation + portfolio context.

How is this different from Yahoo Finance or 雪球's NKE page?

Those sites are great for raw data discovery — last price, news, headline P/E. This page is built for the second look: you've already seen a single-dimension signal somewhere else, now you need multi-dimensional decision context (your floor, the valuation percentile, your portfolio overlay) in one view, not five tabs.