NKE (NKE)

Secondary decision view: valuation · portfolio context · the data you need before acting on a single-source signal.
Neutral

Nike's floor-based safety net remains intact, but the 21.3% gap above the floor and elevated implied volatility justify a neutral stance.

  • Current price of $44.14 trades 1.21x the $36.40 valuation floor, offering a moderate discount while a higher EPV floor of $53.77 caps upside potential.
  • Implied volatility rank stands at 96.4% (high), suggesting options are pricing in above-average uncertainty without any red risk alerts being triggered.
  • The dividend floor warning indicates the current yield (3.72%) exceeds the historical 95th-percentile yield, making a mean-reversion reference level of $62.94 not a downside floor.
Verdict bucket from deterministic rule (validation / floor distance / risk alerts). LLM narration only — never picks the bucket.

BUY-ZONE DECISION rule signal

$44.14 $36.40 engine floor
far above at floor

NKE is approaching the floor (~21.3% above) — wait. Not yet in the action zone, but on the watch list.

RULES & ALERTS FIRING

Sign in to see which rules are firing on NKE in your portfolio.
Sign in

VALUATION

Valuation data not yet available for this ticker. Try again in a few minutes.

Floor Engine

ideal USD 44.14 Confidence medium
discount-to-floor: 1.21×
DIVIDEND low
method skipped: stock yield is already MORE EXTREME than its 5-year peak — current 3.72% vs historical 95th-pct 2.61%. The yield-percentile formula gives fwd_div / p95_yield = 62.94, which is ABOVE the current price 44.14, making it a mean-reversion target (price the yield would imply if normalized), not a downside floor.
Yield reverts to historical 95th-percentile (extreme yield level)
VALUATION high
USD 36.40
PE reverts to historical 5th-percentile (extreme undervaluation)
Default fallback to valuation method
EPV high
USD 53.77
Zero-growth scenario + current cash/debt (Greenwald franchise value)
EPV GROWTH PREMIUM low
USD 161.31
EPV × franchise-value multiplier (compounder premium when ROIC > WACC)
PB medium
USD 49.11
P/B reverts to historical 10th-percentile (asset-driven businesses)

YOUR WATCHLIST CONTEXT

○ anonymous
What you'll see after sign-in
Your floor
$XXX.XX
Your golden
$XXX.XX
Market
XXX

· Your personal floor / golden price overlay on the live price

· Per-ticker rule alerts when this stock crosses your thresholds

· Position P&L overlay — what this ticker means inside your full portfolio

Sign in to unlock →

IMPLIED VOLATILITY

CURRENT IV 55.6% HV (30D) 55.5% IV RANK (1Y) 96 HIGH
IV vs HV · last 1 year

Earnings Reactions

NKE
8 earnings events · last 2 years
Avg Gap%
-4.67%
Avg Day%
-4.61%
Up Hit Rate
25%
Next Earnings · est.
2026-06-25
in 43d
24-06
24-10
24-12
25-03
25-06
25-09
25-12
26-03
Bar height = |Gap%| normalized to the period max. Green = up, red = down.
Date Time EPS Surprise Gap% Day% Week%
2026-03-31 AMC 0.35 +24.3% -11.85% -15.51% -16.70%
2025-12-18 AMC 0.53 +41.9% -9.80% -10.54% -6.73%
2025-09-30 AMC 0.49 +81.3% +6.63% +6.41% -0.92%
2025-06-26 AMC 0.14 +14.2% +11.59% +15.19% +22.37%
2025-03-20 AMC 0.54 +94.9% -7.33% -5.46% -11.93%
2024-12-19 AMC 0.78 +24.7% -1.48% -0.21% -3.18%
2024-10-01 AMC 0.70 +31.6% -7.00% -6.77% -7.49%
2024-06-27 AMC 1.01 +20.6% -18.11% -19.98% -22.44%

Is NKE (NKE) overvalued right now?

Whether NKE (NKE) is overvalued depends on the lens you use: trailing P/E vs its own history, CAPE vs the broader market, earnings yield vs Treasury yields. We surface all three so you don't have to pick one in isolation.

NKE (NKE) — what's the SELL PUT risk profile?

Selling cash-secured puts on NKE (NKE) is a common income strategy, but the right strike depends on your floor price (the level you'd happily own at) and the option chain's buffer/APY tradeoff. The full ladder view (deferred to a future release) ranks candidates by buffer percentage first, then APY — see the option ladder methodology for why buffer matters more than yield in this strategy.

NKE (NKE) — which option strategy fits your view?

If you're bullish long-term but cautious near-term on NKE (NKE), SELL PUT into your floor zone collects premium while waiting for a better entry. If you already own it and are neutral-to-mildly-bullish, COVERED CALL caps upside but harvests time decay. The wrong strategy on the right ticker still loses money — match the trade to your view, not the other way around.

NKE (NKE) — is now a good entry?

Entry timing on NKE (NKE) is a function of your floor price (hard buy zone) and golden price (back-the-truck-up zone). Both are personal — set them in your watchlist and we'll alert you when the market hits either level.

FAQ

Why does NKE show different P/E numbers on different sites?

Different data providers use different earnings windows (TTM vs forward, GAAP vs adjusted) and update at different cadences. We surface trailing P/E with a 5-year percentile rank to give context — a P/E of 30 is hot for one stock and cold for another.

Does this page show NKE's implied volatility?

Not on this v0 page — the dedicated volatility tool covers IV with multi-source voting (IBKR + Polygon + yfinance). For pure IV lookup, use /tools/volatility. This page is for decision-stage queries that pull together valuation + portfolio context.

How is this different from Yahoo Finance or 雪球's NKE page?

Those sites are great for raw data discovery — last price, news, headline P/E. This page is built for the second look: you've already seen a single-dimension signal somewhere else, now you need multi-dimensional decision context (your floor, the valuation percentile, your portfolio overlay) in one view, not five tabs.