NVO (NVO)

Secondary decision view: valuation · portfolio context · the data you need before acting on a single-source signal.
Neutral

NVO is neutral — fairly valued with a manageable premium to its floor and no red flags, but not yet at a compelling entry.

  • Current PE of $10.90 sits at the 60th percentile (neutral) and the overall valuation verdict is "fair" with a green validation flag.
  • Price of $47.00 is 15.4% above the computed floor of ~$40.73–$49.17 (medium confidence), so the stock is approaching but has not reached its buy zone.
  • No risk alerts are present, implied volatility rank is neutral (54.8%), and no extreme low valuation signal is triggered.
Verdict bucket from deterministic rule (validation / floor distance / risk alerts). LLM narration only — never picks the bucket.

BUY-ZONE DECISION rule signal

$47.00 $40.73 engine floor
far above at floor

NVO is approaching the floor (~15.4% above) — wait. Not yet in the action zone, but on the watch list.

RULES & ALERTS FIRING

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VALUATION

Neutral
Trailing P/E
10.9
5-yr percentile: 60%
P/B
6.6
5-yr percentile: 20%
p10
8.9
p25
9.7
p50
10.3
p75
13.3
p90
15.8

NVO appears cheap based on its trailing P/E of 11.3x, which is in the 27th historical percentile. This low multiple suggests no growth is priced in, reflecting the current negative earnings and revenue trends. The biggest risk is the sustainability of its core business if these negative growth rates persist.

Sufficient earnings data; P/E historical percentile directly measures overvaluation or undervaluation

Floor Engine

ideal USD 47.00 Confidence medium
discount-to-floor: 1.15×
DIVIDEND high
USD 40.73
Yield reverts to historical 95th-percentile (extreme yield level)
45y dividend history (≥10), dividend method reliable
VALUATION low
method skipped: insufficient PE history (6 months, need 60)
PE reverts to historical 5th-percentile (extreme undervaluation)
EPV high
USD 49.17
Zero-growth scenario + current cash/debt (Greenwald franchise value)
EPV GROWTH PREMIUM low
USD 147.50
EPV × franchise-value multiplier (compounder premium when ROIC > WACC)

YOUR WATCHLIST CONTEXT

○ anonymous
What you'll see after sign-in
Your floor
$XXX.XX
Your golden
$XXX.XX
Market
XXX

· Your personal floor / golden price overlay on the live price

· Per-ticker rule alerts when this stock crosses your thresholds

· Position P&L overlay — what this ticker means inside your full portfolio

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IMPLIED VOLATILITY

CURRENT IV 43.3% HV (30D) 33.5% IV RANK (1Y) 55 NEUTRAL
IV vs HV · last 1 year

Earnings Reactions

NVO
8 earnings events · last 2 years
Avg Gap%
-0.15%
Avg Day%
-2.89%
Up Hit Rate
38%
Next Earnings · est.
2026-08-05
in 84d
24-08
24-11
25-02
25-05
25-08
25-11
26-02
26-05
Bar height = |Gap%| normalized to the period max. Green = up, red = down.
Date Time EPS Surprise Gap% Day% Week%
2026-05-05 AMC 6.63 -4.8% +3.21% +1.98%
2026-02-03 BMO 6.04 +2.3% -0.98% -14.64% -16.65%
2025-11-05 BMO 4.50 +6.0% -2.63% +0.44% +4.17%
2025-08-06 BMO 5.96 -0.7% -2.65% -3.90% +7.79%
2025-05-07 BMO 6.53 +7.5% +4.62% +1.90% -2.84%
2025-02-04 AMC 6.34 +3.7% +4.61% +3.76% -1.00%
2024-11-06 BMO 6.12 +3.4% -1.69% -4.33% -2.92%
2024-08-07 BMO 4.49 -8.6% -5.71% -8.37% +3.30%

Is NVO (NVO) overvalued right now?

NVO (NVO) is currently trading at a trailing P/E of 10.9, sitting at the 60th percentile of its 5-year valuation history. A high percentile suggests the market is pricing the stock above its own historical norm — useful context before sizing a new position or selling premium against it.

NVO (NVO) — what's the SELL PUT risk profile?

Selling cash-secured puts on NVO (NVO) is a common income strategy, but the right strike depends on your floor price (the level you'd happily own at) and the option chain's buffer/APY tradeoff. The full ladder view (deferred to a future release) ranks candidates by buffer percentage first, then APY — see the option ladder methodology for why buffer matters more than yield in this strategy.

NVO (NVO) — which option strategy fits your view?

If you're bullish long-term but cautious near-term on NVO (NVO), SELL PUT into your floor zone collects premium while waiting for a better entry. If you already own it and are neutral-to-mildly-bullish, COVERED CALL caps upside but harvests time decay. The wrong strategy on the right ticker still loses money — match the trade to your view, not the other way around.

NVO (NVO) — is now a good entry?

Entry timing on NVO (NVO) is a function of your floor price (hard buy zone) and golden price (back-the-truck-up zone). Both are personal — set them in your watchlist and we'll alert you when the market hits either level.

FAQ

Why does NVO show different P/E numbers on different sites?

Different data providers use different earnings windows (TTM vs forward, GAAP vs adjusted) and update at different cadences. We surface trailing P/E with a 5-year percentile rank to give context — a P/E of 30 is hot for one stock and cold for another.

Does this page show NVO's implied volatility?

Not on this v0 page — the dedicated volatility tool covers IV with multi-source voting (IBKR + Polygon + yfinance). For pure IV lookup, use /tools/volatility. This page is for decision-stage queries that pull together valuation + portfolio context.

How is this different from Yahoo Finance or 雪球's NVO page?

Those sites are great for raw data discovery — last price, news, headline P/E. This page is built for the second look: you've already seen a single-dimension signal somewhere else, now you need multi-dimensional decision context (your floor, the valuation percentile, your portfolio overlay) in one view, not five tabs.