ORCL (ORCL)

Secondary decision view: valuation · portfolio context · the data you need before acting on a single-source signal.
Neutral

ORCL is in a NEUTRAL zone because its valuation is fair, the stock is far above its buyzone floor, but the high implied volatility signals elevated uncertainty.

  • PE percentile at 68.7% and a PE of $33.38 align with a 'fair' valuation verdict from the system.
  • The stock trades at $186.83, which is 648.5% above the buyzone floor — a very far distance that keeps it out of any bargain territory.
  • Implied volatility is high (IV rank 82.4% over 222 days), suggesting the market prices in significant uncertainty, which supports a neutral stance.
Verdict bucket from deterministic rule (validation / floor distance / risk alerts). LLM narration only — never picks the bucket.

BUY-ZONE DECISION rule signal

$186.83 $24.96 engine floor
far above at floor

ORCL is far above the floor (~648.5% above) — adding here means paying a premium vs. your own threshold. Wait or take partial position only with a strong directional view.

RULES & ALERTS FIRING

Sign in to see which rules are firing on ORCL in your portfolio.
Sign in

VALUATION

Neutral
Trailing P/E
33.4
5-yr percentile: 69%
P/B
15.0
5-yr percentile: 28%
p10
16.0
p25
17.4
p50
25.5
p75
35.9
p90
46.3

ORCL appears cheap on a growth-adjusted basis, with a forward P/E of 21.4x and PEG of 0.88, both well below its 24% earnings growth rate. Strong expansion is largely priced in, leaving little margin for error if growth decelerates. The biggest risk is that cloud competition intensifies, compressing margins and slowing revenue growth below the current 22% pace.

Sufficient earnings data; P/E historical percentile directly measures overvaluation or undervaluation

Floor Engine

ideal USD 186.83 Confidence high
discount-to-floor: 7.48×
DIVIDEND high
USD 103.04
Yield reverts to historical 95th-percentile (extreme yield level)
18y dividend history (≥10), dividend method reliable
VALUATION high
USD 122.93
PE reverts to historical 5th-percentile (extreme undervaluation)
EPV high
USD 24.96
Zero-growth scenario + current cash/debt (Greenwald franchise value)
EPV GROWTH PREMIUM low
USD 27.62
EPV × franchise-value multiplier (compounder premium when ROIC > WACC)

YOUR WATCHLIST CONTEXT

○ anonymous
What you'll see after sign-in
Your floor
$XXX.XX
Your golden
$XXX.XX
Market
XXX

· Your personal floor / golden price overlay on the live price

· Per-ticker rule alerts when this stock crosses your thresholds

· Position P&L overlay — what this ticker means inside your full portfolio

Sign in to unlock →

IMPLIED VOLATILITY

CURRENT IV 60.3% HV (30D) 60.5% IV RANK (1Y) 82 HIGH
IV vs HV · last 1 year

Earnings Reactions

ORCL
8 earnings events · last 2 years
Avg Gap%
+5.39%
Avg Day%
+7.82%
Up Hit Rate
62%
Next Earnings · est.
2026-06-10
in 28d
24-06
24-09
24-12
25-03
25-06
25-09
25-12
26-03
Bar height = |Gap%| normalized to the period max. Green = up, red = down.
Date Time EPS Surprise Gap% Day% Week%
2026-03-10 AMC 1.27 +3.4% +11.37% +9.18% +2.34%
2025-12-10 AMC 2.26 +38.0% -14.52% -10.83% -19.27%
2025-09-09 AMC 1.47 -0.6% +32.16% +35.95% +24.80%
2025-06-11 AMC 1.70 +3.4% +7.70% +13.31% +16.32%
2025-03-10 AMC 1.02 -4.1% -3.61% -3.10% +0.44%
2024-12-09 AMC 1.47 -0.8% -8.92% -6.67% -10.89%
2024-09-09 AMC 1.39 +4.3% +10.25% +11.44% +19.72%
2024-06-11 AMC 1.63 -1.1% +8.73% +13.32% +15.36%

Is ORCL (ORCL) overvalued right now?

ORCL (ORCL) is currently trading at a trailing P/E of 33.4, sitting at the 69th percentile of its 5-year valuation history. A high percentile suggests the market is pricing the stock above its own historical norm — useful context before sizing a new position or selling premium against it.

ORCL (ORCL) — what's the SELL PUT risk profile?

Selling cash-secured puts on ORCL (ORCL) is a common income strategy, but the right strike depends on your floor price (the level you'd happily own at) and the option chain's buffer/APY tradeoff. The full ladder view (deferred to a future release) ranks candidates by buffer percentage first, then APY — see the option ladder methodology for why buffer matters more than yield in this strategy.

ORCL (ORCL) — which option strategy fits your view?

If you're bullish long-term but cautious near-term on ORCL (ORCL), SELL PUT into your floor zone collects premium while waiting for a better entry. If you already own it and are neutral-to-mildly-bullish, COVERED CALL caps upside but harvests time decay. The wrong strategy on the right ticker still loses money — match the trade to your view, not the other way around.

ORCL (ORCL) — is now a good entry?

Entry timing on ORCL (ORCL) is a function of your floor price (hard buy zone) and golden price (back-the-truck-up zone). Both are personal — set them in your watchlist and we'll alert you when the market hits either level.

FAQ

Why does ORCL show different P/E numbers on different sites?

Different data providers use different earnings windows (TTM vs forward, GAAP vs adjusted) and update at different cadences. We surface trailing P/E with a 5-year percentile rank to give context — a P/E of 30 is hot for one stock and cold for another.

Does this page show ORCL's implied volatility?

Not on this v0 page — the dedicated volatility tool covers IV with multi-source voting (IBKR + Polygon + yfinance). For pure IV lookup, use /tools/volatility. This page is for decision-stage queries that pull together valuation + portfolio context.

How is this different from Yahoo Finance or 雪球's ORCL page?

Those sites are great for raw data discovery — last price, news, headline P/E. This page is built for the second look: you've already seen a single-dimension signal somewhere else, now you need multi-dimensional decision context (your floor, the valuation percentile, your portfolio overlay) in one view, not five tabs.