OTIS (OTIS)

Secondary decision view: valuation · portfolio context · the data you need before acting on a single-source signal.
Neutral rule-based

OTIS has no clear signal.

  • Buy-zone state: far (+111.6% to floor)
Verdict bucket from deterministic rule (validation / floor distance / risk alerts). LLM narration only — never picks the bucket.

BUY-ZONE DECISION rule signal

$73.99 $34.97 engine floor
far above at floor

OTIS is far above the floor (~111.6% above) — adding here means paying a premium vs. your own threshold. Wait or take partial position only with a strong directional view.

RULES & ALERTS FIRING

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VALUATION

Valuation data not yet available for this ticker. Try again in a few minutes.

Floor Engine

ideal USD 73.99 Confidence low
discount-to-floor: 2.12×
DIVIDEND low
method skipped: stock yield is already MORE EXTREME than its 5-year peak — current 2.38% vs historical 95th-pct 2.17%. The yield-percentile formula gives fwd_div / p95_yield = 81.04, which is ABOVE the current price 73.99, making it a mean-reversion target (price the yield would imply if normalized), not a downside floor.
Yield reverts to historical 95th-percentile (extreme yield level)
VALUATION low
method skipped: stock is already pricing CHEAPER than its 5-year extreme — current PE 16.0× vs historical 5th-pct 19.6×. The PE-percentile formula gives 19.6× × EPS = 90.18, which is ABOVE the current price 73.99, making it a mean-reversion target (where the stock could rally TO), not a downside floor (where buyers would step in).
PE reverts to historical 5th-percentile (extreme undervaluation)
EPV high
USD 34.97
Zero-growth scenario + current cash/debt (Greenwald franchise value)
EPV GROWTH PREMIUM low
USD 104.91
EPV × franchise-value multiplier (compounder premium when ROIC > WACC)
PSR medium
USD 77.97
PSR reverts to historical 10th-percentile (growth stocks pre-stable-earnings)
High-growth, earnings not yet stable — PSR is the next-best anchor

YOUR WATCHLIST CONTEXT

○ anonymous
What you'll see after sign-in
Your floor
$XXX.XX
Your golden
$XXX.XX
Market
XXX

· Your personal floor / golden price overlay on the live price

· Per-ticker rule alerts when this stock crosses your thresholds

· Position P&L overlay — what this ticker means inside your full portfolio

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IMPLIED VOLATILITY

CURRENT IV 24.8% HV (30D) 24.8% IV RANK (1Y) 70 HIGH
IV vs HV · last 1 year

Earnings Reactions

OTIS
8 earnings events · last 2 years
Avg Gap%
-3.23%
Avg Day%
-3.34%
Up Hit Rate
25%
Next Earnings · est.
2026-10-28
in 80d
24-10
25-01
25-04
25-07
25-10
26-01
26-04
26-07
Bar height = |Gap%| normalized to the period max. Green = up, red = down.
Date Time EPS Surprise Gap% Day% Week%
2026-07-22 BMO 1.01 +0.4% -2.21% -2.14% +1.96%
2026-04-22 BMO 0.89 -0.8% +0.60% -1.26% -2.88%
2026-01-28 BMO 1.03 -0.3% -6.31% -2.15% -0.20%
2025-10-29 BMO 1.05 +4.7% +3.00% +2.28% -0.07%
2025-07-23 BMO 1.05 +2.1% -11.87% -12.38% -14.42%
2025-04-23 BMO 0.92 +1.1% -3.04% -6.72% -2.71%
2025-01-29 BMO 0.93 -2.8% -1.88% -1.27% -1.38%
2024-10-30 BMO 0.96 -1.0% -4.15% -3.05% -0.80%

Is OTIS (OTIS) overvalued right now?

Whether OTIS (OTIS) is overvalued depends on the lens you use: trailing P/E vs its own history, CAPE vs the broader market, earnings yield vs Treasury yields. We surface all three so you don't have to pick one in isolation.

OTIS (OTIS) — what's the SELL PUT risk profile?

Selling cash-secured puts on OTIS (OTIS) is a common income strategy, but the right strike depends on your floor price (the level you'd happily own at) and the option chain's buffer/APY tradeoff. The full ladder view (deferred to a future release) ranks candidates by buffer percentage first, then APY — see the option ladder methodology for why buffer matters more than yield in this strategy.

OTIS (OTIS) — which option strategy fits your view?

If you're bullish long-term but cautious near-term on OTIS (OTIS), SELL PUT into your floor zone collects premium while waiting for a better entry. If you already own it and are neutral-to-mildly-bullish, COVERED CALL caps upside but harvests time decay. The wrong strategy on the right ticker still loses money — match the trade to your view, not the other way around.

OTIS (OTIS) — is now a good entry?

Entry timing on OTIS (OTIS) is a function of your floor price (hard buy zone) and golden price (back-the-truck-up zone). Both are personal — set them in your watchlist and we'll alert you when the market hits either level.

FAQ

Why does OTIS show different P/E numbers on different sites?

Different data providers use different earnings windows (TTM vs forward, GAAP vs adjusted) and update at different cadences. We surface trailing P/E with a 5-year percentile rank to give context — a P/E of 30 is hot for one stock and cold for another.

Does this page show OTIS's implied volatility?

Not on this v0 page — the dedicated volatility tool covers IV with multi-source voting (IBKR + Polygon + yfinance). For pure IV lookup, use /tools/volatility. This page is for decision-stage queries that pull together valuation + portfolio context.

How is this different from Yahoo Finance or 雪球's OTIS page?

Those sites are great for raw data discovery — last price, news, headline P/E. This page is built for the second look: you've already seen a single-dimension signal somewhere else, now you need multi-dimensional decision context (your floor, the valuation percentile, your portfolio overlay) in one view, not five tabs.