PFE (PFE)

Secondary decision view: valuation · portfolio context · the data you need before acting on a single-source signal.
Neutral

PFE earns a NEUTRAL bucket as its valuation is fair and buyzone remains far, while the current price sits slightly above a medium-confidence dividend floor.

  • PE at 19.78 is neutral (62.8th percentile) and the PB at 1.71 is below its 30th percentile, resulting in a 'fair' valuation verdict with a green validation flag.
  • The buyzone bucket is 'far' at 78.6% distance from the floor, and the PE label is neutral—meaning no extreme undervaluation signal is triggered.
  • The floor confidence is medium with two valid floors; the current price of $25.95 is only 1.79% above the dividend floor of $23.65, and there are no red alerts.
Verdict bucket from deterministic rule (validation / floor distance / risk alerts). LLM narration only — never picks the bucket.

BUY-ZONE DECISION rule signal

$25.95 $14.53 engine floor
far above at floor

PFE is far above the floor (~78.6% above) — adding here means paying a premium vs. your own threshold. Wait or take partial position only with a strong directional view.

Macro context

Across past macro events, PFE 5d reaction has been net positive +0.6%
13 event categories · 107 samples · 50 up / 47 down · macro-beta evidence only
Per-category detail · macro beta breakdown
fed-fomc-rate-cycle → avg 5d -0.5% 12 samples · 4 up / 6 down
taiwan-strait-tension → avg 5d +0.9% 12 samples · 4 up / 6 down
oil-shock → avg 5d +1.9% 10 samples · 6 up / 4 down
us-china-tariff-escalation → avg 5d +0.1% 10 samples · 6 up / 4 down
big-ipo-event → avg 5d -1.7% 9 samples · 2 up / 7 down
bank-crisis → avg 5d -0.4% 8 samples · 3 up / 3 down
big-tech-earnings-shock → avg 5d +1.5% 7 samples · 3 up / 4 down
election-uncertainty → avg 5d -0.4% 7 samples · 2 up / 5 down
natural-disaster → avg 5d +0.8% 7 samples · 5 up / 2 down
pandemic-emergency → avg 5d +0.9% 7 samples · 5 up / 2 down
sovereign-debt-crisis → avg 5d +1.1% 7 samples · 4 up / 1 down
china-property-crisis → avg 5d +4.3% 6 samples · 3 up / 2 down
russia-ukraine-war → avg 5d +2.0% 5 samples · 3 up / 1 down
Vs sector ETF (XLV, 5d)
+0.0pp in line with sector
PFE -2.7% Sector benchmark XLV -2.7%
Macro-beta evidence: how this ticker historically reacted to broad macro shocks. Not a thesis-level call — for that, you have to read the news and decide.

RULES & ALERTS FIRING

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VALUATION

Neutral
Trailing P/E
19.8
5-yr percentile: 63%
P/B
1.7
5-yr percentile: 31%
p10
12.7
p25
14.7
p50
17.2
p75
25.3
p90
47.1

PFE is cheap based on its 9.6x forward P/E, which overshadows a fair trailing P/E at the 63rd percentile given the stock's recent earnings downturn. The 1% revenue decline is more than priced in, offering a margin of safety for value investors. The biggest risk is further revenue erosion from patent losses on key drugs like Eliquis.

Sufficient earnings data; P/E historical percentile directly measures overvaluation or undervaluation

Floor Engine

acceptable USD 25.95 Confidence medium
discount-to-floor: 1.79×
DIVIDEND high
USD 23.65
Yield reverts to historical 95th-percentile (extreme yield level)
55y dividend history (≥10), dividend method reliable
VALUATION low
method skipped: insufficient PE history (26 months, need 60)
PE reverts to historical 5th-percentile (extreme undervaluation)
EPV high
USD 14.53
Zero-growth scenario + current cash/debt (Greenwald franchise value)
EPV GROWTH PREMIUM low
method skipped: ROIC (7.8%) does not exceed WACC (8.0%); the company is not earning excess returns, so EPV without growth premium is the appropriate anchor.
EPV × franchise-value multiplier (compounder premium when ROIC > WACC)
PB medium
USD 21.40
P/B reverts to historical 10th-percentile (asset-driven businesses)

YOUR WATCHLIST CONTEXT

○ anonymous
What you'll see after sign-in
Your floor
$XXX.XX
Your golden
$XXX.XX
Market
XXX

· Your personal floor / golden price overlay on the live price

· Per-ticker rule alerts when this stock crosses your thresholds

· Position P&L overlay — what this ticker means inside your full portfolio

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IMPLIED VOLATILITY

CURRENT IV 24.7% HV (30D) 17.3% IV RANK (1Y) 61 NEUTRAL

Earnings Reactions

PFE
8 earnings events · last 2 years
Avg Gap%
-0.20%
Avg Day%
+0.46%
Up Hit Rate
50%
Next Earnings · est.
2026-07-29
in 49d
24-07
24-10
25-02
25-04
25-08
25-11
26-02
26-05
Bar height = |Gap%| normalized to the period max. Green = up, red = down.
Date Time EPS Surprise Gap% Day% Week%
2026-05-05 BMO 0.75 +3.9% +1.10% +0.57% -1.64%
2026-02-03 BMO 0.66 +16.2% -4.88% -3.34% +3.56%
2025-11-04 BMO 0.87 +37.4% -1.09% -1.46% +3.45%
2025-08-05 BMO 0.51 +41.6% +3.14% +5.18% +4.76%
2025-04-29 BMO 0.92 +36.5% -0.95% +3.21% -0.74%
2025-02-04 BMO 0.63 +37.2% -0.38% -1.26% -2.56%
2024-10-29 BMO 1.06 +73.3% +0.52% -1.39% -3.01%
2024-07-30 BMO 0.60 +30.2% +0.94% +2.18% -4.56%

Is PFE (PFE) overvalued right now?

PFE (PFE) is currently trading at a trailing P/E of 19.8, sitting at the 63th percentile of its 5-year valuation history. A high percentile suggests the market is pricing the stock above its own historical norm — useful context before sizing a new position or selling premium against it.

PFE (PFE) — what's the SELL PUT risk profile?

Selling cash-secured puts on PFE (PFE) is a common income strategy, but the right strike depends on your floor price (the level you'd happily own at) and the option chain's buffer/APY tradeoff. The full ladder view (deferred to a future release) ranks candidates by buffer percentage first, then APY — see the option ladder methodology for why buffer matters more than yield in this strategy.

PFE (PFE) — which option strategy fits your view?

If you're bullish long-term but cautious near-term on PFE (PFE), SELL PUT into your floor zone collects premium while waiting for a better entry. If you already own it and are neutral-to-mildly-bullish, COVERED CALL caps upside but harvests time decay. The wrong strategy on the right ticker still loses money — match the trade to your view, not the other way around.

PFE (PFE) — is now a good entry?

Entry timing on PFE (PFE) is a function of your floor price (hard buy zone) and golden price (back-the-truck-up zone). Both are personal — set them in your watchlist and we'll alert you when the market hits either level.

FAQ

Why does PFE show different P/E numbers on different sites?

Different data providers use different earnings windows (TTM vs forward, GAAP vs adjusted) and update at different cadences. We surface trailing P/E with a 5-year percentile rank to give context — a P/E of 30 is hot for one stock and cold for another.

Does this page show PFE's implied volatility?

Not on this v0 page — the dedicated volatility tool covers IV with multi-source voting (IBKR + Polygon + yfinance). For pure IV lookup, use /tools/volatility. This page is for decision-stage queries that pull together valuation + portfolio context.

How is this different from Yahoo Finance or 雪球's PFE page?

Those sites are great for raw data discovery — last price, news, headline P/E. This page is built for the second look: you've already seen a single-dimension signal somewhere else, now you need multi-dimensional decision context (your floor, the valuation percentile, your portfolio overlay) in one view, not five tabs.