PG (PG)

Secondary decision view: valuation · portfolio context · the data you need before acting on a single-source signal.
Neutral

PG is rated NEUTRAL because it trades 99.2% above its fundamental floor despite a fair valuation and zero red alerts.

  • PG’s current price of $143.91 is 1.99% above the computed floor, yet the distance of 99.2% from the buy zone places it far from an attractive entry.
  • GAAP PE of 20.95 sits at the 32nd percentile, flagged as neutral and fair, with a green validation flag and no extreme-low condition.
  • Implied volatility rank is high (97.3%), but no risk alerts or red flags exist; the floor confidence is high and the suitability verdict is ‘ideal’.
Verdict bucket from deterministic rule (validation / floor distance / risk alerts). LLM narration only — never picks the bucket.

BUY-ZONE DECISION rule signal

$143.91 $72.23 engine floor
far above at floor

PG is far above the floor (~99.2% above) — adding here means paying a premium vs. your own threshold. Wait or take partial position only with a strong directional view.

Macro context

Across past macro events, PG 5d reaction has been net positive +0.5%
13 event categories · 107 samples · 53 up / 34 down · macro-beta evidence only
Per-category detail · macro beta breakdown
fed-fomc-rate-cycle → avg 5d -0.4% 12 samples · 3 up / 7 down
taiwan-strait-tension → avg 5d +2.2% 12 samples · 8 up / 3 down
oil-shock → avg 5d +2.2% 10 samples · 8 up / 1 down
us-china-tariff-escalation → avg 5d +1.0% 10 samples · 5 up / 2 down
big-ipo-event → avg 5d +0.5% 9 samples · 3 up / 2 down
bank-crisis → avg 5d +0.5% 8 samples · 5 up / 3 down
big-tech-earnings-shock → avg 5d +0.8% 7 samples · 3 up / 2 down
election-uncertainty → avg 5d +0.8% 7 samples · 3 up / 2 down
natural-disaster → avg 5d -0.4% 7 samples · 2 up / 1 down
pandemic-emergency → avg 5d +0.2% 7 samples · 6 up / 1 down
sovereign-debt-crisis → avg 5d -0.8% 7 samples · 3 up / 4 down
china-property-crisis → avg 5d -0.1% 6 samples · 2 up / 4 down
russia-ukraine-war → avg 5d -2.1% 5 samples · 2 up / 2 down
Vs sector ETF (XLP, 5d)
+3.5pp leading sector
PG +3.5% Sector benchmark XLP -0.1%
Macro-beta evidence: how this ticker historically reacted to broad macro shocks. Not a thesis-level call — for that, you have to read the news and decide.

RULES & ALERTS FIRING

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VALUATION

Neutral
Trailing P/E
20.9
5-yr percentile: 32%
P/B
6.2
5-yr percentile: 49%
p10
12.6
p25
20.1
p50
22.3
p75
24.4
p90
51.2

PG is fairly valued based on its trailing P/E of 21.1x, which is near its historical median. The modest revenue growth of 2% appears priced in, while the negative earnings growth is a concern. The biggest risk is continued earnings contraction, which could pressure its premium valuation.

Sufficient earnings data; P/E historical percentile directly measures overvaluation or undervaluation

Floor Engine

ideal USD 143.91 Confidence high
discount-to-floor: 1.99×
DIVIDEND high
USD 101.60
Yield reverts to historical 95th-percentile (extreme yield level)
65y dividend history (≥10), dividend method reliable
VALUATION high
USD 86.95
PE reverts to historical 5th-percentile (extreme undervaluation)
EPV high
USD 72.23
Zero-growth scenario + current cash/debt (Greenwald franchise value)
EPV GROWTH PREMIUM low
USD 114.25
EPV × franchise-value multiplier (compounder premium when ROIC > WACC)

YOUR WATCHLIST CONTEXT

○ anonymous
What you'll see after sign-in
Your floor
$XXX.XX
Your golden
$XXX.XX
Market
XXX

· Your personal floor / golden price overlay on the live price

· Per-ticker rule alerts when this stock crosses your thresholds

· Position P&L overlay — what this ticker means inside your full portfolio

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IMPLIED VOLATILITY

CURRENT IV 22.7% HV (30D) 21.6% IV RANK (1Y) 97 HIGH
IV vs HV · last 1 year

Earnings Reactions

PG
8 earnings events · last 2 years
Avg Gap%
+0.46%
Avg Day%
-0.39%
Up Hit Rate
62%
Next Earnings · est.
2026-07-29
in 77d
24-07
24-10
25-01
25-04
25-07
25-10
26-01
26-04
Bar height = |Gap%| normalized to the period max. Green = up, red = down.
Date Time EPS Surprise Gap% Day% Week%
2026-04-24 BMO 1.59 +2.2% +4.32% +1.70% +1.06%
2026-01-22 BMO 1.78 -2.5% +1.38% +2.65% +2.63%
2025-10-24 BMO 1.99 +4.9% +2.75% +0.18% -1.21%
2025-07-29 BMO 1.48 +4.1% +0.98% -0.32% -4.20%
2025-04-24 BMO 1.54 +0.9% -3.16% -3.74% -3.47%
2025-01-22 BMO 1.88 +1.1% +3.33% +1.87% +2.79%
2024-10-18 BMO 1.93 +1.8% -1.15% -0.58% -2.36%
2024-07-30 BMO 1.40 +1.9% -4.79% -4.84% -1.08%

Is PG (PG) overvalued right now?

PG (PG) is currently trading at a trailing P/E of 20.9, sitting at the 32th percentile of its 5-year valuation history. A high percentile suggests the market is pricing the stock above its own historical norm — useful context before sizing a new position or selling premium against it.

PG (PG) — what's the SELL PUT risk profile?

Selling cash-secured puts on PG (PG) is a common income strategy, but the right strike depends on your floor price (the level you'd happily own at) and the option chain's buffer/APY tradeoff. The full ladder view (deferred to a future release) ranks candidates by buffer percentage first, then APY — see the option ladder methodology for why buffer matters more than yield in this strategy.

PG (PG) — which option strategy fits your view?

If you're bullish long-term but cautious near-term on PG (PG), SELL PUT into your floor zone collects premium while waiting for a better entry. If you already own it and are neutral-to-mildly-bullish, COVERED CALL caps upside but harvests time decay. The wrong strategy on the right ticker still loses money — match the trade to your view, not the other way around.

PG (PG) — is now a good entry?

Entry timing on PG (PG) is a function of your floor price (hard buy zone) and golden price (back-the-truck-up zone). Both are personal — set them in your watchlist and we'll alert you when the market hits either level.

FAQ

Why does PG show different P/E numbers on different sites?

Different data providers use different earnings windows (TTM vs forward, GAAP vs adjusted) and update at different cadences. We surface trailing P/E with a 5-year percentile rank to give context — a P/E of 30 is hot for one stock and cold for another.

Does this page show PG's implied volatility?

Not on this v0 page — the dedicated volatility tool covers IV with multi-source voting (IBKR + Polygon + yfinance). For pure IV lookup, use /tools/volatility. This page is for decision-stage queries that pull together valuation + portfolio context.

How is this different from Yahoo Finance or 雪球's PG page?

Those sites are great for raw data discovery — last price, news, headline P/E. This page is built for the second look: you've already seen a single-dimension signal somewhere else, now you need multi-dimensional decision context (your floor, the valuation percentile, your portfolio overlay) in one view, not five tabs.