RMD (RMD)

Secondary decision view: valuation · portfolio context · the data you need before acting on a single-source signal.
Neutral

RMD is rated NEUTRAL as its current price sits far above the fundamental floor, yet the stock already trades cheaper than its historic 5-year valuation extreme, creating a mixed signal.

  • The stock is in the "far" buy‑zone bucket, trading 106.6% above the floor price, suggesting limited margin of safety from a downside perspective.
  • Despite the far distance, the valuation is unusual: the current PE of 16.1× is cheaper than the 5‑year 5th percentile of 23.6×, meaning the stock would need to rally to $288.20 to revert to that extreme — a contradiction to using the valuation floor as a downside support.
  • The floor confidence is medium with a suitability verdict of "ideal", but two warnings indicate methodological adjustments (dividend‑floor fallback due to regime change, and a valuation floor that acts as a mean‑reversion target rather than a traditional floor).
Verdict bucket from deterministic rule (validation / floor distance / risk alerts). LLM narration only — never picks the bucket.

BUY-ZONE DECISION rule signal

$196.18 $94.97 engine floor
far above at floor

RMD is far above the floor (~106.6% above) — adding here means paying a premium vs. your own threshold. Wait or take partial position only with a strong directional view.

RULES & ALERTS FIRING

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VALUATION

Valuation data not yet available for this ticker. Try again in a few minutes.

Floor Engine

ideal USD 196.18 Confidence medium
discount-to-floor: 2.07×
DIVIDEND high
USD 191.85
Yield reverts to historical 95th-percentile (extreme yield level)
15y dividend history (≥10), dividend method reliable
VALUATION low
method skipped: stock is already pricing CHEAPER than its 5-year extreme — current PE 16.1× vs historical 5th-pct 23.6×. The PE-percentile formula gives 23.6× × EPS = 288.20, which is ABOVE the current price 196.18, making it a mean-reversion target (where the stock could rally TO), not a downside floor (where buyers would step in).
PE reverts to historical 5th-percentile (extreme undervaluation)
EPV high
USD 94.97
Zero-growth scenario + current cash/debt (Greenwald franchise value)
EPV GROWTH PREMIUM low
USD 141.46
EPV × franchise-value multiplier (compounder premium when ROIC > WACC)

YOUR WATCHLIST CONTEXT

○ anonymous
What you'll see after sign-in
Your floor
$XXX.XX
Your golden
$XXX.XX
Market
XXX

· Your personal floor / golden price overlay on the live price

· Per-ticker rule alerts when this stock crosses your thresholds

· Position P&L overlay — what this ticker means inside your full portfolio

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IMPLIED VOLATILITY

Volatility data not yet available — the daily scanner will populate it on the next run.

Earnings Reactions

RMD
8 earnings events · last 2 years
Avg Gap%
+1.73%
Avg Day%
+1.23%
Up Hit Rate
62%
24-08
24-10
25-01
25-04
25-07
25-10
26-01
26-04
Bar height = |Gap%| normalized to the period max. Green = up, red = down.
Date Time EPS Surprise Gap% Day% Week%
2026-04-30 AMC 2.86 +2.1% -3.65% -4.11% -3.30%
2026-01-29 AMC 2.81 +3.1% -2.55% +0.27% +5.44%
2025-10-30 AMC 2.55 +2.0% +0.89% -2.13% -0.31%
2025-07-31 AMC 2.55 +2.8% +3.66% +2.67% +4.40%
2025-04-23 AMC 2.37 +0.4% +8.74% +10.10% +10.28%
2025-01-30 AMC 2.43 +5.0% +0.14% -8.33% -8.04%
2024-10-24 AMC 2.20 +7.7% +8.76% +7.12% +2.19%
2024-08-01 AMC 2.08 +0.5% -2.13% +4.23% +0.95%

Is RMD (RMD) overvalued right now?

Whether RMD (RMD) is overvalued depends on the lens you use: trailing P/E vs its own history, CAPE vs the broader market, earnings yield vs Treasury yields. We surface all three so you don't have to pick one in isolation.

RMD (RMD) — what's the SELL PUT risk profile?

Selling cash-secured puts on RMD (RMD) is a common income strategy, but the right strike depends on your floor price (the level you'd happily own at) and the option chain's buffer/APY tradeoff. The full ladder view (deferred to a future release) ranks candidates by buffer percentage first, then APY — see the option ladder methodology for why buffer matters more than yield in this strategy.

RMD (RMD) — which option strategy fits your view?

If you're bullish long-term but cautious near-term on RMD (RMD), SELL PUT into your floor zone collects premium while waiting for a better entry. If you already own it and are neutral-to-mildly-bullish, COVERED CALL caps upside but harvests time decay. The wrong strategy on the right ticker still loses money — match the trade to your view, not the other way around.

RMD (RMD) — is now a good entry?

Entry timing on RMD (RMD) is a function of your floor price (hard buy zone) and golden price (back-the-truck-up zone). Both are personal — set them in your watchlist and we'll alert you when the market hits either level.

FAQ

Why does RMD show different P/E numbers on different sites?

Different data providers use different earnings windows (TTM vs forward, GAAP vs adjusted) and update at different cadences. We surface trailing P/E with a 5-year percentile rank to give context — a P/E of 30 is hot for one stock and cold for another.

Does this page show RMD's implied volatility?

Not on this v0 page — the dedicated volatility tool covers IV with multi-source voting (IBKR + Polygon + yfinance). For pure IV lookup, use /tools/volatility. This page is for decision-stage queries that pull together valuation + portfolio context.

How is this different from Yahoo Finance or 雪球's RMD page?

Those sites are great for raw data discovery — last price, news, headline P/E. This page is built for the second look: you've already seen a single-dimension signal somewhere else, now you need multi-dimensional decision context (your floor, the valuation percentile, your portfolio overlay) in one view, not five tabs.