SMCI (SMCI)

Secondary decision view: valuation · portfolio context · the data you need before acting on a single-source signal.
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SMCI's low P/E percentile signals a cheap valuation, but a lack of reliable floor data and high implied volatility keep us in a WATCH stance.

  • Valuation is flagged as cheap: the current P/E of $20.85 sits at only the 20.6th percentile, well below historical norms.
  • Implied volatility is elevated (IV rank 86.8% over 1 year, current IV at 101.8%), indicating significant market uncertainty.
  • The floor analysis shows no valid hard floors (val./div./EPV) and warns that standard intrinsic-value floors do not apply here, lowering confidence in a bottom.
Verdict bucket from deterministic rule (validation / floor distance / risk alerts). LLM narration only — never picks the bucket.

BUY-ZONE DECISION rule signal

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RULES & ALERTS FIRING

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VALUATION

Undervalued
Trailing P/E
20.9
5-yr percentile: 21%
P/B
3.2
5-yr percentile: 59%
p10
14.6
p25
21.3
p50
23.8
p75
27.0
p90
36.9
Sufficient earnings data; P/E historical percentile directly measures overvaluation or undervaluation

Floor Engine

Alt Method USD 40.64 Confidence low
STRESS DRAWDOWN medium
USD 9.16
Stress floor: if last 5y max drawdown repeats from current price (re-rating-immune)
High-growth, historical multiples re-rated — stress floor (current_price × (1−max 5y drawdown))

YOUR WATCHLIST CONTEXT

○ anonymous
What you'll see after sign-in
Your floor
$XXX.XX
Your golden
$XXX.XX
Market
XXX

· Your personal floor / golden price overlay on the live price

· Per-ticker rule alerts when this stock crosses your thresholds

· Position P&L overlay — what this ticker means inside your full portfolio

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IMPLIED VOLATILITY

CURRENT IV 101.8% HV (30D) 104.1% IV RANK (1Y) 87 HIGH
IV vs HV · last 1 year

Earnings Reactions

SMCI
8 earnings events · last 2 years
Avg Gap%
+2.99%
Avg Day%
+1.46%
Up Hit Rate
50%
Next Earnings · est.
2026-08-04
in 55d
24-08
25-02
25-02
25-05
25-08
25-11
26-02
26-05
Bar height = |Gap%| normalized to the period max. Green = up, red = down.
Date Time EPS Surprise Gap% Day% Week%
2026-05-05 AMC 0.84 +34.5% +12.97% +24.54% +14.98%
2026-02-03 AMC 0.69 +41.4% +11.05% +13.79% +7.99%
2025-11-04 AMC 0.35 -10.1% -5.11% -11.33% -20.02%
2025-08-05 AMC 0.41 -6.6% -17.34% -18.29% -19.54%
2025-05-06 AMC 0.31 +3.8% -5.59% -1.40% +36.61%
2025-02-25 AMC 0.60 +1.9% +20.82% +12.23% -14.58%
2025-02-25 AMC 0.74 -1.9% +20.82% +12.23% -14.58%
2024-08-06 AMC 0.63 -23.2% -13.69% -20.14% -6.46%

Is SMCI (SMCI) overvalued right now?

SMCI (SMCI) is currently trading at a trailing P/E of 20.9, sitting at the 21th percentile of its 5-year valuation history. A high percentile suggests the market is pricing the stock above its own historical norm — useful context before sizing a new position or selling premium against it.

SMCI (SMCI) — what's the SELL PUT risk profile?

Selling cash-secured puts on SMCI (SMCI) is a common income strategy, but the right strike depends on your floor price (the level you'd happily own at) and the option chain's buffer/APY tradeoff. The full ladder view (deferred to a future release) ranks candidates by buffer percentage first, then APY — see the option ladder methodology for why buffer matters more than yield in this strategy.

SMCI (SMCI) — which option strategy fits your view?

If you're bullish long-term but cautious near-term on SMCI (SMCI), SELL PUT into your floor zone collects premium while waiting for a better entry. If you already own it and are neutral-to-mildly-bullish, COVERED CALL caps upside but harvests time decay. The wrong strategy on the right ticker still loses money — match the trade to your view, not the other way around.

SMCI (SMCI) — is now a good entry?

Entry timing on SMCI (SMCI) is a function of your floor price (hard buy zone) and golden price (back-the-truck-up zone). Both are personal — set them in your watchlist and we'll alert you when the market hits either level.

FAQ

Why does SMCI show different P/E numbers on different sites?

Different data providers use different earnings windows (TTM vs forward, GAAP vs adjusted) and update at different cadences. We surface trailing P/E with a 5-year percentile rank to give context — a P/E of 30 is hot for one stock and cold for another.

Does this page show SMCI's implied volatility?

Not on this v0 page — the dedicated volatility tool covers IV with multi-source voting (IBKR + Polygon + yfinance). For pure IV lookup, use /tools/volatility. This page is for decision-stage queries that pull together valuation + portfolio context.

How is this different from Yahoo Finance or 雪球's SMCI page?

Those sites are great for raw data discovery — last price, news, headline P/E. This page is built for the second look: you've already seen a single-dimension signal somewhere else, now you need multi-dimensional decision context (your floor, the valuation percentile, your portfolio overlay) in one view, not five tabs.