TGT (TGT)

Secondary decision view: valuation · portfolio context · the data you need before acting on a single-source signal.
Neutral rule-based

TGT has no clear signal.

  • Buy-zone state: far (+83.3% to floor)
Verdict bucket from deterministic rule (validation / floor distance / risk alerts). LLM narration only — never picks the bucket.

BUY-ZONE DECISION rule signal

$145.90 $79.58 engine floor
far above at floor

TGT is far above the floor (~83.3% above) — adding here means paying a premium vs. your own threshold. Wait or take partial position only with a strong directional view.

RULES & ALERTS FIRING

Sign in to see which rules are firing on TGT in your portfolio.
Sign in

VALUATION

Valuation data not yet available for this ticker. Try again in a few minutes.

Floor Engine

ideal USD 145.90 Confidence high
discount-to-floor: 1.83×
DIVIDEND high
USD 92.50
Yield reverts to historical 95th-percentile (extreme yield level)
VALUATION high
USD 79.58
PE reverts to historical 5th-percentile (extreme undervaluation)
EPV high
USD 92.26
Zero-growth scenario + current cash/debt (Greenwald franchise value)
EPV GROWTH PREMIUM low
USD 126.66
EPV × franchise-value multiplier (compounder premium when ROIC > WACC)
PSR medium
USD 83.09
PSR reverts to historical 10th-percentile (growth stocks pre-stable-earnings)
High-growth, earnings not yet stable — PSR is the next-best anchor

YOUR WATCHLIST CONTEXT

○ anonymous
What you'll see after sign-in
Your floor
$XXX.XX
Your golden
$XXX.XX
Market
XXX

· Your personal floor / golden price overlay on the live price

· Per-ticker rule alerts when this stock crosses your thresholds

· Position P&L overlay — what this ticker means inside your full portfolio

Sign in to unlock →

IMPLIED VOLATILITY

CURRENT IV 37.0% HV (30D) 37.0% IV RANK (1Y) 92 HIGH
IV vs HV · last 1 year

Earnings Reactions

TGT
8 earnings events · last 2 years
Avg Gap%
-3.41%
Avg Day%
-3.26%
Up Hit Rate
25%
Next Earnings · est.
2026-08-19
in 20d
24-08
24-11
25-03
25-05
25-08
25-11
26-03
26-05
Bar height = |Gap%| normalized to the period max. Green = up, red = down.
Date Time EPS Surprise Gap% Day% Week%
2026-05-20 BMO 1.71 +17.3% -5.53% -3.86% +1.11%
2026-03-03 BMO 2.44 +13.0% +2.51% +6.74% +6.69%
2025-11-19 BMO 1.78 +4.1% -2.38% -2.77% +1.43%
2025-08-20 BMO 2.05 +0.8% -10.39% -6.33% -7.02%
2025-05-21 BMO 1.30 -21.3% -6.75% -5.21% -3.31%
2025-03-04 BMO 2.41 +7.0% -2.70% -3.00% -6.62%
2024-11-20 BMO 1.85 -19.6% -17.95% -21.97% -16.61%
2024-08-21 BMO 2.57 +17.7% +15.94% +10.34% +8.68%

Is TGT (TGT) overvalued right now?

Whether TGT (TGT) is overvalued depends on the lens you use: trailing P/E vs its own history, CAPE vs the broader market, earnings yield vs Treasury yields. We surface all three so you don't have to pick one in isolation.

TGT (TGT) — what's the SELL PUT risk profile?

Selling cash-secured puts on TGT (TGT) is a common income strategy, but the right strike depends on your floor price (the level you'd happily own at) and the option chain's buffer/APY tradeoff. The full ladder view (deferred to a future release) ranks candidates by buffer percentage first, then APY — see the option ladder methodology for why buffer matters more than yield in this strategy.

TGT (TGT) — which option strategy fits your view?

If you're bullish long-term but cautious near-term on TGT (TGT), SELL PUT into your floor zone collects premium while waiting for a better entry. If you already own it and are neutral-to-mildly-bullish, COVERED CALL caps upside but harvests time decay. The wrong strategy on the right ticker still loses money — match the trade to your view, not the other way around.

TGT (TGT) — is now a good entry?

Entry timing on TGT (TGT) is a function of your floor price (hard buy zone) and golden price (back-the-truck-up zone). Both are personal — set them in your watchlist and we'll alert you when the market hits either level.

FAQ

Why does TGT show different P/E numbers on different sites?

Different data providers use different earnings windows (TTM vs forward, GAAP vs adjusted) and update at different cadences. We surface trailing P/E with a 5-year percentile rank to give context — a P/E of 30 is hot for one stock and cold for another.

Does this page show TGT's implied volatility?

Not on this v0 page — the dedicated volatility tool covers IV with multi-source voting (IBKR + Polygon + yfinance). For pure IV lookup, use /tools/volatility. This page is for decision-stage queries that pull together valuation + portfolio context.

How is this different from Yahoo Finance or 雪球's TGT page?

Those sites are great for raw data discovery — last price, news, headline P/E. This page is built for the second look: you've already seen a single-dimension signal somewhere else, now you need multi-dimensional decision context (your floor, the valuation percentile, your portfolio overlay) in one view, not five tabs.