TM (TM)

Secondary decision view: valuation · portfolio context · the data you need before acting on a single-source signal.
Neutral

Toyota (TM) earns a NEUTRAL rating as the stock trades 53.2% above its engineered floor of $74.80, though no valuation data or red alerts are available to push it into a stronger zone.

  • The stock is 53.2% above its floor of $74.80 with a medium-confidence floor, meaning it's not cheap enough for a BUY but not dangerously overvalued from a floor perspective.
  • Implied volatility rank is high (79.2%), suggesting elevated options uncertainty, which often accompanies a NEUTRAL stance.
  • No valuation method or PE history is available, and there are zero red alerts, leaving the stock without a strong catalyst to tilt bullish or bearish.
Verdict bucket from deterministic rule (validation / floor distance / risk alerts). LLM narration only — never picks the bucket.

BUY-ZONE DECISION rule signal

$189.72 $123.81 engine floor
far above at floor

TM is far above the floor (~53.2% above) — adding here means paying a premium vs. your own threshold. Wait or take partial position only with a strong directional view.

RULES & ALERTS FIRING

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VALUATION

Valuation data not yet available for this ticker. Try again in a few minutes.

Floor Engine

ideal USD 189.72 Confidence medium
discount-to-floor: 1.53×
DIVIDEND high
USD 136.47
Yield reverts to historical 95th-percentile (extreme yield level)
34y dividend history (≥10), dividend method reliable
VALUATION low
method skipped: insufficient PE history (12 months, need 60)
PE reverts to historical 5th-percentile (extreme undervaluation)
EPV high
USD 123.81
Zero-growth scenario + current cash/debt (Greenwald franchise value)
EPV GROWTH PREMIUM low
USD 170.51
EPV × franchise-value multiplier (compounder premium when ROIC > WACC)
PB medium
USD 92.41
P/B reverts to historical 10th-percentile (asset-driven businesses)

YOUR WATCHLIST CONTEXT

○ anonymous
What you'll see after sign-in
Your floor
$XXX.XX
Your golden
$XXX.XX
Market
XXX

· Your personal floor / golden price overlay on the live price

· Per-ticker rule alerts when this stock crosses your thresholds

· Position P&L overlay — what this ticker means inside your full portfolio

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IMPLIED VOLATILITY

CURRENT IV 32.4% HV (30D) 28.7% IV RANK (1Y) 79 HIGH
IV vs HV · last 1 year

Earnings Reactions

TM
4 earnings events · last 2 years
Avg Gap%
-0.10%
Avg Day%
-0.37%
Up Hit Rate
25%
Next Earnings · est.
2026-08-06
in 78d
25-08
25-11
26-02
26-05
Bar height = |Gap%| normalized to the period max. Green = up, red = down.
Date Time EPS Surprise Gap% Day% Week%
2026-05-08 4.00 +49.0% -0.53% -0.78% +0.89%
2026-02-06 6.15 +93.1% +3.19% +2.96% +4.68%
2025-11-05 4.66 -13.1% -1.91% -2.32% +1.67%
2025-08-06 AMC 4.38 -20.0% -1.16% -1.36% +4.61%

Is TM (TM) overvalued right now?

Whether TM (TM) is overvalued depends on the lens you use: trailing P/E vs its own history, CAPE vs the broader market, earnings yield vs Treasury yields. We surface all three so you don't have to pick one in isolation.

TM (TM) — what's the SELL PUT risk profile?

Selling cash-secured puts on TM (TM) is a common income strategy, but the right strike depends on your floor price (the level you'd happily own at) and the option chain's buffer/APY tradeoff. The full ladder view (deferred to a future release) ranks candidates by buffer percentage first, then APY — see the option ladder methodology for why buffer matters more than yield in this strategy.

TM (TM) — which option strategy fits your view?

If you're bullish long-term but cautious near-term on TM (TM), SELL PUT into your floor zone collects premium while waiting for a better entry. If you already own it and are neutral-to-mildly-bullish, COVERED CALL caps upside but harvests time decay. The wrong strategy on the right ticker still loses money — match the trade to your view, not the other way around.

TM (TM) — is now a good entry?

Entry timing on TM (TM) is a function of your floor price (hard buy zone) and golden price (back-the-truck-up zone). Both are personal — set them in your watchlist and we'll alert you when the market hits either level.

FAQ

Why does TM show different P/E numbers on different sites?

Different data providers use different earnings windows (TTM vs forward, GAAP vs adjusted) and update at different cadences. We surface trailing P/E with a 5-year percentile rank to give context — a P/E of 30 is hot for one stock and cold for another.

Does this page show TM's implied volatility?

Not on this v0 page — the dedicated volatility tool covers IV with multi-source voting (IBKR + Polygon + yfinance). For pure IV lookup, use /tools/volatility. This page is for decision-stage queries that pull together valuation + portfolio context.

How is this different from Yahoo Finance or 雪球's TM page?

Those sites are great for raw data discovery — last price, news, headline P/E. This page is built for the second look: you've already seen a single-dimension signal somewhere else, now you need multi-dimensional decision context (your floor, the valuation percentile, your portfolio overlay) in one view, not five tabs.