TXN (TXN)

Secondary decision view: valuation · portfolio context · the data you need before acting on a single-source signal.
Neutral

TXN is in a NEUTRAL zone: it's far above its buy zone floor, but valuation data is missing and volatility is elevated, making a clear directional call unsupported.

  • The stock trades at $291.30, which is 292.2% above the buy zone floor, placing it well outside any distressed or opportunistic entry range.
  • No valuation data is available (PE, PB, and PS are all null), so there is no earnings-based or book-based anchor to assess over/under valuation.
  • Implied volatility is high (IV rank 81.4% over the past year), reflecting elevated uncertainty, yet there are zero red alerts or risk alerts to confirm distress.
Verdict bucket from deterministic rule (validation / floor distance / risk alerts). LLM narration only — never picks the bucket.

BUY-ZONE DECISION rule signal

$291.30 $74.28 engine floor
far above at floor

TXN is far above the floor (~292.2% above) — adding here means paying a premium vs. your own threshold. Wait or take partial position only with a strong directional view.

RULES & ALERTS FIRING

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VALUATION

Valuation data not yet available for this ticker. Try again in a few minutes.

Floor Engine

ideal USD 291.30 Confidence high
discount-to-floor: 3.92×
DIVIDEND high
USD 165.87
Yield reverts to historical 95th-percentile (extreme yield level)
VALUATION high
USD 144.88
PE reverts to historical 5th-percentile (extreme undervaluation)
EPV high
USD 74.28
Zero-growth scenario + current cash/debt (Greenwald franchise value)
EPV GROWTH PREMIUM low
USD 144.11
EPV × franchise-value multiplier (compounder premium when ROIC > WACC)
PSR medium
USD 100.65
PSR reverts to historical 10th-percentile (growth stocks pre-stable-earnings)
High-growth, earnings not yet stable — PSR is the next-best anchor

YOUR WATCHLIST CONTEXT

○ anonymous
What you'll see after sign-in
Your floor
$XXX.XX
Your golden
$XXX.XX
Market
XXX

· Your personal floor / golden price overlay on the live price

· Per-ticker rule alerts when this stock crosses your thresholds

· Position P&L overlay — what this ticker means inside your full portfolio

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IMPLIED VOLATILITY

CURRENT IV 58.1% HV (30D) 58.1% IV RANK (1Y) 81 HIGH
IV vs HV · last 1 year

Earnings Reactions

TXN
8 earnings events · last 2 years
Avg Gap%
+0.73%
Avg Day%
+1.68%
Up Hit Rate
62%
Next Earnings · est.
2026-07-22
today
24-07
24-10
25-01
25-04
25-07
25-10
26-01
26-04
Bar height = |Gap%| normalized to the period max. Green = up, red = down.
Date Time EPS Surprise Gap% Day% Week%
2026-04-22 AMC 1.68 +22.8% +10.16% +19.43% +18.95%
2026-01-27 AMC 1.27 -2.9% +3.68% +9.94% +13.37%
2025-10-21 AMC 1.57 +5.8% -9.33% -5.60% -11.38%
2025-07-22 AMC 1.41 +5.8% -9.32% -13.34% -11.82%
2025-04-23 AMC 1.28 +16.8% +8.20% +6.56% +4.02%
2025-01-23 AMC 1.30 +8.3% -5.29% -7.52% -7.98%
2024-10-22 AMC 1.44 +2.4% +3.64% +4.01% +7.20%
2024-07-23 AMC 1.17 -1.5% +4.07% -0.01% +2.78%

Is TXN (TXN) overvalued right now?

Whether TXN (TXN) is overvalued depends on the lens you use: trailing P/E vs its own history, CAPE vs the broader market, earnings yield vs Treasury yields. We surface all three so you don't have to pick one in isolation.

TXN (TXN) — what's the SELL PUT risk profile?

Selling cash-secured puts on TXN (TXN) is a common income strategy, but the right strike depends on your floor price (the level you'd happily own at) and the option chain's buffer/APY tradeoff. The full ladder view (deferred to a future release) ranks candidates by buffer percentage first, then APY — see the option ladder methodology for why buffer matters more than yield in this strategy.

TXN (TXN) — which option strategy fits your view?

If you're bullish long-term but cautious near-term on TXN (TXN), SELL PUT into your floor zone collects premium while waiting for a better entry. If you already own it and are neutral-to-mildly-bullish, COVERED CALL caps upside but harvests time decay. The wrong strategy on the right ticker still loses money — match the trade to your view, not the other way around.

TXN (TXN) — is now a good entry?

Entry timing on TXN (TXN) is a function of your floor price (hard buy zone) and golden price (back-the-truck-up zone). Both are personal — set them in your watchlist and we'll alert you when the market hits either level.

FAQ

Why does TXN show different P/E numbers on different sites?

Different data providers use different earnings windows (TTM vs forward, GAAP vs adjusted) and update at different cadences. We surface trailing P/E with a 5-year percentile rank to give context — a P/E of 30 is hot for one stock and cold for another.

Does this page show TXN's implied volatility?

Not on this v0 page — the dedicated volatility tool covers IV with multi-source voting (IBKR + Polygon + yfinance). For pure IV lookup, use /tools/volatility. This page is for decision-stage queries that pull together valuation + portfolio context.

How is this different from Yahoo Finance or 雪球's TXN page?

Those sites are great for raw data discovery — last price, news, headline P/E. This page is built for the second look: you've already seen a single-dimension signal somewhere else, now you need multi-dimensional decision context (your floor, the valuation percentile, your portfolio overlay) in one view, not five tabs.