USO (USO)

Secondary decision view: valuation · portfolio context · the data you need before acting on a single-source signal.

Neutral

USO is rated NEUTRAL due to a lack of actionable valuation floors and extreme implied volatility, despite a moderate current price.

The current PE of $40.42 is provided, but the valuation is unvalidated with no percentile comparison or verdict, offering no clear signal.
The implied volatility rank is 91.0%, labeled 'high', indicating elevated option pricing but no corresponding buy/sell trigger from the data.
No valuation floors are available (0 valid floors), and the primary suitability verdict is 'unsuitable', preventing any bullish or bearish conclusion.

Verdict bucket from deterministic rule (validation / floor distance / risk alerts). LLM narration only — never picks the bucket.

BUY-ZONE DECISION rule signal

Macro context

Across past macro events, USO 5d reactions are mixed -0.1%

13 event categories · 107 samples · 54 up / 47 down · macro-beta evidence only

Per-category detail · macro beta breakdown

fed-fomc-rate-cycle → avg 5d -1.4% 12 samples · 3 up / 9 down

taiwan-strait-tension → avg 5d +3.4% 12 samples · 9 up / 2 down

oil-shock → avg 5d -5.7% 10 samples · 4 up / 6 down

us-china-tariff-escalation → avg 5d -1.3% 10 samples · 3 up / 5 down

big-ipo-event → avg 5d -0.6% 9 samples · 5 up / 4 down

bank-crisis → avg 5d -1.2% 8 samples · 4 up / 4 down

big-tech-earnings-shock → avg 5d +0.8% 7 samples · 3 up / 3 down

election-uncertainty → avg 5d +1.3% 7 samples · 4 up / 1 down

natural-disaster → avg 5d +4.0% 7 samples · 6 up / 1 down

pandemic-emergency → avg 5d -4.3% 7 samples · 2 up / 5 down

sovereign-debt-crisis → avg 5d +0.7% 7 samples · 4 up / 3 down

china-property-crisis → avg 5d +1.2% 6 samples · 3 up / 3 down

russia-ukraine-war → avg 5d +5.0% 5 samples · 4 up / 1 down

Macro-beta evidence: how this ticker historically reacted to broad macro shocks. Not a thesis-level call — for that, you have to read the news and decide.

RULES & ALERTS FIRING

VALUATION

No cross-validation data available

Trailing P/E

40.4

P/B

1.9

Insufficient earnings data; percentile accumulating (0 days, need 20 more)

Floor Engine

Floor data pending

The next daily scan will fill in hard-logic floors for USO. If it doesn't appear after a few days, contact the admin.

YOUR WATCHLIST CONTEXT

○ anonymous

What you'll see after sign-in

Your floor

$XXX.XX

Your golden

$XXX.XX

Market

XXX

· Your personal floor / golden price overlay on the live price

· Per-ticker rule alerts when this stock crosses your thresholds

· Position P&L overlay — what this ticker means inside your full portfolio

IMPLIED VOLATILITY

CURRENT IV 73.1% HV (30D) 72.7% IV RANK (1Y) 91 HIGH

IV vs HV · last 1 year

Earnings Reactions

No earnings reaction data found for USO in the last 2 years. Ticker may be invalid, lack public earnings history, or be too newly listed.

Is USO (USO) overvalued right now?

Whether USO (USO) is overvalued depends on the lens you use: trailing P/E vs its own history, CAPE vs the broader market, earnings yield vs Treasury yields. We surface all three so you don't have to pick one in isolation.

USO (USO) — what's the SELL PUT risk profile?

Selling cash-secured puts on USO (USO) is a common income strategy, but the right strike depends on your floor price (the level you'd happily own at) and the option chain's buffer/APY tradeoff. The full ladder view (deferred to a future release) ranks candidates by buffer percentage first, then APY — see the option ladder methodology for why buffer matters more than yield in this strategy.

USO (USO) — which option strategy fits your view?

If you're bullish long-term but cautious near-term on USO (USO), SELL PUT into your floor zone collects premium while waiting for a better entry. If you already own it and are neutral-to-mildly-bullish, COVERED CALL caps upside but harvests time decay. The wrong strategy on the right ticker still loses money — match the trade to your view, not the other way around.

USO (USO) — is now a good entry?

Entry timing on USO (USO) is a function of your floor price (hard buy zone) and golden price (back-the-truck-up zone). Both are personal — set them in your watchlist and we'll alert you when the market hits either level.

FAQ

Why does USO show different P/E numbers on different sites?

Different data providers use different earnings windows (TTM vs forward, GAAP vs adjusted) and update at different cadences. We surface trailing P/E with a 5-year percentile rank to give context — a P/E of 30 is hot for one stock and cold for another.

Does this page show USO's implied volatility?

Not on this v0 page — the dedicated volatility tool covers IV with multi-source voting (IBKR + Polygon + yfinance). For pure IV lookup, use /tools/volatility. This page is for decision-stage queries that pull together valuation + portfolio context.

How is this different from Yahoo Finance or 雪球's USO page?

Those sites are great for raw data discovery — last price, news, headline P/E. This page is built for the second look: you've already seen a single-dimension signal somewhere else, now you need multi-dimensional decision context (your floor, the valuation percentile, your portfolio overlay) in one view, not five tabs.

See the full decision view (sign in to add to watchlist) →