VLO (VLO)

Secondary decision view: valuation · portfolio context · the data you need before acting on a single-source signal.
Neutral rule-based

VLO has no clear signal.

Verdict bucket from deterministic rule (validation / floor distance / risk alerts). LLM narration only — never picks the bucket.

BUY-ZONE DECISION rule signal

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RULES & ALERTS FIRING

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VALUATION

Valuation data not yet available for this ticker. Try again in a few minutes.

Floor Engine

marginal USD 396.95 Confidence low
VALUATION low ⓘ
—
method skipped: insufficient PE history (22 months, need 60)
PE reverts to historical 5th-percentile (extreme undervaluation)
PSR medium ⓘ
USD 87.55
PSR reverts to historical 10th-percentile (growth stocks pre-stable-earnings)
CYCLICAL PE ★ medium ⓘ
USD 642.34
PE reverts to historical 30th-percentile (cyclicals; 30th not 5th to avoid trough-bias)
Energy/materials cyclical — uses 30th-pct PE to avoid trough-bias

YOUR WATCHLIST CONTEXT

○ anonymous
What you'll see after sign-in
Your floor
$XXX.XX
Your golden
$XXX.XX
Market
XXX

· Your personal floor / golden price overlay on the live price

· Per-ticker rule alerts when this stock crosses your thresholds

· Position P&L overlay — what this ticker means inside your full portfolio

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IMPLIED VOLATILITY

CURRENT IV 30.9% HV (30D) 30.9% IV RANK (1Y) 11 LOW
IV vs HV · last 1 year

Earnings Reactions

VLO
8 earnings events · last 2 years
Avg Gap%
+0.50%
Avg Day%
+0.02%
Up Hit Rate
50%
Next Earnings · est.
2026-10-22
in 21d
24-10
25-01
25-04
25-07
25-10
26-01
26-04
26-07
Bar height = |Gap%| normalized to the period max. Green = up, red = down.
Date Time EPS Surprise Gap% Day% Week%
2026-07-30 BMO 12.54 +23.8% -1.63% +3.45% +0.55%
2026-04-30 BMO 4.22 +33.5% -2.16% +0.51% -5.95%
2026-01-29 BMO 3.82 +16.9% +4.21% -0.83% +5.50%
2025-10-23 BMO 3.66 +19.9% +1.16% +6.96% +5.08%
2025-07-24 BMO 2.28 +29.1% -1.99% -4.88% -6.93%
2025-04-24 BMO 0.89 +117.3% +1.31% -1.00% +0.33%
2025-01-30 BMO 0.64 +970.8% +3.16% -2.91% -3.72%
2024-10-24 BMO 1.14 +16.1% -0.07% -1.15% -2.36%

Is VLO (VLO) overvalued right now?

Whether VLO (VLO) is overvalued depends on the lens you use: trailing P/E vs its own history, CAPE vs the broader market, earnings yield vs Treasury yields. We surface all three so you don't have to pick one in isolation.

VLO (VLO) — what's the SELL PUT risk profile?

Selling cash-secured puts on VLO (VLO) is a common income strategy, but the right strike depends on your floor price (the level you'd happily own at) and the option chain's buffer/APY tradeoff. The full ladder view (deferred to a future release) ranks candidates by buffer percentage first, then APY — see the option ladder methodology for why buffer matters more than yield in this strategy.

VLO (VLO) — which option strategy fits your view?

If you're bullish long-term but cautious near-term on VLO (VLO), SELL PUT into your floor zone collects premium while waiting for a better entry. If you already own it and are neutral-to-mildly-bullish, COVERED CALL caps upside but harvests time decay. The wrong strategy on the right ticker still loses money — match the trade to your view, not the other way around.

VLO (VLO) — is now a good entry?

Entry timing on VLO (VLO) is a function of your floor price (hard buy zone) and golden price (back-the-truck-up zone). Both are personal — set them in your watchlist and we'll alert you when the market hits either level.

FAQ

Why does VLO show different P/E numbers on different sites?

Different data providers use different earnings windows (TTM vs forward, GAAP vs adjusted) and update at different cadences. We surface trailing P/E with a 5-year percentile rank to give context — a P/E of 30 is hot for one stock and cold for another.

Does this page show VLO's implied volatility?

Not on this v0 page — the dedicated volatility tool covers IV with multi-source voting (IBKR + Polygon + yfinance). For pure IV lookup, use /tools/volatility. This page is for decision-stage queries that pull together valuation + portfolio context.

How is this different from Yahoo Finance or 雪球's VLO page?

Those sites are great for raw data discovery — last price, news, headline P/E. This page is built for the second look: you've already seen a single-dimension signal somewhere else, now you need multi-dimensional decision context (your floor, the valuation percentile, your portfolio overlay) in one view, not five tabs.