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中国向台湾近海试射导弹(第三次台海危机开始)

1995-07-21 geo political 29 Source →
Asset returns after this event

Asset returns after this event

Asset T+1 T+5 T+30
DBA Agriculture
-0.16% +3.92% +6.55%
DIA Dow 30
-2.04% +1.71% -7.62%
EEM Emerging Markets
+2.36% +3.88% +12.62%
EWJ Japan
-5.41% -7.34% -6.18%
FXI China Large Cap
+1.25% -3.56% +2.25%
GLD Gold
+1.28% +2.30% -3.06%
IEF 7-10yr Treasuries
+1.33% +1.76% +5.03%
IWM Russell 2000
+3.69% +11.55% +16.20%
QQQ Nasdaq 100
-9.23% -9.17% +7.78%
SHY 1-3yr Treasuries
+0.51% +0.62% +0.87%
SLV Silver
+0.42% +1.36% -20.87%
SPY S&P 500
-3.74% -1.63% -4.92%
TLT 20+yr Treasuries
+1.82% +2.67% +9.37%
UNG Natural Gas
-2.42% +2.50% +4.94%
USO Crude Oil
-0.26% +5.63% -0.32%
UUP USD Index
+0.60% +0.44% -1.52%
VIXY VIX Futures
-1.70% -9.76% -20.56%
VTI Total US Market
-0.64% +0.20% -0.60%
XLB Materials
+3.13% +2.59% -13.54%
XLC Communication Services
+0.62% -0.74% -2.10%
XLE Energy
+0.71% +4.47% +2.82%
XLF Financials
-5.12% -0.82% -8.20%
XLI Industrials
-3.20% -0.65% -8.56%
XLK Technology
-6.48% -7.61% +0.11%
XLP Consumer Staples
-1.10% +5.29% -5.36%
XLRE Real Estate
+0.46% +2.62% +2.35%
XLU Utilities
-0.57% -1.65% -5.52%
XLV Healthcare
-3.15% +3.76% -4.28%
XLY Consumer Discretionary
-4.20% -0.21% -15.77%

Taiwan Strait Tensions — Historical Asset Playbook

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Methodology: historical analogs are built from a curated event list and yfinance total-return data. The Monte Carlo uses joint sampling — entire asset-return vectors drawn from the same historical event so cross-asset correlations are preserved. This page is informational and does not constitute investment advice. Read the full methodology →

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