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中国通过《反分裂国家法》,明确武力选项

2005-03-14 geo political 29 Source →
Asset returns after this event

Asset returns after this event

Asset T+1 T+5 T+30
DBA Agriculture
-0.16% +3.92% +6.55%
DIA Dow 30
-1.66% -3.30% -6.83%
EEM Emerging Markets
-3.32% -6.40% -8.24%
EWJ Japan
-0.46% -1.65% -7.78%
FXI China Large Cap
-1.69% -3.48% -4.38%
GLD Gold
+0.64% -3.66% -2.34%
IEF 7-10yr Treasuries
+0.04% -0.46% +3.33%
IWM Russell 2000
-1.23% -3.03% -9.33%
QQQ Nasdaq 100
-1.93% -2.89% -6.94%
SHY 1-3yr Treasuries
+0.09% -0.05% +0.77%
SLV Silver
+0.42% +1.36% -20.87%
SPY S&P 500
-1.67% -3.04% -5.36%
TLT 20+yr Treasuries
-0.02% -0.98% +4.48%
UNG Natural Gas
-2.42% +2.50% +4.94%
USO Crude Oil
-0.26% +5.63% -0.32%
UUP USD Index
+0.60% +0.44% -1.52%
VIXY VIX Futures
-1.70% -9.76% -20.56%
VTI Total US Market
-1.38% -2.70% -5.44%
XLB Materials
-2.61% -3.33% -12.66%
XLC Communication Services
+0.62% -0.74% -2.10%
XLE Energy
-1.07% -2.11% -6.84%
XLF Financials
-1.68% -4.89% -5.66%
XLI Industrials
-1.70% -2.45% -6.76%
XLK Technology
-2.00% -3.05% -6.36%
XLP Consumer Staples
-0.86% -1.31% -2.17%
XLRE Real Estate
+0.46% +2.62% +2.35%
XLU Utilities
-1.35% -3.58% +0.52%
XLV Healthcare
-2.12% -1.18% +1.00%
XLY Consumer Discretionary
-0.47% -2.58% -8.19%

Taiwan Strait Tensions — Historical Asset Playbook

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Methodology: historical analogs are built from a curated event list and yfinance total-return data. The Monte Carlo uses joint sampling — entire asset-return vectors drawn from the same historical event so cross-asset correlations are preserved. This page is informational and does not constitute investment advice. Read the full methodology →

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