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习近平海军南海阅兵后强硬讲话+对台军演

2018-04-12 geo political 29 Source →
Asset returns after this event

Asset returns after this event

Asset T+1 T+5 T+30
DBA Agriculture
-0.63% -0.95% +1.32%
DIA Dow 30
+0.33% -0.13% -0.22%
EEM Emerging Markets
-0.87% -2.43% -5.62%
EWJ Japan
+0.28% +0.63% -0.83%
FXI China Large Cap
-2.55% -3.83% -4.42%
GLD Gold
+0.80% -0.79% -2.71%
IEF 7-10yr Treasuries
+0.04% -1.00% +0.69%
IWM Russell 2000
+0.39% +0.36% +4.37%
QQQ Nasdaq 100
+0.24% -0.20% +4.17%
SHY 1-3yr Treasuries
-0.04% -0.17% +0.38%
SLV Silver
+1.29% +0.97% -0.52%
SPY S&P 500
+0.53% +0.24% +1.16%
TLT 20+yr Treasuries
+0.27% -1.77% +1.57%
UNG Natural Gas
+2.25% +1.94% +5.77%
USO Crude Oil
-1.04% +2.96% -0.07%
UUP USD Index
-0.34% +1.40% +6.07%
VIXY VIX Futures
-8.52% -10.81% -18.42%
VTI Total US Market
+0.55% +0.35% +1.64%
XLB Materials
+1.24% +1.13% -0.31%
XLC Communication Services
+0.62% -0.74% -2.10%
XLE Energy
+2.14% +4.42% +5.27%
XLF Financials
-1.08% -0.11% -3.44%
XLI Industrials
+0.76% +1.81% +0.42%
XLK Technology
+0.44% -0.86% +4.25%
XLP Consumer Staples
+1.59% -3.63% -4.89%
XLRE Real Estate
+0.99% -0.33% +2.93%
XLU Utilities
+2.17% +1.88% +2.23%
XLV Healthcare
+0.74% +0.61% +0.22%
XLY Consumer Discretionary
+0.19% +1.39% +3.46%

Taiwan Strait Tensions — Historical Asset Playbook

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Methodology: historical analogs are built from a curated event list and yfinance total-return data. The Monte Carlo uses joint sampling — entire asset-return vectors drawn from the same historical event so cross-asset correlations are preserved. This page is informational and does not constitute investment advice. Read the full methodology →

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