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习近平《告台湾同胞书》40周年讲话,不放弃武力

2019-01-02 geo political 29 Source →
Asset returns after this event

Asset returns after this event

Asset T+1 T+5 T+30
DBA Agriculture
+0.18% +1.95% -0.65%
DIA Dow 30
+0.39% +2.79% +11.29%
EEM Emerging Markets
+1.35% +4.01% +8.32%
EWJ Japan
+2.80% +3.53% +6.94%
FXI China Large Cap
+1.60% +4.21% +11.58%
GLD Gold
+0.09% +0.39% +4.43%
IEF 7-10yr Treasuries
-0.02% -0.24% +0.40%
IWM Russell 2000
+1.88% +6.70% +16.33%
QQQ Nasdaq 100
+0.87% +3.75% +11.23%
SHY 1-3yr Treasuries
-0.01% -0.02% +0.31%
SLV Silver
+1.17% +0.55% +3.16%
SPY S&P 500
+0.88% +3.52% +11.06%
TLT 20+yr Treasuries
-0.03% -1.00% +0.34%
UNG Natural Gas
+2.45% +6.53% -3.18%
USO Crude Oil
+3.35% +10.66% +19.59%
UUP USD Index
-0.70% -1.09% +0.20%
VIXY VIX Futures
-3.71% -13.69% -28.27%
VTI Total US Market
+0.92% +4.00% +11.97%
XLB Materials
+0.98% +2.93% +7.96%
XLC Communication Services
+2.56% +5.31% +10.52%
XLE Energy
+2.38% +6.04% +13.41%
XLF Financials
+1.00% +2.00% +10.20%
XLI Industrials
+0.63% +4.83% +16.87%
XLK Technology
-0.84% +2.45% +12.29%
XLP Consumer Staples
+1.55% +2.28% +8.22%
XLRE Real Estate
+1.49% +5.55% +15.68%
XLU Utilities
+1.46% +2.35% +7.75%
XLV Healthcare
+0.89% +3.06% +8.72%
XLY Consumer Discretionary
+1.07% +4.83% +10.78%

Taiwan Strait Tensions — Historical Asset Playbook

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Methodology: historical analogs are built from a curated event list and yfinance total-return data. The Monte Carlo uses joint sampling — entire asset-return vectors drawn from the same historical event so cross-asset correlations are preserved. This page is informational and does not constitute investment advice. Read the full methodology →

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