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解放军单日 56 架次绕台创纪录

2021-10-04 geo political 29 Source →
Asset returns after this event

Asset returns after this event

Asset T+1 T+5 T+30
DBA Agriculture
-0.77% -1.60% +3.41%
DIA Dow 30
+1.21% +1.14% +5.72%
EEM Emerging Markets
+0.14% +3.17% +2.84%
EWJ Japan
-0.31% -0.46% +2.62%
FXI China Large Cap
+0.96% +7.54% +6.93%
GLD Gold
-0.20% +1.35% +5.19%
IEF 7-10yr Treasuries
-0.29% -0.50% -0.73%
IWM Russell 2000
-0.18% +1.05% +6.63%
QQQ Nasdaq 100
+2.00% +2.09% +13.93%
SHY 1-3yr Treasuries
-0.02% -0.16% -0.39%
SLV Silver
-0.10% +1.67% +9.44%
SPY S&P 500
+1.46% +1.53% +9.59%
TLT 20+yr Treasuries
-0.41% +0.25% +1.39%
UNG Natural Gas
-3.14% -4.07% -19.72%
USO Crude Oil
-0.61% +3.06% +1.95%
UUP USD Index
+0.48% +0.20% +1.75%
VIXY VIX Futures
-4.79% -12.50% -25.04%
VTI Total US Market
+1.35% +1.75% +9.22%
XLB Materials
+0.70% +2.36% +10.56%
XLC Communication Services
+1.67% -0.39% +0.33%
XLE Energy
-0.48% +3.00% +3.97%
XLF Financials
+2.06% +1.24% +4.31%
XLI Industrials
+1.56% +1.40% +7.73%
XLK Technology
+2.09% +2.16% +14.87%
XLP Consumer Staples
+1.48% +2.02% +5.10%
XLRE Real Estate
+0.18% +1.24% +7.76%
XLU Utilities
+1.30% +0.48% +3.34%
XLV Healthcare
+0.41% +0.12% +6.69%
XLY Consumer Discretionary
+0.72% +2.71% +17.36%

Taiwan Strait Tensions — Historical Asset Playbook

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Methodology: historical analogs are built from a curated event list and yfinance total-return data. The Monte Carlo uses joint sampling — entire asset-return vectors drawn from the same historical event so cross-asset correlations are preserved. This page is informational and does not constitute investment advice. Read the full methodology →

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