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联合利剑军演,对蔡英文过境美演习反应

2023-04-10 geo political 29 Source →
Asset returns after this event

Asset returns after this event

Asset T+1 T+5 T+30
DBA Agriculture
+0.34% +1.98% -1.45%
DIA Dow 30
+0.19% +0.90% -2.18%
EEM Emerging Markets
-0.10% +0.03% -2.82%
EWJ Japan
+0.66% +1.39% +4.09%
FXI China Large Cap
-2.67% -0.62% -9.59%
GLD Gold
+1.12% +0.14% -2.65%
IEF 7-10yr Treasuries
+0.25% -1.26% -2.52%
IWM Russell 2000
+0.05% +1.42% -0.90%
QQQ Nasdaq 100
-1.52% +0.26% +6.87%
SHY 1-3yr Treasuries
+0.10% -0.33% -0.50%
SLV Silver
+2.40% +1.53% -8.83%
SPY S&P 500
-0.38% +1.11% +1.23%
TLT 20+yr Treasuries
+0.10% -2.51% -5.85%
UNG Natural Gas
-2.92% +2.04% -1.31%
USO Crude Oil
+3.83% -0.66% -8.13%
UUP USD Index
-0.90% -0.43% +2.51%
VIXY VIX Futures
-0.69% -9.12% -14.09%
VTI Total US Market
-0.32% +1.20% +0.98%
XLB Materials
+0.85% +1.87% -5.19%
XLC Communication Services
-1.29% -1.11% +3.61%
XLE Energy
+1.02% +0.68% -7.68%
XLF Financials
+0.66% +4.30% -0.66%
XLI Industrials
+0.93% +2.39% -1.06%
XLK Technology
-1.50% +0.15% +7.54%
XLP Consumer Staples
-0.16% +0.64% -2.89%
XLRE Real Estate
+0.19% +0.80% -5.36%
XLU Utilities
-0.01% -0.33% -7.29%
XLV Healthcare
+0.37% +0.39% -4.23%
XLY Consumer Discretionary
-1.39% +1.70% +2.00%

Taiwan Strait Tensions — Historical Asset Playbook

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Methodology: historical analogs are built from a curated event list and yfinance total-return data. The Monte Carlo uses joint sampling — entire asset-return vectors drawn from the same historical event so cross-asset correlations are preserved. This page is informational and does not constitute investment advice. Read the full methodology →

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