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赖清德当选台湾总统,中国警告

2024-01-15 geo political 29 Source →
Asset returns after this event

Asset returns after this event

Asset T+1 T+5 T+30
DBA Agriculture
+0.43% +3.08% +6.94%
DIA Dow 30
+0.31% +1.88% +4.95%
EEM Emerging Markets
-0.68% +1.59% +5.83%
EWJ Japan
-0.32% -0.03% +6.66%
FXI China Large Cap
-2.23% +3.32% +8.63%
GLD Gold
-0.29% -0.41% +2.65%
IEF 7-10yr Treasuries
-0.54% -0.34% -0.59%
IWM Russell 2000
-0.13% +2.69% +7.89%
QQQ Nasdaq 100
+0.85% +4.11% +8.81%
SHY 1-3yr Treasuries
-0.15% -0.05% -0.08%
SLV Silver
-0.72% -0.10% +1.00%
SPY S&P 500
+0.33% +2.76% +7.98%
TLT 20+yr Treasuries
-1.09% -0.91% +0.27%
UNG Natural Gas
-3.81% -13.06% -28.98%
USO Crude Oil
+2.69% +7.41% +11.46%
UUP USD Index
+0.18% +0.33% +1.26%
VIXY VIX Futures
+0.00% -4.64% -11.63%
VTI Total US Market
+0.28% +2.67% +8.00%
XLB Materials
-0.41% -0.01% +6.63%
XLC Communication Services
+0.60% +5.50% +9.03%
XLE Energy
-0.99% +3.62% +7.97%
XLF Financials
-0.03% +3.13% +7.90%
XLI Industrials
+0.67% +2.37% +9.50%
XLK Technology
+1.53% +5.90% +9.36%
XLP Consumer Staples
-0.19% -0.17% +2.85%
XLRE Real Estate
-2.47% -1.63% +0.61%
XLU Utilities
-2.51% -2.55% -1.45%
XLV Healthcare
-0.21% -0.86% +4.77%
XLY Consumer Discretionary
-0.31% -1.65% +6.48%

Taiwan Strait Tensions — Historical Asset Playbook

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Methodology: historical analogs are built from a curated event list and yfinance total-return data. The Monte Carlo uses joint sampling — entire asset-return vectors drawn from the same historical event so cross-asset correlations are preserved. This page is informational and does not constitute investment advice. Read the full methodology →

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