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联合利剑-2024A 军演,赖清德就职后惩戒

2024-05-23 geo political 29 Source →
Asset returns after this event

Asset returns after this event

Asset T+1 T+5 T+30
DBA Agriculture
+2.35% +2.48% -2.52%
DIA Dow 30
-0.53% -1.13% +0.94%
EEM Emerging Markets
+0.14% -1.56% +2.43%
EWJ Japan
+1.67% +2.48% +3.57%
FXI China Large Cap
-0.25% -3.15% -4.76%
GLD Gold
+1.15% +0.70% +1.15%
IEF 7-10yr Treasuries
-0.43% +0.70% +2.16%
IWM Russell 2000
+0.97% +0.70% -0.17%
QQQ Nasdaq 100
+1.33% -0.12% +9.80%
SHY 1-3yr Treasuries
-0.05% +0.27% +1.03%
SLV Silver
+6.13% +1.23% +2.11%
SPY S&P 500
+0.73% +0.35% +5.92%
TLT 20+yr Treasuries
-1.14% +0.88% +2.48%
UNG Natural Gas
-3.78% -5.96% -21.17%
USO Crude Oil
+4.31% -3.52% +8.02%
UUP USD Index
-0.45% -0.80% +0.63%
VIXY VIX Futures
-0.95% -1.30% -11.54%
VTI Total US Market
+0.72% +0.20% +5.18%
XLB Materials
+0.49% +0.46% -2.20%
XLC Communication Services
+1.45% +2.06% +6.47%
XLE Energy
+1.17% -0.53% -1.06%
XLF Financials
-0.51% +0.05% +0.57%
XLI Industrials
-0.72% -1.48% -1.65%
XLK Technology
+1.27% -1.27% +10.07%
XLP Consumer Staples
-0.52% +0.53% +1.23%
XLRE Real Estate
-0.59% +1.47% +3.83%
XLU Utilities
+0.90% +1.55% -2.28%
XLV Healthcare
-1.55% -0.14% -0.07%
XLY Consumer Discretionary
+0.76% +1.21% +9.21%

Taiwan Strait Tensions — Historical Asset Playbook

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Methodology: historical analogs are built from a curated event list and yfinance total-return data. The Monte Carlo uses joint sampling — entire asset-return vectors drawn from the same historical event so cross-asset correlations are preserved. This page is informational and does not constitute investment advice. Read the full methodology →

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