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首批 340 亿美元关税生效

2018-07-06 geo political 29 Source →
Asset returns after this event

Asset returns after this event

Asset T+1 T+5 T+30
DBA Agriculture
-1.06% -3.24% -3.57%
DIA Dow 30
+1.32% +2.48% +5.60%
EEM Emerging Markets
+1.80% +0.46% -2.33%
EWJ Japan
+1.38% +0.66% +0.38%
FXI China Large Cap
+2.10% +0.17% -1.58%
GLD Gold
+0.24% -1.10% -5.19%
IEF 7-10yr Treasuries
-0.25% -0.17% +0.40%
IWM Russell 2000
+0.63% -0.88% +0.34%
QQQ Nasdaq 100
+0.90% +2.03% +2.33%
SHY 1-3yr Treasuries
-0.06% -0.05% +0.24%
SLV Silver
+0.60% -1.53% -7.96%
SPY S&P 500
+0.90% +1.42% +3.72%
TLT 20+yr Treasuries
-0.64% -0.44% -0.56%
UNG Natural Gas
-0.86% -3.24% +4.27%
USO Crude Oil
+0.47% -6.82% -8.02%
UUP USD Index
+0.04% +0.56% +2.26%
VIXY VIX Futures
-5.37% -8.95% -15.74%
VTI Total US Market
+0.91% +1.18% +3.26%
XLB Materials
+0.89% -0.58% +0.67%
XLC Communication Services
+0.57% +1.52% -4.10%
XLE Energy
+1.49% -0.38% -3.40%
XLF Financials
+2.29% +2.96% +5.96%
XLI Industrials
+1.86% +1.79% +6.42%
XLK Technology
+0.76% +1.84% +2.79%
XLP Consumer Staples
-0.38% +0.52% +5.30%
XLRE Real Estate
-0.93% -1.38% +2.04%
XLU Utilities
-3.08% -1.28% +2.18%
XLV Healthcare
+0.73% +1.00% +6.26%
XLY Consumer Discretionary
+1.20% +2.33% +2.73%

US-China Tariff Escalation — Asymmetric Sector Reactions

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Methodology: historical analogs are built from a curated event list and yfinance total-return data. The Monte Carlo uses joint sampling — entire asset-return vectors drawn from the same historical event so cross-asset correlations are preserved. This page is informational and does not constitute investment advice. Read the full methodology →

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