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Trump 宣布对剩余 3000 亿征 10%

2019-08-01 geo political 29 Source →
Asset returns after this event

Asset returns after this event

Asset T+1 T+5 T+30
DBA Agriculture
-0.06% -3.30% -1.02%
DIA Dow 30
-3.26% -2.39% +2.30%
EEM Emerging Markets
-4.64% -3.81% +2.34%
EWJ Japan
-2.98% -2.36% +4.10%
FXI China Large Cap
-4.66% -4.75% +3.21%
GLD Gold
+1.01% +4.56% +3.60%
IEF 7-10yr Treasuries
+1.07% +1.73% +0.22%
IWM Russell 2000
-4.08% -3.64% +2.34%
QQQ Nasdaq 100
-4.95% -3.05% +0.80%
SHY 1-3yr Treasuries
+0.22% +0.30% +0.07%
SLV Silver
-0.07% +4.17% +9.13%
SPY S&P 500
-3.74% -2.30% +1.80%
TLT 20+yr Treasuries
+2.67% +5.70% +2.41%
UNG Natural Gas
-3.98% -2.71% +23.45%
USO Crude Oil
+0.53% +0.44% +13.44%
UUP USD Index
-0.71% -0.79% +0.71%
VIXY VIX Futures
+15.55% +13.68% -7.89%
VTI Total US Market
-3.75% -2.47% +1.56%
XLB Materials
-3.03% -2.03% +0.28%
XLC Communication Services
-4.17% -2.87% +1.11%
XLE Energy
-4.37% -4.70% +3.02%
XLF Financials
-3.37% -3.48% +2.83%
XLI Industrials
-3.39% -2.53% +3.89%
XLK Technology
-5.74% -3.61% +0.75%
XLP Consumer Staples
-2.58% -0.51% +2.08%
XLRE Real Estate
-1.15% +2.51% +3.97%
XLU Utilities
-1.45% +0.98% +4.70%
XLV Healthcare
-2.58% -0.82% +0.05%
XLY Consumer Discretionary
-3.49% -2.11% +2.32%

US-China Tariff Escalation — Asymmetric Sector Reactions

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Methodology: historical analogs are built from a curated event list and yfinance total-return data. The Monte Carlo uses joint sampling — entire asset-return vectors drawn from the same historical event so cross-asset correlations are preserved. This page is informational and does not constitute investment advice. Read the full methodology →

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