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中国反击,Trump 进一步加征

2019-08-23 geo political 29 Source →
Asset returns after this event

Asset returns after this event

Asset T+1 T+5 T+30
DBA Agriculture
+1.27% +0.20% +4.62%
DIA Dow 30
+1.10% +2.00% +3.54%
EEM Emerging Markets
+0.54% +2.28% +4.05%
EWJ Japan
+1.46% +2.20% +6.76%
FXI China Large Cap
+1.43% +2.06% +4.23%
GLD Gold
+0.01% +1.10% -2.41%
IEF 7-10yr Treasuries
-0.10% +0.42% +0.01%
IWM Russell 2000
+1.10% +0.85% +2.73%
QQQ Nasdaq 100
+1.51% +1.97% +3.60%
SHY 1-3yr Treasuries
-0.05% +0.08% +0.18%
SLV Silver
+1.04% +9.42% -0.31%
SPY S&P 500
+1.11% +2.07% +3.36%
TLT 20+yr Treasuries
-0.40% +1.03% -0.46%
UNG Natural Gas
+3.26% +8.61% +5.51%
USO Crude Oil
-0.09% +0.27% -1.34%
UUP USD Index
+0.53% +1.55% +1.85%
VIXY VIX Futures
-2.65% -2.31% -15.90%
VTI Total US Market
+1.01% +1.90% +3.11%
XLB Materials
+0.33% +2.35% +2.62%
XLC Communication Services
+1.50% +2.38% +3.39%
XLE Energy
+0.43% +2.22% +2.56%
XLF Financials
+0.96% +2.07% +5.21%
XLI Industrials
+0.74% +2.20% +3.43%
XLK Technology
+1.39% +1.80% +4.26%
XLP Consumer Staples
+1.24% +2.43% +2.75%
XLRE Real Estate
+0.93% +3.08% +2.63%
XLU Utilities
+1.15% +3.59% +5.76%
XLV Healthcare
+1.05% +1.48% +1.63%
XLY Consumer Discretionary
+0.99% +2.23% +2.24%

US-China Tariff Escalation — Asymmetric Sector Reactions

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Methodology: historical analogs are built from a curated event list and yfinance total-return data. The Monte Carlo uses joint sampling — entire asset-return vectors drawn from the same historical event so cross-asset correlations are preserved. This page is informational and does not constitute investment advice. Read the full methodology →

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