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第一阶段贸易协议签署

2020-01-15 geo political 29 Source →
Asset returns after this event

Asset returns after this event

Asset T+1 T+5 T+30
DBA Agriculture
-0.18% -1.81% -6.65%
DIA Dow 30
+1.05% -0.14% -7.74%
EEM Emerging Markets
+1.20% -2.36% -9.37%
EWJ Japan
+0.13% -0.22% -10.11%
FXI China Large Cap
+1.21% -4.98% -7.83%
GLD Gold
+0.03% +0.98% +1.82%
IEF 7-10yr Treasuries
-0.29% +0.73% +5.12%
IWM Russell 2000
+1.02% -1.18% -9.76%
QQQ Nasdaq 100
+1.46% +1.15% -1.70%
SHY 1-3yr Treasuries
+0.04% +0.15% +1.29%
SLV Silver
+0.06% +0.59% -7.44%
SPY S&P 500
+1.15% +0.18% -5.82%
TLT 20+yr Treasuries
-1.17% +1.74% +10.58%
UNG Natural Gas
-5.42% -11.08% -17.35%
USO Crude Oil
+1.23% -6.16% -18.56%
UUP USD Index
+0.50% +0.76% +0.76%
VIXY VIX Futures
-2.06% +4.65% +61.39%
VTI Total US Market
+1.11% +0.11% -6.14%
XLB Materials
+1.04% -1.27% -9.14%
XLC Communication Services
+1.56% -0.21% -5.89%
XLE Energy
-0.47% -4.68% -20.71%
XLF Financials
+1.17% -0.91% -8.87%
XLI Industrials
+1.01% -0.02% -9.48%
XLK Technology
+2.03% +2.35% -1.80%
XLP Consumer Staples
+0.44% +0.08% -3.86%
XLRE Real Estate
+1.02% +2.04% -1.45%
XLU Utilities
+1.32% +3.75% -0.08%
XLV Healthcare
+0.52% -1.43% -6.73%
XLY Consumer Discretionary
+1.25% -0.36% -5.22%

US-China Tariff Escalation — Asymmetric Sector Reactions

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Methodology: historical analogs are built from a curated event list and yfinance total-return data. The Monte Carlo uses joint sampling — entire asset-return vectors drawn from the same historical event so cross-asset correlations are preserved. This page is informational and does not constitute investment advice. Read the full methodology →

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