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Bush v Gore 选票争议爆发

2000-11-08 geo political 29 Source →
Asset returns after this event

Asset returns after this event

Asset T+1 T+5 T+30
DBA Agriculture
-0.16% +3.92% +6.55%
DIA Dow 30
-2.43% -2.20% -0.93%
EEM Emerging Markets
+2.36% +3.88% +12.62%
EWJ Japan
-3.38% -5.31% -10.55%
FXI China Large Cap
+1.25% -3.56% +2.25%
GLD Gold
+1.28% +2.30% -3.06%
IEF 7-10yr Treasuries
+1.33% +1.76% +5.03%
IWM Russell 2000
-3.58% -3.26% -6.13%
QQQ Nasdaq 100
-5.22% -3.80% -19.59%
SHY 1-3yr Treasuries
+0.51% +0.62% +0.87%
SLV Silver
+0.42% +1.36% -20.87%
SPY S&P 500
-2.80% -2.79% -5.56%
TLT 20+yr Treasuries
+1.82% +2.67% +9.37%
UNG Natural Gas
-2.42% +2.50% +4.94%
USO Crude Oil
-0.26% +5.63% -0.32%
UUP USD Index
+0.60% +0.44% -1.52%
VIXY VIX Futures
-1.70% -9.76% -20.56%
VTI Total US Market
-0.64% +0.20% -0.60%
XLB Materials
-2.82% -4.15% +9.43%
XLC Communication Services
+0.62% -0.74% -2.10%
XLE Energy
-0.77% +0.53% +3.50%
XLF Financials
-0.38% -4.06% +3.56%
XLI Industrials
-1.65% -1.25% -1.75%
XLK Technology
-6.91% -3.90% -22.67%
XLP Consumer Staples
+0.63% -0.69% +3.46%
XLRE Real Estate
+0.46% +2.62% +2.35%
XLU Utilities
+0.74% -1.01% -0.92%
XLV Healthcare
-4.96% -6.05% -9.80%
XLY Consumer Discretionary
-8.31% -3.13% -3.63%

US Election Uncertainty — Volatility, Dollar, and EM Reactions

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Methodology: historical analogs are built from a curated event list and yfinance total-return data. The Monte Carlo uses joint sampling — entire asset-return vectors drawn from the same historical event so cross-asset correlations are preserved. This page is informational and does not constitute investment advice. Read the full methodology →

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