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Trump 当选意外,盘后期货 -5%

2016-11-09 geo political 29 Source →
Asset returns after this event

Asset returns after this event

Asset T+1 T+5 T+30
DBA Agriculture
-0.79% -0.88% -1.92%
DIA Dow 30
+1.35% +1.63% +7.66%
EEM Emerging Markets
-4.69% -4.58% -3.93%
EWJ Japan
+0.22% +0.00% +1.29%
FXI China Large Cap
-2.07% -2.18% -5.47%
GLD Gold
-3.67% -5.27% -10.69%
IEF 7-10yr Treasuries
-0.81% -2.16% -3.58%
IWM Russell 2000
+3.93% +6.90% +11.97%
QQQ Nasdaq 100
-1.57% -0.28% +3.00%
SHY 1-3yr Treasuries
-0.04% -0.24% -0.41%
SLV Silver
-5.62% -9.86% -13.30%
SPY S&P 500
+0.02% +0.98% +5.19%
TLT 20+yr Treasuries
-2.03% -2.99% -5.10%
UNG Natural Gas
-2.08% +4.30% +29.40%
USO Crude Oil
-4.96% +0.39% +14.11%
UUP USD Index
+0.35% +2.71% +4.39%
VIXY VIX Futures
+0.08% -7.49% -24.24%
VTI Total US Market
+0.39% +1.61% +5.82%
XLB Materials
-0.23% +0.12% +5.42%
XLC Communication Services
+0.62% -0.74% -2.10%
XLE Energy
-1.41% +0.97% +9.19%
XLF Financials
+3.98% +6.33% +13.81%
XLI Industrials
+2.31% +2.73% +6.43%
XLK Technology
-1.31% +0.02% +4.30%
XLP Consumer Staples
-2.77% -2.85% +0.88%
XLRE Real Estate
-1.40% -0.93% +3.26%
XLU Utilities
-2.81% -2.26% +3.72%
XLV Healthcare
-0.41% -1.53% -1.24%
XLY Consumer Discretionary
+0.94% +2.81% +5.42%

US Election Uncertainty — Volatility, Dollar, and EM Reactions

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Methodology: historical analogs are built from a curated event list and yfinance total-return data. The Monte Carlo uses joint sampling — entire asset-return vectors drawn from the same historical event so cross-asset correlations are preserved. This page is informational and does not constitute investment advice. Read the full methodology →

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