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Biden 胜选 + Pfizer 疫苗利好

2020-11-09 geo political 29 Source →
Asset returns after this event

Asset returns after this event

Asset T+1 T+5 T+30
DBA Agriculture
+0.94% +3.41% +5.89%
DIA Dow 30
+0.82% +1.04% +3.96%
EEM Emerging Markets
-0.50% +0.93% +4.95%
EWJ Japan
+0.22% +0.43% +4.34%
FXI China Large Cap
-1.31% -2.24% -5.61%
GLD Gold
-0.10% +0.23% +0.73%
IEF 7-10yr Treasuries
-0.13% +0.46% +0.29%
IWM Russell 2000
+1.82% +3.78% +17.74%
QQQ Nasdaq 100
+0.41% +0.53% +7.46%
SHY 1-3yr Treasuries
-0.03% -0.01% +0.10%
SLV Silver
+0.09% +0.22% +6.49%
SPY S&P 500
+0.60% +0.49% +4.52%
TLT 20+yr Treasuries
-0.22% +2.06% +1.00%
UNG Natural Gas
+6.47% -4.99% -14.79%
USO Crude Oil
+3.46% +3.31% +17.28%
UUP USD Index
+0.12% -0.44% -2.79%
VIXY VIX Futures
-5.16% -5.53% -15.91%
VTI Total US Market
+0.65% +0.99% +6.73%
XLB Materials
-0.33% +0.00% +3.46%
XLC Communication Services
+0.59% +0.76% +5.08%
XLE Energy
+2.18% +7.14% +16.85%
XLF Financials
+0.11% +1.18% +7.76%
XLI Industrials
+0.90% +3.71% +5.06%
XLK Technology
+0.46% -0.26% +7.18%
XLP Consumer Staples
+2.85% +2.77% +3.60%
XLRE Real Estate
+1.31% +1.53% -0.53%
XLU Utilities
+1.82% -1.76% -5.50%
XLV Healthcare
+0.16% -1.64% +0.88%
XLY Consumer Discretionary
+0.52% +0.97% +3.88%

US Election Uncertainty — Volatility, Dollar, and EM Reactions

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Methodology: historical analogs are built from a curated event list and yfinance total-return data. The Monte Carlo uses joint sampling — entire asset-return vectors drawn from the same historical event so cross-asset correlations are preserved. This page is informational and does not constitute investment advice. Read the full methodology →

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